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Dear John,
Be sure to visit our website:
www.indianrivergop.com [[link removed]]
December, 2019, Florida County Republican Registrations Report and Elections Analysis
©Stephen R. Meyer, Vero Beach, Florida, January, 2020
Issued 1/7/20
There are roughly 42 weeks from the end of December to the early voting period of
the 2020 election. In December Republican registrations in Florida, relative to
Democrat registrations, improved by 6,671 registrations. The Republican deficit
now stands at 226,715. Great news! Republican registrations relative to Democrat
registrations are at their best level in at least the last few election cycles.
Hopefully the last few months are the start of a long-term trend. Voter registration
information is reported in the attached chart, and in Table 1 and Table 2.
Click Here to View Document [[link removed]]
In the impeachment of President Trump, three Democrat congressmen were in the limelight;
Speaker of the House Pelosi (California's 12th Congressional District), Chairman
Schiff of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (California's 28th
Congressional District), and Chairman Nadler of the House Judiciary Committee (New
York's 10th Congressional District).
Housing plays a significant role in the political orientation of electorates. It
is instructive to look at the homeownership rate (the higher the rate, generally
the higher the Republican market share) and the median home price (the lower the
median home price, generally the higher the Republican market share) in the districts
of the three members of congress mentioned in the previous paragraph. The following
median home price and homeownership rate information was taken from the Census Bureau's
My Congressional District website and the vote totals were taken from Wikipedia.
* California's 12th Congressional District-Median Home Price-$1,211,300, Homeownership
Rate-34.9%, Pelosi's 2018 vote percentage versus her opponent: 86.8% to 13.2%
* California's 28th Congressional District-Median Home Price-$896,000, Homeownership
Rate-34.5%, Schiff's 2018 vote percentage versus his opponent; 78.4% to 21.6%
* New York's Tenth Congressional District-Median Home Price-$1,015,100, Homeownership
Rate-33.4%, Nadler's 2018 vote percentage vs his opponent; 82.1% to 17.9%
These three districts are feudal in nature as there is a minority of a well-to-do
propertied class and a majority of a class which is non-propertied and less affluent.
The non-propertied people generally align themselves with Democrats. Pelosi, Schiff,
and Nadler may act as they do without political repercussions in their districts
owing to homeowners being a super minority in their districts.
For reference, the housing related values for the 27 Florida Congressional Districts
are listed in Table 3 of the attachment.
* Those Florida congressional districts represented by Democrat congressmen have
an average median home price of $265,769 which is 22.5% greater than the average
median home price of $216,979 for the districts represented by Republican congressmen.
* Those Florida districts with Republican congressional representatives have an
average homeownership rate of 71.8% which is 22.5% greater than the average homeownership
rate of 58.6% for those Florida congressional districts with Democrat congressmen.
It has been a decades-old Leftist objective to compromise real estate markets in
the pursuit of growing Democrat market share. The Leftist effort has been focused
on our large population centers. Their success is perhaps best highlighted by which
party carried the vote in our country's 146 most populous counties, which are a
unique subset of counties, owing to the fact that these 146 counties are home to
half our country's population. Roughly 3000 counties are home to the other half
of our country's population.
* In 1988 Republican President George H.W. Bush won the majority of the vote in
three of every five of these 146 most populous counties
* In 2016 Democrat Presidential Candidate Hilary Clinton
- won the majority of the vote in four of every five of these 146 most populous
counties
- increased the Democrat margin by 3.1 million votes from 2012 levels in these 146
counties demonstrating continued Democrat market share gains post President Obama
Based on the 2016 elections, the collapse in the numbers of modestly priced starter
homes being produced nationwide, and the numbers of rental units being built, the
Republican loss of market share in these 146 counties will likely continue.
Strategically, RECs and Republican officeholders should monitor the number and mix
(rental permits versus permits for owner-occupied housing) of building permits to
facilitate positive change in the political orientation of their counties instead
of waiting for the much less timely voter registration numbers.
Keep in mind that the nomenclature concerning housing is purposely confusing. The
Left champions what they refer to as affordable housing and the term has made its
way into law. Affordable housing in this usage is subsidized rental housing (subsidies
may be for the tenants and/or the creation of the properties). To increase Republican
market share, Republicans should be continuously promoting policies that result
in higher homeownership rates.
Best Wishes for the New Year,
Steve Meyer, Indian River County REC Member
Contact Information:
Steve Meyer
Phone or text: 772-713-8265
Email: [email protected]
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Click on this link to email me: [mailto:[email protected]]
Joe Saul
Secretary Indian River County REC
www.indianrivergop.com [[link removed]]
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GOD BLESS AMERICA

Joe Saul
Secretary
Indian River County Republican Executive Committee

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Indian River County Republican Executive Committee | 2001 9th Ave. | Ste. 107 | Vero Beach | FL | 32960