How did the election turn out? Details tonight on 790 KABC and online at KABC.com
At your request: This week's California Commentary by Jon Coupal
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** California Commentary
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Join us at 7:00 p.m. tonight for the Howard Jarvis Radio Show on 790 KABC in the Southern California area, and on www.KABC.com ([link removed]) anywhere. Jon Coupal and Susan Shelley will have an election wrap-up on this special day and time. Then join us again at our regular time, Monday night at 8:00, for more on the election results with all the latest updates.
Jon Coupal's Sunday column (below) looked at the prospects for taxpayers in this election cycle. Hope you enjoy it! Thank you for your support of the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association! We greatly appreciate you.
** Will a red wave crest the Sierras?
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By Jon Coupal
While the title of this column assumes that Republicans will do very well nationally on election day, it’s not just idle speculation. Democrats and pundits have all but conceded the inevitability. Political junkies will also tell you that it is confirmed by several factors beyond polling. For example, in races that were once thought to be competitive, Democrats have shifted resources to safer districts to protect incumbents.
For fiscal conservatives, voting for GOP candidates is usually – but not always – the safer bet. So, if the predictions of a “Red Wave” are accurate, does this portend a seismic shift in political power here in California as well as hope for the state’s beleaguered taxpayers? While history suggests not, since “Red Waves” typically fail to clear the Sierra Mountain range, there may be some rays of sunshine.
First, the history, which suggests tough sledding for the Republicans. In three election cycles during the last 20 years, Republicans performed much better than expected nationally but underperformed in California. For example, in 2010, when national Republicans gained 63 seats in the House of Representatives, and biggest party swing since 1948, California Republicans lost a seat in the California Assembly and Democrats won every statewide office.
In 2014, Republicans picked up 13 seats nationally. But while Republicans in California picked up seats in both the Assembly and Senate, every statewide office was again won by the Democrats.
The 2016 election saw Donald Trump swept into the White House and Republicans returned to power in Congress, albeit with diminished majorities. In California, Republicans lost seats in both houses of the Legislature, and in California’s first open Senate seat in 24 years, two Democrats made it into the top-two.
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Click here to listen to this week's Howard Jarvis Podcast, "Will the red wave crest the Sierras?" ([link removed]) and the special edition of the podcast, "How'd it turn out?" ([link removed]) The Howard Jarvis Podcast features HJTA President Jon Coupal and VP of Communications Susan Shelley with a lively conversation that takes you inside California government in a way that's fun, interesting and sometimes scary. Check out all the recent podcasts by clicking here: [link removed]
A note to our valued members and supporters: To increase the reach of our message to as many Californians as possible, HJTA made an agreement with the Southern California News Group papers to carry Jon Coupal's weekly column. The newspapers in the group, including the Orange County Register and the Los Angeles Daily News, have added a paywall that allows only a limited number of page views per month, and then asks readers to become subscribers. HJTA is not marketing these subscriptions or receiving any payment from them. The columns are exclusive to SCNG's papers for one week and then are posted in full on HJTA's own website, www.hjta.org ([link removed]) , under "California Commentaries," where you can read them at your convenience, or read Jon's column online in all the SCNG papers at these links:
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Jon Coupal is the President of the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association (HJTA). He is a recognized expert in California fiscal affairs and has argued numerous tax cases before the courts.
HJTA always appreciates the support of its members, if it doesn't pose a hardship. Your donations help us fight to protect Proposition 13 and all California taxpayers.
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