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The Economic Situation, September 2022
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Bruce Yandle
 



Fall is arriving with two consecutive quarterly readings of negative real GDP growth: the −1.6 percent final estimate for Q1 2022 and −0.9 percent first estimate for Q2 2022. I note that gross output, which consists of activity across the economy’s full supply chain, rose 2.0 percent in the first quarter, the latest reading available and the weakest growth since Q2 2020. As with GDP, most of the output gain came from the services sector. The shrinking GDP has been accompanied by raging inflation and tight labor markets, not to mention continuing energy uncertainties stemming from the Russo-Ukrainian War as well as the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.


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RESEARCH



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Submarine Cables and Container Shipments: Two Immediate Risks to the US Economy If China Invades Taiwan
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Christine McDaniel &
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Weifeng Zhong



PODCASTS



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Shruti Rajagopalan talks to Daniel Gross and Tyler about Identifying and Predicting Talent

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Conversations with Tyler




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Joshua Younger on the Treasury Market: Structure, Stressors, and Potential Reforms

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Macro Musings




DISCOURSE MAGAZINE



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Racial Classification in America

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Benjamin Klutsey

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IDEAS




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Crypto May Change How We Govern

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Sahil Handa

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IDEAS




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How to Get Out of a ‘Great Stagnation’

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Robert Tracinski

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IDEAS




NEWS & MEDIA

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Undersea internet cables a major vulnerability in any potential Taiwan attack, report finds

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Christine McDaniel &
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Weifeng Zhong (Cited)

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SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST




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A serious drop in prices would not cause the Fed to pause rate hikes

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Thomas Hoenig

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CNBC


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Student loan forgiveness program expensive, 'likely inflationary'

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Christine McDaniel

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FOX BUSINESS


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The State Must Focus on Transformational Change in the Lives of Women
Kadambari Shah & Shreyas Narla

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HINDUSTAN TIMES








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