DFP’s newsletter of our latest polls, memos, and memes.
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** Happy birthday ARP!
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The American Rescue Plan is now one-year-old, and new polling ([link removed]) with our friends at Invest in America finds that Americans still support the American Rescue Plan by a +39-point margin. This includes overwhelming support from Democrats (+85-point margin) and Independents (+45-point margin), as well as more than two-fifths of Republicans.
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We also find a majority of voters believe the American Rescue Plan:
* Helped businesses during the pandemic by 53-40%.
* Helped schools during the pandemic by 55-37%.
* Helped families by 57-37%.
* Improved healthcare by 56-35%.
Not bad, ARP. Too bad passing the Build Back Better agenda wasn’t that easy…
** Some highlights from DFP this week:
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A Majority of Voters Back Biden on Ukraine — Once They Learn About It
New polling ([link removed]) from earlier this week finds a majority of national likely voters back President Biden’s actions in response to Russia’s recent invasion of Ukraine — once they learn about them.
Initially, we find the president underwater in approval on his response to Russia, with a slim plurality of voters — 45 percent of voters in support, 48 percent in opposition — disapproving of the president’s job performance on Ukraine. When voters learn about a number of recent actions the Biden Administration has taken against Russia, we find net approval jumps 36 points to a majority of likely voters — 63 percent — saying they back the president’s performance on Ukraine.
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We also asked voters about their attitudes toward recent administrative actions Biden has taken in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and we find that a majority of voters support ([link removed]) each of these measures.
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Read the full polling analysis here ([link removed]) .
One Thing Missing from the President’s State of the Union? Student Debt Relief
There was one policy notably absent from the President’s State of the Union address last week: student debt relief. Voters, meanwhile? Probably want ([link removed]) to hear the President say something about it:
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Our latest polling with the Student Borrower Protection Center finds a majority of voters support pausing student loan payments through the end of 2022. Read the full polling here ([link removed]) .
We do jobs modeling now!!
We love being your go-to source for progressive polling, and now we’re expanding to jobs modeling, too! And our new analysis ([link removed]) finds Congress’ bipartisan competition bill would create or preserve a total of between 2.6 million and 3.0 million jobs.
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If enacted, we find this bill would contribute between $44 billion and $51 billion per year to the U.S. GDP from 2022 through 2027. The analysis also includes a breakdown of job creation or preservation by state from 2022 to 2027:
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To learn more about the methodology of our jobs modeling, read our Introduction to Jobs Modeling memo on our site ([link removed]) . And to read the full USICA jobs modeling memo, click here ([link removed]) !
Donate to DFP ([link removed])
** New from DFP
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BLOG: The Green New Deal is Incredibly Popular ([link removed])
BLOG: Mondaire Jones: Canceling Student Debt Is Good Policy and Good Politics ([link removed])
BLOG: Transphobia is a Powerful Force in American Politics, but Young Voters are Leading a Cultural Shift Towards Inclusion ([link removed])
BLOG: In Light of Alarming New IPCC Report, Voters Are Ready for Government Action ([link removed])
BLOG: How the Build Back Better Act Would Address the Price Increases Hitting Families Hardest ([link removed])
MEMO: Messaging on Lowering Utility Costs ([link removed])
BLOG: Voters Continue to Strongly Support the American Rescue Plan ([link removed])
BLOG: Majority of Voters Back Biden on Ukraine — Once They Learn About It ([link removed])
BLOG:Voters Support the America COMPETES Act ([link removed])
MEMO: Economic Impacts of the US Innovation and Competition Act ([link removed])
MEMO: Introduction to Industrial Policy ([link removed])
MEMO: Introduction to the Data for Progress Jobs Model ([link removed])
DFP In The News
The Hill:Democratic poll finds partisan split on Biden's response to Russia-Ukraine ([link removed])
The Daily Beast:We Can Do Better Than Duct-Taping Voting Machines Together ([link removed])
The 19th:Republicans split on whether the government should block crucial gender-affirming care, poll shows ([link removed])
Business Insider:Money is everyone's biggest stressor — and they want companies to help ([link removed])
The Washington Post:The Trailer: Democrats want the oil industry to drill more. What does that mean for climate campaigners? ([link removed])
Business Insider:Student debt should be canceled because 'the sky didn't fall and our economy didn't implode' during the loan payment pauses, Democratic lawmaker says ([link removed])
NBC:White House confronts political pressure to extend pause in student loan payments ahead of midterms ([link removed])
CNN:The filibuster fight is over in the Senate. But not on the Democratic campaign trail ([link removed])
NBC:Biden's Supreme Court pick thrills progressives looking for a win ([link removed])
Politico:Want a Covid-19 vaccine exemption? It can be as easy as copy and paste. ([link removed])
Politico:Biden picks ‘daughter of former public school teachers’ for SCOTUS ([link removed])
Bloomberg Law:Hospital Worker Vaccination Rate Data Withheld Until October ([link removed])
Forbes:Biden May Extend Student Loan Pause And Is Considering Loan Forgiveness, Says White House Official ([link removed])
Business Insider:AOC calls out student-loan forgiveness as one of the issues 'left unsaid' during Biden's State of the Union ([link removed])
Politico:Will Biden get a Ukraine bounce? ([link removed])
Slate:Manchin Says He Might Build Back a Little Bit Better ([link removed])
FiveThirtyEight:Americans Care About The Invasion Of Ukraine — But That Doesn’t Mean They Will Rally Around Biden ([link removed])
Forbes:Biden Administration Says They Will Consider Extending Student Loan Payment Pause Again ([link removed])
NBC:Why Biden was forced into a ban on Russian oil ([link removed])
Forbes:5 Reasons Why Biden May Actually Extend The Student Loan Pause Again ([link removed])
On Social
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Donate
Give us money ([link removed]) . No, seriously, give us money ([link removed]) .
Petty Poll of the Week
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Maybe next week we’ll poll which reality villain sucks more: Shake or Clayton.
P.S. We’re hiring! Do you love polling? Data? Progressive communications? Or Taylor Swift’s re-recordings? If so, DFP might be the place for you! Check out our current job postings ([link removed]) (all positions are remote!):
* Software Engineer (Full-Stack) ([link removed])
* Software Engineer (Survey Methodology Focus) ([link removed])
* Fielding Manager ([link removed])
* Web Content Strategist (contract) ([link removed])
* Special Projects Engineer (contract) ([link removed])
* Polling Analyst ([link removed])
* Press Assistant ([link removed])
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