Happy birthday ARP! 


The American Rescue Plan is now one-year-old, and new polling with our friends at Invest in America finds that Americans still support the American Rescue Plan by a +39-point margin. This includes overwhelming support from Democrats (+85-point margin) and Independents (+45-point margin), as well as more than two-fifths of Republicans.
 

 

We also find a majority of voters believe the American Rescue Plan: 

  • Helped businesses during the pandemic by 53-40%. 

  • Helped schools during the pandemic by 55-37%.

  • Helped families by 57-37%.

  • Improved healthcare by 56-35%.

 

Not bad, ARP. Too bad passing the Build Back Better agenda wasn’t that easy…

 

Some highlights from DFP this week: 

 

A Majority of Voters Back Biden on Ukraine — Once They Learn About It

New polling from earlier this week finds a majority of national likely voters back President Biden’s actions in response to Russia’s recent invasion of Ukraine — once they learn about them. 

Initially, we find the president underwater in approval on his response to Russia, with a slim plurality of voters — 45 percent of voters in support, 48 percent in opposition — disapproving of the president’s job performance on Ukraine. When voters learn about a number of recent actions the Biden Administration has taken against Russia, we find net approval jumps 36 points to a majority of likely voters — 63 percent — saying they back the president’s performance on Ukraine.

 

We also asked voters about their attitudes toward recent administrative actions Biden has taken in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and we find that a majority of voters support each of these measures.
 

 

Read the full polling analysis here. 

 

One Thing Missing from the President’s State of the Union? Student Debt Relief

There was one policy notably absent from the President’s State of the Union address last week: student debt relief. Voters, meanwhile? Probably want to hear the President say something about it:
 

 

Our latest polling with the Student Borrower Protection Center finds a majority of voters support pausing student loan payments through the end of 2022. Read the full polling here.

 

We do jobs modeling now!!

We love being your go-to source for progressive polling, and now we’re expanding to jobs modeling, too! And our new analysis finds Congress’ bipartisan competition bill would create or preserve a total of between 2.6 million and 3.0 million jobs.

 

 

If enacted, we find this bill would contribute between $44 billion and $51 billion per year to the U.S. GDP from 2022 through 2027. The analysis also includes a breakdown of job creation or preservation by state from 2022 to 2027: 
 

 

To learn more about the methodology of our jobs modeling, read our Introduction to Jobs Modeling memo on our site. And to read the full USICA jobs modeling memo, click here!

 

Donate to DFP

New from DFP

BLOG: The Green New Deal is Incredibly Popular

BLOG: Mondaire Jones: Canceling Student Debt Is Good Policy and Good Politics

BLOG: Transphobia is a Powerful Force in American Politics, but Young Voters are Leading a Cultural Shift Towards Inclusion

BLOG: In Light of Alarming New IPCC Report, Voters Are Ready for Government Action

BLOG: How the Build Back Better Act Would Address the Price Increases Hitting Families Hardest

MEMO: Messaging on Lowering Utility Costs

BLOG: Voters Continue to Strongly Support the American Rescue Plan

BLOG: Majority of Voters Back Biden on Ukraine — Once They Learn About It

BLOG: Voters Support the America COMPETES Act

MEMO: Economic Impacts of the US Innovation and Competition Act

MEMO: Introduction to Industrial Policy

MEMO: Introduction to the Data for Progress Jobs Model



DFP In The News 

The Hill: Democratic poll finds partisan split on Biden's response to Russia-Ukraine

The Daily Beast: We Can Do Better Than Duct-Taping Voting Machines Together

The 19th: Republicans split on whether the government should block crucial gender-affirming care, poll shows

Business Insider: Money is everyone's biggest stressor — and they want companies to help

The Washington Post: The Trailer: Democrats want the oil industry to drill more. What does that mean for climate campaigners?

Business Insider: Student debt should be canceled because 'the sky didn't fall and our economy didn't implode' during the loan payment pauses, Democratic lawmaker says

NBC: White House confronts political pressure to extend pause in student loan payments ahead of midterms

CNN: The filibuster fight is over in the Senate. But not on the Democratic campaign trail

NBC: Biden's Supreme Court pick thrills progressives looking for a win

Politico: Want a Covid-19 vaccine exemption? It can be as easy as copy and paste.

Politico: Biden picks ‘daughter of former public school teachers’ for SCOTUS

Bloomberg Law: Hospital Worker Vaccination Rate Data Withheld Until October

Forbes: Biden May Extend Student Loan Pause And Is Considering Loan Forgiveness, Says White House Official

Business Insider: AOC calls out student-loan forgiveness as one of the issues 'left unsaid' during Biden's State of the Union

Politico: Will Biden get a Ukraine bounce?

Slate: Manchin Says He Might Build Back a Little Bit Better

FiveThirtyEight: Americans Care About The Invasion Of Ukraine — But That Doesn’t Mean They Will Rally Around Biden

Forbes: Biden Administration Says They Will Consider Extending Student Loan Payment Pause Again

NBC: Why Biden was forced into a ban on Russian oil

Forbes: 5 Reasons Why Biden May Actually Extend The Student Loan Pause Again



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Petty Poll of the Week

Maybe next week we’ll poll which reality villain sucks more: Shake or Clayton. 

 

P.S. We’re hiring! Do you love polling? Data? Progressive communications? Or Taylor Swift’s re-recordings? If so, DFP might be the place for you! Check out our current job postings (all positions are remote!):

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