Data for Progress' weekly round-up of polling and memes.

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In new Data for Progress polling, we find that U.S. Senator from Arizona Kyrsten Sinema is poised to lose her primary in 2024. Sinema, who famously sauntered ([link removed]) down the Senate floor to thumbs down a minimum wage increase, is unpopular with Arizona voters — who, incidentally, voted ([link removed]) for a 2016 measure to increase the minimum wage in larger numbers than they voted for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump. Life comes at you fast.

A quick breakdown of our polling: We found that her unfavorability among Democratic primary voters is underwater across every demographic and that her overall approval is -45 points, trailing well behind President Joe Biden and other Arizona senator Mark Kelly.

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In 1-on-1 polling against potential primary challengers, the challengers outperformed Sinema regardless of their name recognition. It should be noted that we find progressive Rep. Ruben Gallego to be the best positioned to beat her. Sinema does have a chance of winning if multiple progressives jump into the race and split the vote, but even then, she trails behind Rep. Gallego by about four points.

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Right now, Sinema is holding up the Build Back Better reconciliation bill, which our previous polling found is widely popular with Arizona voters across party lines. In particular, the bill mobilizes Democrats and Independents - the base that Sinema would want to court in 2024. If she tanks the bill, it’s easy to imagine a world where Arizona primary voters send her and her wigs ([link removed]) packing in retaliation.

Read the full memo here ([link removed]) .
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** Here are some other highlights from DFP over the past week:
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Voters overwhelmingly support canceling student loan debt

Currently, more than 4 million Americans have been paying off their student loans for more than two decades, and we have a new poll ([link removed]) out that shows even Republicans want to do something about it. By a +12-point margin, we find a majority of Republicans want to cancel student debt for borrowers who have been paying loans for more than 20 years.

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We also find clear majority support for canceling student debt for healthcare and essential workers, people with total and permanent disabilities, and public service workers who have made payments for more than 10 years.

Read the full poll here ([link removed]) .

Voters support expanding and modernizing our immigration policy

Every year, thousands of immigrants who have been approved for green cards don’t end up receiving them for one reason: administrative errors. We can fix this problem by “recapturing” unused green cards so that everyone who’s been approved can live and work in the U.S. It’s an obvious fix, and our new poll finds ([link removed]) voters — even 40 percent of Republicans — realize it.

Our polling also finds that a bipartisan majority of voters — including a +17-point margin of Republicans — want to create a simpler pathway to citizenship for high-skilled immigrants.

Read the full poll analysis and crosstabs here ([link removed]) .

DFP In The News

Huffpost:Progressive Group’s Poll Suggests Deep Primary Trouble For Kyrsten Sinema ([link removed])

Vox:Americans are ready to tax the rich ([link removed])

The Hill:Sinema trails potential primary challengers in progressive poll ([link removed])

Salon:New poll shows dismal chances for Kyrsten Sinema in next primary: 'A clear warning sign' ([link removed])

The Washington Post:Opinion: Two new polls should really light a fire under Democrats ([link removed])

The Hill:The Memo: Troubles pile up for Biden ([link removed])

NBC:Democrats stake 2022 hopes on child cash benefits. There's just one problem. ([link removed])

Politico:Dems thought giving voters cash was the key to success. So what occurred? ([link removed])

The Guardian:Who is Kyrsten Sinema? Friends and foes ponder an Arizona Senate enigma ([link removed])

The American Independent:Ron Johnson says top 1% pay 'fair share' in taxes ([link removed])

Newsweek:Kyrsten Sinema Trails Potential Primary Challengers Amid Opposition to Biden's Social Bill ([link removed])

Home Health Care News:Senator Bob Casey: Nation Is ‘Long Overdue for an Investment in Caregiving’ ([link removed])

The Nation:Biden Needs to Do More Than Sound the Alarm on Climate ([link removed])

Salon:Kyrsten Sinema ditches Senate negotiations for fundraising trip to Europe ([link removed])

Truthout:Poll: Kyrsten Sinema Would Lose to Progressive Challengers If Primary Were Now ([link removed])

Truthout:Sinema Takes Off to Europe for Fundraising While Obstructing Democratic Agenda ([link removed])

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Meme of the Week
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P.S. Check out what came up first this week when you googled ‘Sinema.’ With your support, we can keep shaping the media landscape — and poll the issues, states, and members that matter most.
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