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Record-Breaking Jewish Vote for Trump
RJC Impact Felt in Florida, Nationally
Adam Kredo at the Washington Free Beaconreports <[link removed]>:
[Donald] Trump won 30.5 percent of the Jewish vote, up from the 24 percent he received in 2016, according to the Republican Jewish Coalition, which conducted an analysis of national exit polls along with analyst groups Basswood Research and McLaughlin & Associates. The poll included 600 registered voters nationwide who identified as Jewish.
The president won 43 percent of the Jewish vote in Florida, a historic high, according to polls conducted by the New York Times and Associated Press. This helped Trump clinch the state and remain competitive in the race as several states continue to count ballots. The poll also indicates that Jewish voters are increasingly willing to vote Republican despite the plurality of Jews historically voting Democratic. The RJC sees these inroads as critical to GOP candidates in contested states such as Florida.
"There is no doubt that in this election, when Donald Trump won in the key battleground state of Florida by fewer than 3 points, the Jewish vote was critical to his victory," RJC executive director Matthew Brooks said in a statement on the organization's exit polling.
The Forwardreports on the RJC’s impact <[link removed]>:
The Republican Jewish Coalition spent millions of dollars in South Florida on television advertisements and other voter outreach. Matt Brooks, RJC’s executive director, said he believed that work had shifted the Jewish vote a meaningful amount across the state.
“I’d see it as contributory,” he said of the RJC’s work in Florida. “Any time you’re able to move an impactful demographic group like the Jewish vote in South Florida in one direction … obviously it contributes and helps, in this case, the president.”
This JNS report <[link removed]> looked at the issues that motivated Jewish voters:
Given that the RJC invested heavily in ad buys aimed at persuading Jewish voters that Trump deserved their votes because of his record on Israel, this demonstrates that the effort succeeded to some extent. Indeed, as the RJC poll showed, those voters who considered Israel and foreign-policy issues to be their priority went for Trump by a whopping 87 percent to 6 percent margin. This validates the conventional wisdom that Orthodox voters, who went for Trump by a 70-19 margin, look to Israel as their litmus test.
Jews, like other Americans, generally vote along partisan lines for the candidates of the party with which they affiliate. However, it also reveals that it’s still possible for politicians to increase Jewish support, albeit marginally, by demonstrating—as Trump has done—that they are a friend of Israel.
The RJC’s grassroots efforts made a difference this year! Just to give you an idea of the scale of our efforts, here are some key metrics:
- $10 million invested nationwide, $5 million of that in Florida
- 67 Virtual National Days of Action
- 2,075 National Victory Team volunteers recruited
- 551,402 Jewish outreach phone calls
- 144,271 Jewish outreach Get-Out-The-Vote texts
- 204,225 Jewish outreach emails
- 500,000 direct mail pieces <[link removed]>
- 9 ads on digital and television platforms <[link removed]>, seen millions of times
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Watch the press conference where pollsters and RJC leaders present the results of our national Jewish voter exit poll. Click the graphic to view.
Get the Details on the RJC site
For more on the RJC’s national exit poll of Jewish voters, click here <[link removed]>. You’ll find highlights from the poll and links to the methodology, top line, and crosstab data.
For the numbers on how many people the RJC reached with our historic, data-driven outreach efforts this year, click here <[link removed]>.
Top pollsters John McLaughlin and Jon Lerner, along with RJC National Executive Director Matt Brooks, National Chairman Senator Norm Coleman, and Board member Ari Fleischer, held a press conference yesterday to discuss our exit polls and our grassroots efforts in 2020. You can watch the recorded session here <[link removed]>.
And you can still see our ads <[link removed]>, our direct mail pieces <[link removed]>, and our virtual events <[link removed]> on the RJC web site.
Senate and House Races
The RJC PAC did very well this year. In the races that have been called so far, RJC PAC-endorsed candidates have logged 32 wins and 14 losses.
Key Senate victories include reelecting GOP stalwarts Mitch McConnell (KY), Joni Ernst (IA), Susan Collins (ME), Lindsey Graham (SC), and John Cornyn (TX). The GOP picked up a seat in Alabama where RJC PAC-endorsee Tommy Tuberville defeated Democrat Sen. Doug Jones. We are confident that David Perdue (GA) will retain his Senate seat after the expected run-off there. You'll be hearing more from us very soon about the other Georgia Senate run-off, which pits Sen. Kelly Loeffler against Democrat Raphael Warnock.
On the House side, Republicans have gained six seats so far. House winners including these RJC PAC-endorsees: Carlos Gimenez (FL-26), Maria Elvira Salazar (Fl-27), Ashley Hinson (IA-1), Peter Meijer (MI-3), Michelle Fischbach (MN-7), Yvette Herrell (NM-2), Stephanie Bice (OK-5), and Nancy Mace (SC-1). We helped Jewish Republican Representatives Lee Zeldin (NY-1) and David Kustoff (TN-8) keep their seats, and we expect to add more names to the “Win” column as more races are called.
What It Means
RJC Board member Ari Fleischermade an important point <[link removed]>, noted in the Jewish Insider:
"GOP control of the Senate is a [brake] on extremism," former White House press secretary Ari Fleischer told Jewish Insider during a press call hosted by the Republican Jewish Coalition. "Now you cannot abolish the filibuster, you cannot pack the courts, you cannot create new overwhelmingly Democratic states. What you have to do now is legislate, and do so in a bipartisan manner, regardless of who’s in the White House. So it’s normalcy as opposed to an open door to radicalism."
Democrats understand that even if Joe Biden becomes President, they have lost ground everywhere else.
David Goldmanwrites <[link removed]>:
The Republicans kept a Senate majority and reduced the Democratic majority in the House. If Biden squeaks by, he will have no popular mandate, no Senate, and no help from the Supreme Court. He won’t be able to pass tax increases, big changes in health care, or his Green New Deal boondoggles. He will have the same headaches confirming his favorite nominees as Trump did, and worse, as a Republican Senate casts a jaundiced eye at Biden’s supporting cast.
Damon Linker at The Week expresses the anger and disappointment of Democrats in a piece titled, “The left just got crushed.” He writes <[link removed]>:
Democrats proved to be the most effective GOTV operation for the GOP imaginable…Democrats live in a country with a large, passionate opposition. Arrogant talk of demographic inevitabilities and transformative changes to lock Republicans out of power in the name of "democracy" has the effect of inspiring that opposition to unite against them, rendering political success less assured and more tenuous.
There will be no court packing. No added states. Nothing from the toxic progressive-fantasy wish list will come anywhere close to passing. Instead, we will have grinding, obstructive gridlock. Some will demand that Biden push through progressive priorities by executive order. But every time he does — like every incident of urban rioting and looting, every effort to placate the left-wing "Squad" in the House, every micro-targeted identity-politics box-checking display of intersectional moral preening and finger-wagging — the country will move closer to witnessing a conservative backlash that results in Republicans taking control of the House and increasing their margin in the Senate in November 2022, rendering the Biden administration even more fully dead in the water. [emphasis added]
Among the Republican women who won their races this week are Sen. Joni Ernst (IA), Sen. Susan Collins (ME), and Rep. Elise Stefanik (NY).
Other Results of Note
While the RJC’s work focuses on the White House and select races for the US Senate and US House, there was a lot of good news from other races across the country, up and down the ballot. Here are some things you should know:
• Democrats did not defeat a single House incumbent <[link removed]>. Republicans will likely take at least seven seats from Democrats, narrowing the Democratic majority in that chamber. The blame game <[link removed]> on that side of the House aisle has already begun.
• Republican women made massive gains in political races all over the country, as The Federalist notes <[link removed]>. “At least 11 new Republican women, and possibly 11 more after close races are called, will take seats in the House, and 10 more GOP female incumbents will keep their seats.” Susan Collins is one of the 6-7 Republican women in the next Senate. Collins “will become the longest-serving Republican woman in the history of the Senate.”
• Pres. Donald Trump did historically well with minority voters. Latino, Asian, Black, and LGBT voters all chose Trump in higher numbers than expected, according to an Edison exit poll <[link removed]>. Hispanic voters helped put Trump over the top in Florida, where 55 percent of Florida’s Cuban-American vote went to Trump <[link removed]>. Trump’s share of the Hispanic vote rose 4 points nationally.
• Republicans did well on the state level, as the AP reports <[link removed]>. Heading into Tuesday, Republicans had full control of 29 state legislatures compared to 19 for Democrats. The GOP also held 26 governors’ offices while the Democrats had 24. The GOP picked up on one governor (in Montana). Republicans also appeared to flip control of the New Hampshire House and Senate.
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We still have the RJC/Trump kippah!
Our extremely popular red Trump kippah is now for sale for just $18. This includes shipping and handling. Supplies are limited.
BUY YOUR KIPPAH HERE. <[link removed]>
— Tweets —
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— Events —
You can watch these past virtual events on the RJC web site <[link removed]>:
- Closing Arguments: What's at Stake for the Jewish Community, featuring Jason Greenblatt
- A Conversation with Boris Epshteyn
- A Conversation with Senator Ted Cruz
- A Conversation with Jason Miller
- RJC Town Hall with Nikki Haley and Mark Levin
You can access all of them by going to the RJC homepage <[link removed]> and scrolling down to the "RJC Live" section. There's a drop-down menu there to select the video you want to see.
While RJC offices are closed and our staff are teleworking, you can reach us by email or by phone (please leave a voicemail message and your call will be returned). Contact information <[link removed]> for our offices can be found on our web site. Please visit us online for the latest RJC news <[link removed]>, to volunteer <[link removed]> for our 2020 outreach efforts, to see details of upcoming events <[link removed]>, and to donate <[link removed]> to the RJC.
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