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November 05, 2020 |
Your
weekly look at the latest news, analysis, and RJC activities around
the country. |
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Featured —
Record-Breaking Jewish
Vote for Trump RJC Impact Felt in Florida,
Nationally
Adam Kredo at the Washington Free
Beacon reports:
[Donald] Trump won 30.5
percent of the Jewish vote, up from the 24 percent he received in
2016, according to the Republican Jewish Coalition,
which conducted an analysis of national exit polls along with analyst
groups Basswood Research and McLaughlin & Associates. The poll
included 600 registered voters nationwide who identified as Jewish.
The president won 43 percent of the Jewish vote in Florida, a
historic high, according to polls conducted by the New York
Times and Associated Press. This helped Trump clinch the state
and remain competitive in the race as several states continue to count
ballots. The poll also indicates that Jewish voters are increasingly
willing to vote Republican despite the plurality of Jews historically
voting Democratic. The RJC sees these inroads as critical to GOP
candidates in contested states such as Florida.
"There is no doubt that in this election, when Donald Trump
won in the key battleground state of Florida by fewer than 3 points,
the Jewish vote was critical to his victory," RJC executive director
Matthew Brooks said in a statement on the
organization's exit polling.
The
Forward reports
on the RJC’s impact:
The Republican Jewish Coalition spent millions of dollars in
South Florida on television advertisements and other voter outreach.
Matt Brooks, RJC’s executive director, said he believed that work had
shifted the Jewish vote a meaningful amount across the state.
“I’d see it as contributory,” he said of the RJC’s work in
Florida. “Any time you’re able to move an impactful demographic group
like the Jewish vote in South Florida in one direction … obviously it
contributes and helps, in this case, the president.”
This
JNS report looked at the issues that motivated Jewish
voters:
Given that the RJC invested heavily in ad buys aimed at
persuading Jewish voters that Trump deserved their votes because of
his record on Israel, this demonstrates that the effort succeeded to
some extent. Indeed, as the RJC poll showed, those voters who
considered Israel and foreign-policy issues to be their priority went
for Trump by a whopping 87 percent to 6 percent margin. This validates
the conventional wisdom that Orthodox voters, who went for Trump by a
70-19 margin, look to Israel as their litmus test.
Jews, like other Americans, generally vote along partisan
lines for the candidates of the party with which they affiliate.
However, it also reveals that it’s still possible for politicians to
increase Jewish support, albeit marginally, by demonstrating—as Trump
has done—that they are a friend of Israel.
The RJC’s grassroots efforts made a difference this
year! Just to give you an idea of the scale of our efforts,
here are some key metrics:
- $10 million invested nationwide, $5 million of that in
Florida
- 67 Virtual National Days of Action
- 2,075 National Victory Team volunteers
recruited
- 551,402 Jewish outreach phone calls
- 144,271 Jewish outreach Get-Out-The-Vote
texts
- 204,225 Jewish outreach emails
- 500,000 direct mail pieces
- 9
ads on digital and television platforms, seen millions of
times
Watch the press conference where pollsters
and RJC leaders present the results of our national Jewish voter exit
poll. Click the graphic to view.
Get the Details
on the RJC
site
For more on the RJC’s national exit poll of Jewish voters, click
here. You’ll find highlights from the poll and links to the
methodology, top line, and crosstab data.
For the numbers on how many people the RJC reached with our
historic, data-driven outreach efforts this year, click
here.
Top pollsters John McLaughlin and Jon
Lerner, along with RJC National Executive Director
Matt Brooks, National Chairman Senator Norm
Coleman, and Board member Ari Fleischer,
held a press conference yesterday to discuss our exit polls and our
grassroots efforts in 2020. You
can watch the recorded session here.
And you can still see our
ads, our
direct mail pieces, and our
virtual events on the RJC web site.
The RJC PAC did very well this year. In the
races that have been called so far, RJC PAC-endorsed candidates have
logged 32 wins and 14 losses.
Key Senate victories include reelecting GOP stalwarts
Mitch McConnell (KY), Joni Ernst
(IA), Susan Collins (ME), Lindsey
Graham (SC), and John Cornyn (TX). The GOP
picked up a seat in Alabama where RJC PAC-endorsee Tommy
Tuberville defeated Democrat Sen. Doug
Jones. We are confident that David Perdue
(GA) will retain his Senate seat after the expected run-off there.
You'll be hearing more from us very soon about the other Georgia
Senate run-off, which pits Sen. Kelly Loeffler
against Democrat Raphael Warnock.
On the House side, Republicans have gained six seats so far.
House winners including these RJC PAC-endorsees: Carlos
Gimenez (FL-26), Maria Elvira Salazar
(Fl-27), Ashley Hinson (IA-1), Peter
Meijer (MI-3), Michelle Fischbach (MN-7),
Yvette Herrell (NM-2), Stephanie
Bice (OK-5), and Nancy Mace (SC-1). We
helped Jewish Republican Representatives Lee Zeldin
(NY-1) and David Kustoff (TN-8) keep their seats, and
we expect to add more names to the “Win” column as more races are
called.
RJC Board member Ari Fleischer made
an important point, noted in the Jewish
Insider:
"GOP control of the Senate is a [brake] on
extremism," former White House press secretary Ari
Fleischer told Jewish Insider during a press call
hosted by the Republican Jewish Coalition. "Now you
cannot abolish the filibuster, you cannot pack the courts, you cannot
create new overwhelmingly Democratic states. What you have to do now
is legislate, and do so in a bipartisan manner, regardless of who’s in
the White House. So it’s normalcy as opposed to an open door to
radicalism."
Democrats understand that even if Joe Biden
becomes President, they have lost ground everywhere else.
David Goldman writes:
The Republicans kept a Senate majority and reduced the
Democratic majority in the House. If Biden squeaks by, he will have no
popular mandate, no Senate, and no help from the Supreme Court. He
won’t be able to pass tax increases, big changes in health care, or
his Green New Deal boondoggles. He will have the same headaches
confirming his favorite nominees as Trump did, and worse, as a
Republican Senate casts a jaundiced eye at Biden’s supporting cast.
Damon
Linker at The Week expresses the anger and
disappointment of Democrats in a piece titled, “The left just got
crushed.” He writes:
Democrats proved to be the most effective GOTV operation for
the GOP imaginable…Democrats live in a country with a large,
passionate opposition. Arrogant talk of demographic inevitabilities
and transformative changes to lock Republicans out of power in the
name of "democracy" has the effect of inspiring that opposition to
unite against them, rendering political success less assured and more
tenuous.
There will be no court packing. No added states. Nothing from
the toxic progressive-fantasy wish list will come anywhere close to
passing. Instead, we will have grinding, obstructive gridlock. Some
will demand that Biden push through progressive priorities by
executive order. But every time he does — like every incident of urban
rioting and looting, every effort to placate the left-wing "Squad" in
the House, every micro-targeted identity-politics box-checking display
of intersectional moral preening and finger-wagging — the
country will move closer to witnessing a conservative backlash that
results in Republicans taking control of the House and increasing
their margin in the Senate in November 2022, rendering the
Biden administration even more fully dead in the water. [emphasis
added]
Among the
Republican women who won their races this week are Sen. Joni Ernst
(IA), Sen. Susan Collins (ME), and Rep. Elise Stefanik
(NY).
While the RJC’s work focuses on the White House and select
races for the US Senate and US House, there was a lot of good news
from other races across the country, up and down the ballot. Here are
some things you should know:
• Democrats
did not defeat a single House incumbent. Republicans will likely
take at least seven seats from Democrats, narrowing the Democratic
majority in that chamber. The blame
game on that side of the House aisle has already begun.
• Republican women made massive gains in political races all
over the country, as
The Federalist notes. “At least 11 new Republican women, and
possibly 11 more after close races are called, will take seats in the
House, and 10 more GOP female incumbents will keep their seats.”
Susan Collins is one of the 6-7 Republican women in
the next Senate. Collins “will become the longest-serving Republican
woman in the history of the Senate.”
• Pres. Donald Trump did historically well
with minority voters. Latino, Asian, Black, and LGBT voters all chose
Trump in higher numbers than expected, according
to an Edison exit poll. Hispanic voters helped put Trump over the
top in Florida, where 55
percent of Florida’s Cuban-American vote went to Trump. Trump’s
share of the Hispanic vote rose 4 points nationally.
• Republicans did well on the state level, as
the AP reports. Heading into Tuesday, Republicans had full control
of 29 state legislatures compared to 19 for Democrats. The GOP also
held 26 governors’ offices while the Democrats had 24. The GOP picked
up on one governor (in Montana). Republicans also appeared to flip
control of the New Hampshire House and Senate.
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We
still have the RJC/Trump kippah! Our extremely popular
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BUY YOUR KIPPAH HERE.
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— Events —
You can watch these past virtual events
on
the RJC web site:
- Closing Arguments: What's at Stake for
the Jewish Community, featuring Jason
Greenblatt
- A Conversation with Boris
Epshteyn
- A Conversation with Senator Ted
Cruz
- A Conversation with Jason
Miller
- RJC Town Hall with Nikki
Haley and Mark Levin
You can access all of them by going to
the RJC
homepage and scrolling down to the "RJC Live" section. There's a
drop-down menu there to select the video you want to
see.
While RJC offices are closed and our staff are teleworking, you
can reach us by email or by phone (please leave a voicemail message
and your call will be returned). Contact
information for our offices can be found on our web site. Please
visit us online for the latest RJC
news, to volunteer
for our 2020 outreach efforts, to see details of upcoming events,
and to donate
to the RJC.
If you like the work we’re doing, consider joining us on
Facebook and Twitter, and renew or upgrade your RJC
membership. Ensure that your voice is heard in our party
and our community!
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