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**NOVEMBER 3, 2020**

Meyerson on TAP

My Fearless, Heedless Election Predictions

Biden definitely wins Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, D.C.,
Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine (including the Second Congressional
District), Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska's
Second Congressional District, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New
Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont,
Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin, which comes to 286 electoral votes.

If Republican chicanery is blocked, he also wins Florida, Georgia, and
Pennsylvania, which brings his total to 351. I think the voters brought
out by the ballot measure that would raise the state minimum wage to $15
will tilt Florida to Biden.

And purely on a hunch, I'm giving Biden Ohio, which would bring his
total to 369.

If we set Texas aside, that gives Trump 131 electoral votes.

Texas should go to Trump-except for the fact that its pre-November 3
voting, combining mail and drop-off, exceeded its entire 2016 total,
which puts Biden in the game. So take Texas's 38 electoral votes and
add it to ... whomever.

Senate? Democrats pick up Arizona, Colorado, Maine, and North Carolina,
losing Alabama. There's about a 40 percent chance that Ossoff clears
50 percent in Georgia; otherwise, he goes into a January runoff, as does
Rev. Warnock for the other seat.

By the way, I was completely wrong in 2016.

~ HAROLD MEYERSON

Follow Harold Meyerson on Twitter

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2020 Election State by State

Our roundup of all the coverage we've done on Senate races, hot-button
propositions, and all kinds of contextual state-level issues affecting
the presidential election in nearly every state across the U.S. BY
PROSPECT STAFF

The Prospect Staff Forecasts Election 2020

What our writers think will happen BY PROSPECT STAFF

Some Election Night Sunshine?

Florida reports early, and Florida could wrap it up for Biden. BY
ROBERT KUTTNER

Return to Mother Emanuel

The site of the 2015 hate crime that killed nine parishioners was in
many ways a preview for an ugly era in race relations and politics.
BY BRITTANY GIBSON

Unsanitized, Election Edition: Donald Trump Has Been Good for Democracy

Millions of Americans got engaged during this presidency. That's a
positive for the nation. This is The Election 2020 Daily Report for
Election Day, 2020. BY DAVID DAYEN

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