[link removed]
------------------------------------------------------------
mailto:?&subject=Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day&body=Each%20weekday,%20Scott%20Rasmussen%E2%80%99s%20Number%20of%20the%20Day%20explores%20interesting%20and%20newsworthy%20topics%20at%20the%20intersection%20of%20culture,%20politics,%20and%20technology.%20Check%20it%20out%20here%3A%20https%3A//ballotpedia.org/Scott_Rasmussen%2527s_Number_of_the_Day [blank] [link removed]'s%20interesting%20and%20newsworthy%20%23NumberOfTheDay%20from%20%40ScottWRasmussen%20on%20%40ballotpedia%20https%3A//ballotpedia.org/Scott_Rasmussen%2527s_Number_of_the_Day [blank] [link removed] [blank] [link removed] [blank]
------------------------------------------------------------
[link removed]'s_Number_of_the_Day
OCTOBER 16, 2020: Forty-four percent (44%) of likely voters nationwide believe former Vice President Joe Biden ([link removed]) will win the 2020 presidential election. A Political IQ national survey found that 43% believe President Donald Trump ([link removed]) will be re-elected.[1] ([link removed])
Supporters of each candidate are very confident. Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Trump voters believe he will win. Eighty percent (80%) of Biden supporters believe he will emerge victorious.[1] ([link removed])
Those numbers reflect little change since the summer. In July ([link removed]) , 91% of Trump supporters expected victory along with 81% of Biden supporters.[1] ([link removed])
Polling both by Scott Rasmussen and all polling averages show Biden with a lead nationally and in key states. The fact that many Trump supporters still expect victory may result from several factors. One is the belief that the polls are simply wrong (or even fake). For many, that's the key lesson from 2016. However, the polls weren't as bad as the legend ([link removed]) that has grown up around that election.[1] ([link removed])
Another reason for confidence among Trump supporters may be a belief in a strong comeback or a strong Republican turnout. Political IQ polls conducted by Scott Rasmussen have shown the president trailing narrowly in Florida ([link removed]) and North Carolina ([link removed]) . However, in both cases, the strong Republican turnout model shows the president ahead. In Pennsylvania ([link removed]) , the president pulls to within two points with a strong Republican turnout. That's close enough to be competitive. However, President Trump would likely have to win all three to be re-elected.[1] ([link removed])
Click here to view the Number of the Day online→ ([link removed])
------------------------------------------------------------
Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day ([link removed]) explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.
To see other recent numbers, check out the archive ([link removed]) .
Was this email forwarded to you? Click here to subscribe to Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day. ([link removed])
------------------------------------------------------------
============================================================
_Scott Rasmussen is an editor-at-large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. He is a senior fellow for the study of self-governance at the King’s College in New York. His most recent book, ** Politics Has Failed: America Will Not ([link removed])
** , ([link removed])
was published by the Sutherland Institute in August 2018._
-------------------------
Decide which emails you want from Ballotpedia.
** Unsubscribe [link removed]
or ** update your subscription preferences [link removed]
.
Ballotpedia
The Encyclopedia of American Politics
** 8383 Greenway Blvd., Suite 600 ([link removed])
** Middleton, WI 53562 ([link removed])
** [Facebook] ([link removed])
** [Twitter] ([link removed])
