Let me show you a daily tactic I've used for 2 years running Bonus Content:
Valero Turned $714 Million in Profit Into $3.7 Billion. Oil at $108 Keeps the
Clock Running.͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌
͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌

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September 13, 2026
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A note from our friends at Media Pub(ad)
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See you in the market.

Chris Pulver

We develop tools and strategies to the best of our ability, but we can't
guarantee the future. There is always a risk of loss when trading. Past
performance is not indicative of future results. The stated results are from
live, published alerts between 8/26/24 and 8/13/26. The win rate has been 89.6%
for options, with an average return of 13.95% over a one-day holding period.


Bonus Article
Valero Turned $714 Million in Profit Into $3.7 Billion. Oil at $108 Keeps the
Clock Running.



Brent crude sat at $108 a barrel last week. Futures for international
benchmark Brent crude for November delivery gained to $108.21 a barrel. For
Valero Energy, higher crude is not the risk. Higher crude, combined with
constrained refining capacity and tight product inventories, is the business
model.

Why This Stock Now

Valero surged 142% year-to-date on nearly doubled refining margins. That
number understates the Q2 story. Valero reported net income attributable to
stockholders of $3.7 billion for Q2 2026, driven by exceptional operational and
commercial performance across all segments. One year earlier, the same company
earned $714 million. That is not a margin expansion. That is a structural reset
of what the refining business is worth in an era of geopolitical supply
disruption.

The Business

Valero is one of the largest independent petroleum refiners in the United
States, operating across 15 refineries in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. It
does not drill for oil. It buys crude at market rates, processes it into
gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, and sells the output at whatever the crack
spread dictates. In normal markets, that spread compresses. In the current
market, it has not.

The company's refining segment benefited from strong margins, low global
product inventories, and resilient demand, with management pointing to a
bullish outlook on higher mid-cycle margins. Management's argument is that the
mid-cycle has shifted permanently upward because European refining is setting
the floor. COO Gary Simmons said mid-cycle refinery crack spreads are now being
set by hydroskimming margins in Northwest Europe, which are subject to higher
carbon credit costs and inflationary pressures, resulting in a higher floor for
margins.

Why Wall Street Is Paying Attention

Adjusted EPS came in at $12.54, up from $2.28 a year earlier. Revenue reached
$44.48 billion, up from $29.89 billion in Q2 2025. Net income attributable to
stockholders was $3.7 billion, up from $714 million. The beat was not narrow.
The adjusted EPS of $12.54 represented a 27.1% earnings surprise.

The board increased share repurchase authorization on July 16, 2026 by adding
$5.0 billion to its February 2026 program. With $7.9 billion in cash on the
balance sheet and a net debt-to-capitalization ratio of 11%, Valero has the
financial capacity to execute that program aggressively.

What's Driving the Opportunity

Valero said it expects another solid quarter in Q3, with refining margins and
capture rates looking stronger than in Q2. Management said the biggest tailwind
is improved feedstock costs, as delivered crude is being bought at discounts to
benchmarks rather than at premiums.

The $230 million Charles FCC optimization project is expected to be completed
in 2026, increasing production of high-value alkylate and gasoline. That
project adds higher-margin output on top of already-favorable market conditions.

The Iran conflict underpins all of this. In its July 2026 Short-Term Energy
Outlook, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said it expects most crude
oil production to return to near pre-conflict averages by the end of 2026, with
the majority of shut-in crude oil production back online in the first quarter
of 2027. That supply path still keeps product markets exposed to renewed
disruption and slow inventory rebuilding.

What Could Go Wrong

Refining margins are the business, and refining margins can move fast in
either direction. Investors should not treat one exceptional period as a
permanent run rate. Refining-margin normalization, renewable-policy changes,
and repair execution remain the main durability tests. The Port Arthur refinery
fire earlier this year has required repairs, and the company has said it
expects repair-related capital spending in 2026 that should be covered by
insurance, subject to its self-insured retention.

A ceasefire or diplomatic resolution in the Middle East would likely send
crude lower and crack spreads with it. WTI has already swung from about $55 to
about $114 over the past 52 weeks, a reminder that geopolitical risk premiums
unwind as fast as they build.

The Bottom Line

Valero is not a growth stock. It is a capital-return machine operating in the
best refining environment in a generation. Valero is experiencing significant
earnings momentum, supported by tight refined product markets and upward
revisions in estimates. With Brent above $100, an expanded buyback
authorization, a COO arguing the margin floor has structurally risen, and Q3
commentary pointing to margins and capture rates stronger than Q2, the
risk-reward favors staying long until the geopolitical backdrop changes. Watch
for any signs of de-escalation in the Gulf. Until then, the refining clock
keeps running.


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