Everyone thinks Elon’s October 2 launch is about Tesla. But the trail points
wider than that. Apple wants in. Google wants in. The Pentagon is paying
attention.
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Everyone thinks Elon’s October 2 launch is about Tesla.
But the trail points wider than that.
Apple wants in. Google wants in. The Pentagon is paying attention.
And from what we’ve uncovered, the real opportunity may not be Tesla at all.
It may be the small group of companies quietly supplying the technology
behind the next phase.
We pulled together the three stocks that could benefit before the market
connects the dots.
Watch it here.
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The Return Ledger
News Corp Has Bought Back Almost Half Its $1 Billion Authorization. Here’s
the Math.
$465.9 million spent, 17.2 million shares retired, and an average price for
one share class sitting well below where the stock trades today — disclosed the
same week as record annual profit.
The Corporate Decision
News Corp authorized a $1 billion share buyback program in 2025, and a
disclosure covering activity through September 9, 2026, shows the company has
repurchased $465.9 million of stock so far — $304.7 million of Class A shares
and $161.2 million of Class B shares, or 17.2 million shares combined. That
leaves roughly $531.5 million, or about 53%, of the authorization still
available. The disclosure lands in the same week the company reported record
fiscal Q4 profit, with EBITDA up 31% year over year.
Capital Committed
$465.9 million committed to buybacks to date under this authorization, funded
against a business that just posted record annual profitability rather than
against new debt, based on the earnings context disclosed alongside it. We were
not able to independently verify News Corp’s current balance-sheet leverage or
free-cash-flow coverage of this specific buyback from the sources reviewed for
this edition — a gap worth checking against the 10-K.
The Official Promise
Management’s stated rationale, per the disclosure, is that the buyback
“reduces the company’s outstanding share count, which can support per-share
earnings metrics over time,” and that the board’s continued authorization
reflects confidence that the current share price aligns with the company’s
fundamental performance. That is a claim about future EPS support, not a claim
that has yet been measured against results.
Results Produced So Far
The company has retired 17.2 million shares (11.7 million Class A, 5.5
million Class B) since the program’s inception, at an average price of roughly
$25.98 per Class A share and roughly $29.44 per Class B share.
ROI Tracker Pro calculation: $304.7 million ÷ 11,727,932 Class A shares ≈
$25.98/share; $161.2 million ÷ 5,473,560 Class B shares ≈ $29.44/share. Against
a News Corp Class A close of $29.61 on September 9, the Class A repurchases
look meaningfully accretive — bought roughly 12% below today’s price. The Class
B average is close to flat with the current price, offering little cushion
either way.
Per-Share Impact
Retiring 17.2 million combined shares mechanically raises earnings per share
for continuing holders, independent of any change in the underlying media and
information-services business. We do not have News Corp’s total diluted share
count in hand for this edition, so we cannot calculate the precise percentage
reduction in share count this buyback represents — a number worth pulling from
the next 10-Q to size the actual per-share benefit.
Benchmark Comparison
One source described News Corp as underperforming the broader
communication-services sector over the past year; we could not independently
verify the specific magnitude of that underperformance for this edition.
Analyst consensus currently rates the stock Buy with a $38.00 price target
against a recent close of $29.61 — roughly 28% implied upside — which is an
analyst expectation, not a measured result, and should be read as such.
Who Benefited
Continuing shareholders in the Class A line benefit most clearly, given an
average buyback price roughly 12% below today’s quote. Class B holders have
seen a buyback executed close to the current price — a repurchase that reduces
share count but has not yet demonstrably been bought “cheap” the way the Class
A activity has.
What Shareholders Absorbed
Nearly half a billion dollars committed to buybacks is nearly half a billion
dollars not available for acquisitions, debt reduction, or reinvestment in the
underlying businesses (News Corp’s reporting cited AI-licensing partnerships as
a growth driver this year). If those partnerships require capital the company
has instead spent on its own stock, that trade-off has not yet been tested.
Return Classification
Value Compounded (Class A), Not Yet Proven (Class B)
The Class A repurchases were executed at a real, disclosed discount to
today’s price and coincide with record company profitability — a reasonable
case for value compounding on that share class specifically. The Class B
activity, bought close to the current price, has not yet shown the same margin
of safety, and the buyback’s opportunity cost against reinvestment in
AI-licensing partnerships remains untested.
Next Measurable Checkpoint
Watch the next quarterly disclosure for the pace of remaining $531.5 million
deployment, and whether the average repurchase price continues to sit below the
market price as it has for Class A shares so far.
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