| The Return Ledger |
| News Corp Has Bought Back Almost Half Its $1 Billion Authorization. Here’s the Math. |
| $465.9 million spent, 17.2 million shares retired, and an average price for one share class sitting well below where the stock trades today — disclosed the same week as record annual profit. |
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| The Corporate Decision |
| News Corp authorized a $1 billion share buyback program in 2025, and a disclosure covering activity through September 9, 2026, shows the company has repurchased $465.9 million of stock so far — $304.7 million of Class A shares and $161.2 million of Class B shares, or 17.2 million shares combined. That leaves roughly $531.5 million, or about 53%, of the authorization still available. The disclosure lands in the same week the company reported record fiscal Q4 profit, with EBITDA up 31% year over year. |
| Capital Committed |
| $465.9 million committed to buybacks to date under this authorization, funded against a business that just posted record annual profitability rather than against new debt, based on the earnings context disclosed alongside it. We were not able to independently verify News Corp’s current balance-sheet leverage or free-cash-flow coverage of this specific buyback from the sources reviewed for this edition — a gap worth checking against the 10-K. |
| The Official Promise |
| Management’s stated rationale, per the disclosure, is that the buyback “reduces the company’s outstanding share count, which can support per-share earnings metrics over time,” and that the board’s continued authorization reflects confidence that the current share price aligns with the company’s fundamental performance. That is a claim about future EPS support, not a claim that has yet been measured against results. |
| Results Produced So Far |
The company has retired 17.2 million shares (11.7 million Class A, 5.5 million Class B) since the program’s inception, at an average price of roughly $25.98 per Class A share and roughly $29.44 per Class B share.
ROI Tracker Pro calculation: $304.7 million ÷ 11,727,932 Class A shares ≈ $25.98/share; $161.2 million ÷ 5,473,560 Class B shares ≈ $29.44/share. Against a News Corp Class A close of $29.61 on September 9, the Class A repurchases look meaningfully accretive — bought roughly 12% below today’s price. The Class B average is close to flat with the current price, offering little cushion either way. |
| Per-Share Impact |
| Retiring 17.2 million combined shares mechanically raises earnings per share for continuing holders, independent of any change in the underlying media and information-services business. We do not have News Corp’s total diluted share count in hand for this edition, so we cannot calculate the precise percentage reduction in share count this buyback represents — a number worth pulling from the next 10-Q to size the actual per-share benefit. |
| Benchmark Comparison |
| One source described News Corp as underperforming the broader communication-services sector over the past year; we could not independently verify the specific magnitude of that underperformance for this edition. Analyst consensus currently rates the stock Buy with a $38.00 price target against a recent close of $29.61 — roughly 28% implied upside — which is an analyst expectation, not a measured result, and should be read as such. |
| Who Benefited |
| Continuing shareholders in the Class A line benefit most clearly, given an average buyback price roughly 12% below today’s quote. Class B holders have seen a buyback executed close to the current price — a repurchase that reduces share count but has not yet demonstrably been bought “cheap” the way the Class A activity has. |
| What Shareholders Absorbed |
| Nearly half a billion dollars committed to buybacks is nearly half a billion dollars not available for acquisitions, debt reduction, or reinvestment in the underlying businesses (News Corp’s reporting cited AI-licensing partnerships as a growth driver this year). If those partnerships require capital the company has instead spent on its own stock, that trade-off has not yet been tested. |
| Return Classification | | Value Compounded (Class A), Not Yet Proven (Class B) | | The Class A repurchases were executed at a real, disclosed discount to today’s price and coincide with record company profitability — a reasonable case for value compounding on that share class specifically. The Class B activity, bought close to the current price, has not yet shown the same margin of safety, and the buyback’s opportunity cost against reinvestment in AI-licensing partnerships remains untested. | |
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| Next Measurable Checkpoint |
| Watch the next quarterly disclosure for the pace of remaining $531.5 million deployment, and whether the average repurchase price continues to sit below the market price as it has for Class A shares so far. |