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John,

FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver just updated his 2026 Senate forecast — and right now, the Senate is a coin-flip .

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The odds have narrowed since the forecast was first released: Maine, Michigan, and Ohio are Lean Democrat; Alaska and Texas are Toss-Ups; Iowa is Lean Republican.

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According to the forecast, ruby-red Texas is currently the most competitive race and the most likely tipping-point state to decide Senate control .

We can’t afford to leave it to chance — we have to stay competitive in the other battleground races: Ohio, Michigan, Maine, Alaska, and Iowa .

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With your help, we turn election odds and forecasts into wins.

Thanks,

Flip the Senate

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