John,

FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver just updated his 2026 Senate forecast — and right now, the Senate is a coin-flip.

Nate Silver: The Senate is a Coin-Flip - Donate Now!

The odds have narrowed since the forecast was first released: Maine, Michigan, and Ohio are Lean Democrat; Alaska and Texas are Toss-Ups; Iowa is Lean Republican.

Will you donate now and help us Flip the Senate?

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According to the forecast, ruby-red Texas is currently the most competitive race and the most likely tipping-point state to decide Senate control.

We can’t afford to leave it to chance — we have to stay competitive in the other battleground races: Ohio, Michigan, Maine, Alaska, and Iowa.

Please contribute today so we have the resources to fight and win in the states that will determine Senate control.

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With your help, we turn election odds and forecasts into wins.

Thanks,

Flip the Senate

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