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Dear John,
Be sure to visit our website:
www.ircgop.com [[link removed]]
August, 2020, Florida County Republican Registrations Report and Elections Analysis
©Stephen R. Meyer, Vero Beach, Florida, September, 2020
Issued 09/03/20

* Congratulations to DeSoto County for joining the ranks of the now 48 Florida Counties
where Republican registrations exceed Democrat registrations!
* In August, Republican registrations in Florida, relative to Democrat registrations,
improved by a strong 39,423 registrations. This was the second strong month in a
row and leaves the Democrats with a 202,330 relative registration advantage (See
attached chart and tables). Republican registrations also passed the 5 million mark
in August for the first time!
* The two months of solid gains in Republican registrations is hypothesized to be
at least partially owing to the fear of ever greater lawlessness if Democrats have
election success in November.
Click Here to View Document [[link removed]]
It is strategically important for Republicans to have a fully functioning socio-economic
system leading up to the 2020 election and fear of COVID-19 is not allowing this
to happen.
One of the great things about the U.S. socio-economic system is that it is a system
that champions the individual, not the state, or the collective. Each person seeking
his or her best interests, utilizing our private property system under the rule
of law, results in prosperity. Our drug approval process should also champion the
individual.
Stalin has been quoted as saying something along the lines of "one death is a tragedy;
a million deaths is a statistic". The daily reported COVID-19 death counts are statistics.
The late July death of Herman Cain was a tragedy. Mr. Cain was destined to die,
not because there wasn't an effective treatment, but because effective treatments
were not available pending FDA approvals. The approval process was deemed by the
government to be more important than individual lives, including Herman Cain's.
COVID-19 may present as at least two different diseases. For most, COVID-19 is a
virus, not much different from the common cold or the flu. For others, COVID-19
causes a severe and sometimes deadly immune response. Modern labs are able to measure
viral loads and immune responses. The approval process forces time consuming trials
pitting a placebo, or the standard of care, against a treatment candidate. Modern
capabilities are ignored. The government interests in serving individuals, such
as Mr. Cain, are subjugated to the government's need to run "randomized, placebo-controlled"
clinical trials!
As early as April there were at a minimum a handful of treatments that showed efficacy
against the COVID-19 hyper-immune reaction. In one such treatment the science showed
a calming of the immune system and a drop of viral load. This treatment has now
proven to be effective in a phase ll trial of mild to moderate patients (for a comparison
of this drug to Remdesivir see [link removed] [[link removed]]).
The treatment achieved statistical significance in The National Early Warning Score
2 (NEWS2), which is a look at a grouping of symptoms, where if the collective symptoms
are worsening, there is a high probability of the patient becoming severe or critical.
As far as can be ascertained, this is the first COVID-19 drug achieving statistical
significance in a FDA approved phase ll or phase lll trial (at least as of this
writing). The drug has yet to be approved (again, as of this writing). The death
statistics keep increasing. We are numb to the tragedy of individual deaths.
There are yet other treatments in testing that may prove to have great efficacy.
Governor DeSantis and President Trump would be heroes if approval for effective
therapies were granted. Having a treatment would accelerate the reopening of our
economy while also greatly increase the ability of these men to get re-elected.
A new table was created for this month's report (Table 2, see attachment). This
new table lists the counties' homeownership rates, the change in homeownership rates,
and the median home price with the associated changes in registrations since the
2018 election. Generally, a lower median home price, a higher homeownership rate,
and a rising homeownership rate correlates with Republicans gaining relative registrations.
A common reason stated for not utilizing housing policies to positively change Republican
voting trends and registrations is the long-term nature of the effort. Housing related
efforts are not long-term efforts; they just have a long lead time! The difference
is not trivial.
There are many Republican trending counties where favorable housing policies are
in place and they are experiencing real-time, continuous, monthly gains in Republican
market share. If these counties adopt even more positive housing policies, the efforts
will quietly add to their success. There are also Democrat trending counties with
unfavorable housing policies experiencing real-time, continuous, growth in Democrat
market share. The counties Republicans control should not be shifting to become
more Democrat. One way for Republican counties to lose market share is for Republicans
to adopt housing policies which grow Democrat market share! The second way for this
to happen is for the state and/or federal government to force local governments
to adopt Democrat market share growing housing policies. Please consider the repercussions
of Democrats winning elections and forcing their bad housing polices, such as Affirmatively
Furthering Fair Housing, on everyone.
People are fleeing Democrat run cities and states. Owing to the lateness of the
2020 election in the reapportionment cycle, this vacating of Democrat places will
not help Republicans much until after reapportionment. State and local Republicans
should have policies in place that champion the creation of owner-occupied housing
so Republicans can maximize the political advantage obtained from the exodus of
voters from Democrat cities and states.
Best,
Steve Meyer, Indian River County REC Member
Contact Information:
Phone or text; 772-713-8265, Email; [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]]
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Click on this link to email me: [mailto:[email protected]]
Joe Saul
Secretary Indian River County REC
www.ircgop.com [[link removed]]
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GOD BLESS AMERICA

Joe Saul
Secretary
Indian River County Republican Executive Committee

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Indian River County Republican Executive Committee | 2001 9th Ave. | Ste. 107 | Vero Beach | FL | 32960