From Swing Left <[email protected]>
Subject New York’s 17th Congressional District was recently rated a “Toss Up” by Cook Political Report. Here’s how you can flip it this year:
Date February 7, 2026 4:36 PM
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[ [link removed] ]Swing Left Most-Flippable Districts[2]Swing Left



GOP Rep. Mike Lawler in New York’s 17th Congressional District

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Friend,

New York’s 17th Congressional District is one of the 33 competitive seats
Swing Left is targeting that have the power to determine whether Democrats
regain control of the House next year.

A major independent analyst, the Cook Political Report, recently shifted
NY-17’s rating from Lean Republican to Toss Up, and new analysis from CNN
shows a “huge Democratic rebound” in the state that highlights how
vulnerable Mike Lawler could be this year.



If you’re ready to help flip NY-17 and take back the House, [ [link removed] ]will you
donate a contribution of $25 or any amount today to support
Swing Left and our 33 battleground targets?



[ [link removed] ]Donate

Despite representing a battleground district, Republican Congressman Mike
Lawler has voted with Trump 100% of the time and consistently backs
Trump-aligned priorities and national Republicans—even when it puts his
own constituents at risk.

Lawler voted to cut Medicaid and food assistance programs that impacted
300,000 New York households. He also voted to cut over $7 billion in
revenue for New York hospitals and threaten funding for 75 hospitals
already in financial distress. And he proudly claimed he was a top
recipient of America PAC, a super PAC created by Elon Musk, from which he
received over $1.7 million in 2024.

This seat is one of the clearest opportunities Democrats have to flip a
vulnerable Republican-held district and win back the House majority.
Here’s why NY-17 is flippable:

* Lawler won reelection in 2024 by just six points, and shifting
national dynamics have only made his position weaker.

* New polling shows New York House Democrats ahead by 27 points (more
than double Kamala Harris’ margin in 2024).

* NY-17 is already one of just three Republican-held districts
nationwide that Kamala Harris won in 2024. And there are 86,000 more
registered Democratic voters in the district than Republicans.

* Democratic momentum is growing across New York. The Cook Political
Report shifted every competitive New York House race in Democrats’
direction last month.

Swing Left is focused on directing grassroots time and dollars to the
highest-impact actions in the most competitive races in the country—and
NY-17 is one of them. Winning seats like this one is how Democrats will
take back the House and put a real legislative check on Trump’s agenda. By
investing now, we can build early support for the eventual Democratic
nominee running in NY-17, while funding on-the-ground voter contact
programs like Ground Truth—listening-first outreach that Swing Left
volunteers are already using to engage voters in these swing districts.



[ [link removed] ]That’s why today, we’re asking you to split a donation of
$25, or any amount that makes sense for you, between Swing
Left and all 33 of our House targets—including NY-17.





[ [link removed] ]Donate $25 Now



Together, we can flip the districts that decide the House and put a real
check on Trump’s agenda.

— Swing Left







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