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Inflation anxiety has crossed into personal insecurity, with falling-behind sentiment flashing red across the electorate.
Trump’s economic promises now collide with lived experience, where tariffs and healthcare costs overwhelm any tax-cut messaging.
The collapse of MAGA turnout loyalty reshapes 2026 into a turnout war, not a persuasion contest.
Rick and Andrew frame the data as something darker than a midterm slump: a structural break between narrative politics and household reality.
When 44% say they’re falling behind, that’s not messaging failure—it’s a governing failure that no culture-war distraction can mask. Their point about tax cuts landing differently than in 2017 underscores how context, not policy branding, determines political payoff.
The discussion of healthcare costs turning tax relief into a mirage sharpens why economic optimism isn’t bouncing back, even hypothetically. Layered onto that is a turnout collapse inside MAGA that threatens not just 2026 candidates but the entire Trump succession fantasy.
Tune in to Behind the Numbers for a data-driven look at why the political ground is shifting under Trump—and what the polling says comes next.

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