From National Democratic Redistricting Committee <[email protected]>
Subject The 5 state legislatures most likely to flip
Date November 3, 2024 12:09 PM
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John,

We’ve been closely watching the key legislative chambers that are likely to flip on Tuesday.

Back in the summer, Politico reported that Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania as the five states that were “the most likely to see legislative chambers flip in November.”

And just last week, Sabato’s Crystal Ball included those in a short list of the “most vulnerable to a party shift.”

All five of these states are on our list of priority states. We’ve been working hard to flip chambers in Arizona and New Hampshire; to hold chambers in Michigan and Minnesota; and to do both in Pennsylvania — flip the state senate and defend the state house.

The future of electoral maps in these five crucial states are at stake — and with these elections coming down to the wire, we need your help.

Rush a donation to the NDRC right now to help Democracy Defenders in states like Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania sprint through Election Day. [[link removed]]

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We’ve identified the places where your contribution will have an outsized impact. What you do right now may make the difference for some of these toss-up races:

*
In
Arizona,
Republicans
hold
just
a
two-seat
majority
in
both
the
state
house
and
state
senate.
If
we
can
help
get
out
the
vote
and
win
a
majority
in
both
chambers
,
we
can
strengthen
the
state’s
redistricting
process.
*
In
New
Hampshire,
mid-cycle
congressional
redistricting
is
permitted,
so
the
GOP
could
choose
to
rewrite
their
maps
at
any
given
moment.
Democrats
need
to
win
majorities
in
the
state
house
and
state
senate
to
prevent
Republicans
from
engaging
in
mid-cycle
partisan
gerrymandering.
*
In
Michigan,
Republicans
are
trying
to
take
back
the
state
house
and
end
the
Democratic
trifecta
we
helped
win
in
2022.
If
they
do,
they
could
attempt
to
roll
back
progress
on
fair
maps
by
targeting
the
state’s
independent
redistricting
commission.
*
In
Minnesota,
the
Democrats
hold
a
trifecta
which
helped
enact
Gov.
Tim
Walz’s
bold
agenda.
Republicans
only
need
to
flip
five
seats
to
gain
control
of
the
state
house
and
block
all
the
amazing
progress
we’ve
seen
there
this
year.
*
Pennsylvania
is
currently
the
only
state
in
the
country
with
a
divided
legislature
(where
Democrats
hold
one
legislative
chamber
and
Republicans
hold
the
other),
after
Democrats
flipped
the
state
house
in
2022.
If
we
flip
the
state
senate
AND
hold
the
state
house
,
another
Democratic
trifecta
will
give
us
a
route
to
redistricting
reform.

The work is not over. What we do today, tomorrow, and Tuesday could make the difference in these extremely tight races.

Will you make a donation right now to help races like these all across the country? [[link removed]]

Thank you,
NDRC HQ

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Since 2017, the NDRC has executed a comprehensive redistricting strategy that shifts the redistricting power, creating fair districts where Democrats can compete. Our victories have been made possible by our strong community of grassroots supporters.
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Paid for by the National Democratic Redistricting Committee, John Bisognano, President.

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