DFP's newsletter of our latest polls, memos, and memes.
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We take it back: the kids actually are alright!
Lots of ink has been spilled, or at least keys have been clicked, this year about how young voters are going to turn out on November 5. Will there be an anti-Dobbs-motivated youth turnout surge? Will we see young men shift to the right? Will Kamala Harris need the critical Mr. Beast endorsement to secure her win?
We set out to answer all of your pressing questions about young voters (but just don’t ask us why they all seem to be getting that haircut ([link removed]) ).
In our new survey ([link removed]) , we find Harris leading young voters by a +19-point margin over Trump. They see her as more composed, intelligent, and caring than Trump (well, yes!), and a plurality say the Republican Party does not care about people like them.
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When asked which ideology best describes them, young voters most frequently choose “pro-choice,” and we find that abortion is the second most important issue (behind the economy) for young, female voters.
And while young men are more divided on Harris vs. Trump, we find that a strong majority of young people, including young men, support progressive policies like a Green New Deal, Medicare for All, and many elements of Harris’ agenda.
Whoever decided that Election Day should always come after Halloweekend really had it out for young voters. But we promise that no hangover is worth staying home when our democracy is on the line!
Read the full poll here ([link removed]) .
Here are some other highlights from DFP this week:
Transphobia-phobia…
While Harris is out here closing the trust gap on economic issues and ([link removed]) convincing voters that Trump supports national abortion bans ([link removed]) , Trump and the Republicans are spending millions of dollars on TV ads attacking trans people. Ugh, give it a rest!
According to our new polling ([link removed]) , the overwhelming majority of voters agree: 80% say that “both Democrats and Republicans should spend less time talking about transgender issues and more time talking about voters' priority issues like the economy and inflation.”
And when we asked specifically about the deluge of anti-trans ads, a majority of voters agree that these ads have gotten “mean-spirited and out of hand.”
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Our data also continues to confirm that most voters would rather vote for a candidate who supports transgender rights than a candidate who does not support transgender rights.
Of course, Republicans want to distract you with transphobia so you’re not thinking about their creepy plans for our reproductive rights or their sheer passion for giving tax breaks to the rich. Leave Trans People Alone 2024!
Read the full poll here ([link removed]) .
No Halloween costume is scarier than a second Trump term
If Trump really is joking about many of his most outrageous statements, he’s got to be the worst stand-up comic of all time. Yes, even worse than your coworker’s improv sketch troupe.
The former president can be crowned the world’s worst comedian and still push his “jokes” out to people, which is a scary thought because he has the power to make those “jokes” become a reality.
According to our new polling ([link removed]) , many voters aren’t taking Trump’s comments seriously or literally. Large percentages of voters do not think Trump is being serious at all when making various statements, like when he said that he would be a “dictator on day one” or that immigrants are eating dogs and cats.
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For all nine tested statements, 50% or less of Independent voters think Trump was being serious at all. Look, if Trump wins, it’ll basically be the end of humor for at least the next four years. Do we really want to relive Kate McKinnon on the SNL stage ([link removed]) singing Hallelujah? Do you want to deal with another four years of Sarah Cooper lip-synch videos ([link removed]) ? We didn’t think so.
Don’t get us wrong, we love political humor, but Trump’s bit stopped being funny long ago.
Read the full poll here ([link removed]) .
DFP In The News
The Hill: Majority of voters view anti-transgender ads as ‘mean-spirited’ ([link removed])
The Hill: Young voters strongly prefer Harris to Trump: Survey ([link removed])
New York Times: How Polls Have Changed to Try to Avoid a 2020 Repeat ([link removed])
New Republic: Trump Has a New Focus in His Campaign Ads—and His Base Hates It ([link removed])
Huffington Post: 41% Of Republican Voters Agree That GOP’s Anti-Trans Rhetoric Is ‘Sad And Shameful’ ([link removed])
Huffington Post: Democrats’ Surprisingly Simple Closing Message Against Donald Trump: The Issues ([link removed])
Advocate: Anti-trans ads erode support for transgender people in America with no effect on presidential election: study ([link removed])
Advocate: Voters actually hate ‘mean-spirited’ anti-transgender political ads like Trump’s: survey ([link removed])
Them: The GOP Is Doubling Down on Anti-Trans Ads. Democrats’ Rebuttals Are Abysmal ([link removed])
LGBTQ Nation: Donald Trump is hammering Kamala Harris on trans issues. But voters say they don’t care. ([link removed])
Human Rights Campaign: ICYMI: New Survey Finds Anti-Trans Ads Ineffective, Disliked by Voters ([link removed])
The Independent: Republicans have bet big on anti-trans ads. Voters hate them ([link removed])
Newsweek: Donald Trump Inches Ahead in Two Critical Sun Belt States ([link removed])
Newsweek: Kamala Harris Beats Donald Trump on Disaster Response: New Polling ([link removed])
On Social
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Meme of the Week
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