The ABC News post-debate polling average has ticked up to a 2.9% lead for
Harris nationally, which is a big jump from a low of 2.4% in polls just
before the debate.

Nate Silver's model has the race tight enough that it seemingly disagrees
with itself, giving Harris a 48.8% chance of an Electoral College win to
Trump's 51% – while forecasting that she'll get 272.5 electoral votes to
his 265.5.

His model also shows that she needs to gain another 1% in the polling
averages to be put over the top to a forecast that she'll win in the
Electoral College. A week ago, based on pre-debate polling, the model was
much closer to 60% for a Trump win to 40% for a Harris win.

We're not out of the woods yet, but getting closer.

In recent weeks, our PCCC team has deployed to states like Arizona,
Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania to help folks on the ground get ready to GET
OUT THE VOTE. There’s more work to do, which takes money.

[ [link removed] ]Can you donate to our 2024 organizing in battleground states today?

[ [link removed] ]Nate Silver's presidential forecast model.

Thanks for being a bold progressive.

-- The PCCC Team


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