The ABC News post-debate polling average has ticked up to a 2.9% lead for Harris nationally, which is a big jump from a low of 2.4% in polls just before the debate.
Nate Silver's model has the race tight enough that it seemingly disagrees with itself, giving Harris a 48.8% chance of an Electoral College win to Trump's 51% – while forecasting that she'll get 272.5 electoral votes to his 265.5.
His model also shows that she needs to gain another 1% in the polling averages to be put over the top to a forecast that she'll win in the Electoral College. A week ago, based on pre-debate polling, the model was much closer to 60% for a Trump win to 40% for a Harris win.
We're not out of the woods yet, but getting closer.
In recent weeks, our PCCC team has deployed to states like Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania to help folks on the ground get ready to GET OUT THE VOTE. There’s more work to do, which takes money.
Can you donate to our 2024 organizing in battleground states today?
Thanks for being a bold progressive.
-- The PCCC Team
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