From Deb Otis, FairVote <[email protected]>
Subject New ranked choice poll shows Kamala Harris is consensus choice for Democrats if Biden withdraws
Date July 15, 2024 8:20 PM
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Ranked choice polling provides more information on voter preferences, including
voters’ backup choices, head-to-head matchups of all candidates, and which
candidates are strong “consensus” picks (ranked in voters’ top 3 or top 5
choices). Donate Today!


Dear John,

Today, we released a new SurveyUSA/FairVote ranked choice pollof 2,050 likely
voters in six swing states.The pollfinds that Kamala Harris is the strong
favorite among Democrats and independents to replace President Biden should he
withdraw from the race.

Ranked choice polling provides more information on voter preferences, including
voters’ backup choices, head-to-head matchups of all candidates, and which
candidates are strong “consensus” picks (ranked in voters’ top 3 or top 5
choices). Here are some of the key findings:

Harris is a consensus choice

Vice President Kamala Harris hasboth deep and broad support among voters – she
is the first choice of 37% of likely Democratic and independent voters, and
continues to consolidate support in the RCV tabulation. Harris ultimately wins
with 68% and her strongest opponent, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, receives
32%.

Harris is also a strong consensus candidate, ranked in the top three choices by
56% of Democratic and independent voters. Other candidates commonly ranked in
voters’ top three choices include Whitmer (31%) and Transportation Secretary
Pete Buttigieg (29%).

Voters overwhelmingly support ranked choice voting

Ranked choice voting is already used for presidential elections in Maine and
Alaska, and the poll suggests RCV has broad support beyond those states, too.

54% of all respondents said they would support implementing ranked choice voting
where they live. Only 22% would oppose it, with 22% not sure. Younger voters,
voters of color, and liberal voters reported the highest level of support for
ranked choice voting.

Head-to-head matchups

The poll also tests the performance of all potential Democratic nominees against
former President Trump. Biden performs the strongest against Donald Trump of all
potential nominees (44%-44%). Harris performs the best of all non-Biden options
(Trump 46%-Harris 42%).

FairVote remains a nonpartisan organization with no opinion on which candidates
should run for president, but we hope these findings will contribute to a
healthy discussion about RCV and the presidential race – and that more states
will decide to implement RCV as Maine and Alaska have!

Read thefull poll analysison our website!

Sincerely,
Deb Otis
Director of Research and Policy

Donate Today Copyright © 2024 FairVote, All rights reserved.




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