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February 28, 2023
This month’s newsletter features the findings from an Iran Watch roundtable on Iranian drones. An expert panel convened by the Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control identified areas where the United States and its partners could do more to slow Iran’s drone development and halt the flow of capable Iranian drones to Russia.
The newsletter also includes profiles of entities supplying Iran’s drone program, as well as news about the detection of uranium particles enriched to 84% purity in Iran, the inauguration of a uranium mine in Yazd province, and Iran’s plans to build a drone production facility in Russia. Additions to the Iran Watch library include documents on Iran’s weapon transfers abroad, U.S. sanctions enforcement, and new human rights sanctions from Western governments related to Iran’s protest crackdown.
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A display of Iranian drones modeled after the Lockheed Martin RQ-170. (Credit: Tasnim News Agency) |
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Iran’s aerial drone program has become an area of increasing concern to the United States and its partners in recent months, particularly in light of Iran’s direct transfers to Russia and illicit shipments to proxy groups such as the Houthis in Yemen. The Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control convened an expert panel for a private roundtable discussion on how sanctions and export controls can inhibit Iran’s development of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).
The panel offered recommendations of how supply-side controls, despite some inherent limitations, can be strengthened and can continue to limit the size and capability of Iran’s drone arsenal in the future. A supplementary fact sheet summarizes these recommendations.
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Small Iranian companies and foreign suppliers play a key role in Iran’s increasingly diversified drone development program. |
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AEOI chief Mohammad Eslami at the inauguration ceremony for the Narigan mine. (Credit: Islamic Republic News Agency) |
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February 19, 2023: International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors detected uranium particles enriched to 84% fissile purity in Iran in recent weeks, according to three senior diplomats. Iran does not however appear to be accumulating uranium stocks at that level, according to the diplomats. A spokesman for Iran’s atomic energy agency did not deny the report, but he suggested that more highly enriched particles could be a byproduct of enrichment to lower levels. |
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February 7, 2023: The Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI) announced the beginning of operations at the Narigan Mining and Industrial Complex in Yazd province. At the inauguration ceremony, Mohammad Eslami, head of the AEOI, said that uranium from Narigan will be sent to Esfahan for "purification" and will be used for making nuclear fuel. He claimed that the site contained an estimated 650 tons of natural uranium and 4,600 tons of molybdenum. |
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February 5, 2023: According to unnamed officials from a U.S.-aligned country, Iran and Russia are advancing plans to build a factory in Russia that can produce at least 6,000 Iranian-designed drones in the coming years. On January 5, a delegation led by Abdollah Mehrabi and Ghassem Damavandian traveled to Yelabuga, Russia, to tour the planned site. The two countries are also developing a version of the Shahed-136 suicide drone with a better engine that would travel faster and farther than the current model. The drone factory is part of a $1 billion deal between Tehran and Moscow. |
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The United States and its partners worked to expose and thwart Iranian transfers of drones and other arms.
The United States used secondary sanctions and administrative actions to punish violations of existing sanctions on Iran.
Western governments announced more sanctions against Iranian entities involved in the violent suppression of protests.
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Iran Watch is a website published by the Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control. The Wisconsin Project is a non-profit, non-partisan organization that conducts research, advocacy, and public education aimed at inhibiting strategic trade from contributing to the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.
Copyright © 2023 - Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control
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