From xxxxxx <[email protected]>
Subject German Tanks Against Russia? A Historic Mistake
Date January 29, 2023 1:00 AM
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[Those now promoting the path to war with ever more, ever heavier
weapons, sparing no thought for the costs, are the expression of a
veritably apocalyptic mood in our society which no longer believes in
real social progress ]
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GERMAN TANKS AGAINST RUSSIA? A HISTORIC MISTAKE  
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Sevim Dagdelen
January 20, 2023
Morning Star
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_ Those now promoting the path to war with ever more, ever heavier
weapons, sparing no thought for the costs, are the expression of a
veritably apocalyptic mood in our society which no longer believes in
real social progress _

A Bundeswehr Leopard II tank on exercises in Germany last year,

 

The debate about supplying Leopard battle tanks to Ukraine is gaining
a dangerous amount of traction in Germany. Those advocating such
deliveries are hoping in all seriousness for a Ukrainian victory in
the war against Russia. They give little thought to the effect that
sending German tanks would have in Russia.

Hardly any time in this debate is spent considering German history. 
And yet you do not have to be a prophet to foresee what reactions the
deployment of German tanks against Russia would elicit from the public
there. Even though Ukraine will paint over the iron crosses on the
German battle tanks, many Russians, especially those who lost loved
ones in the war of extermination and colonisation waged by the
Wehrmacht, will see in these weapons a renewed German military
campaign against their country.

In short, those pushing for German tanks to be supplied will reap a
massive mobilisation of Russian public opinion in favour of the war
against Ukraine.

BERLIN IS TO BE SENT INTO THE LINE OF FIRE

Irrespective of such considerations, there is now a whole phalanx,
ranging from the FDP to the Greens to the CDU/CSU, who are pushing
unconditionally for Leopard tanks to be supplied quickly. Germany’s
Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock even went so far as to visit the
front line in Kharkiv to lend emphasis to the demand.

Only the Chancellor himself and the SPD still seem to be hesitating. 
That said, Rolf Muetzenich, chairman of the SPD parliamentary group in
the Bundestag, has already underlined that the decision on deliveries
is still open and declared on January 12 that “there are no red
lines”. FDP frontwoman Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann has even
proposed starting the training for Ukrainian soldiers even before the
Leopards are supplied, despite knowing full well that the Research
Services of the German Bundestag saw a possibly entry into the war for
Germany in the combination of weapons deliveries and training.

Other Nato countries are putting pressure on the German federal
government. Britain has announced it will supply heavy tanks; Poland
intends to give some Leopards of its own. This is intended to force
Germany into also supplying Leopards.

Poland’s President Andrzej Duda has even declared that “a decision
has already been made in Poland”. It goes without saying that he
knows Berlin alone can decide on re-export. This is obviously about
passing Germany the poisoned chalice. Berlin is to be sent into the
line of fire, to conclusively destroy German-Russian relations and
turn them into open war for others’ benefit.

THE DANGEROUS LIMITS ON GERMAN SOVEREIGNTY

Olaf Scholz, however, wants to prevent Germany even coming into
Russia’s crosshairs and is hiding behind “our transatlantic
partner”, the United States. Only in tandem with the United States,
as the US newspaper Politico reports, would he be prepared to act. The
precondition would thus seem to be that the United States also supply
heavy tanks to Ukraine. Another card on the table is the possibility
of not supplying our own battle tanks but issuing re-export licences
for other Nato countries.

But that trick would not be enough to get Berlin out of the line of
fire. Even before the next weapons-suppliers conference, to be held on
German soil, in Ramstein today, January 20 2023, at the invitation of
the US, Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba is already certain
that Berlin will deliver. “Even if Germany has certain rational
arguments for not doing it, Germany will do it at a later point,”
was how he described the expected dynamic.

The US is making no move to supply its own Abrams tanks, under the
pretext that it would be too difficult to keep them maintained in
Europe. Politico reports that Ukrainian officials have suggested to
the US administration that it “send just a handful of Abrams
tanks”. These symbolic deliveries would serve as icebreakers and
make the Germans believe they no longer bore the monopoly in sending
Leopards.

And so this debate reveals the dangerous limits on German sovereignty.
Ultimately, the German government cannot decide independently on
delivering German tanks.

Bear in mind that this would entail the greatest security threat to
face the German population since the second world war. The United
States, however, has sufficient influence in the governments of its
fellow Nato countries to achieve the outcome it desires. This applies
with respect to Germany too.

GERMANY, IT APPEARS, IS SUPPOSED TO DRAW RUSSIA’S COUNTERFIRE

But why is it in Washington’s interest to send the Germans, of all
people, into Russia’s line of fire? Why is there such a great
preference in Washington DC for a “European solution” with Berlin
as the hub of decision-making?

The argument that its own military capacities are needed against China
is, like the maintenance problem, not very credible. No — Germany,
it appears, is supposed to draw Russia’s counterfire. One cannot
escape the impression that it is hoped a possible counterstrike would
hit Berlin first and foremost.

The United States would thus have achieved one of its long-term
strategic objectives, namely to prevent co-operation between Germany
and Russia for ever.

The Prussian military theorist Carl von Clausewitz once wrote: “The
political object is the goal, war is the means of reaching it, and
means can never be considered in isolation from their purpose.” The
tank deliveries are today what war loans were in 1914. They lead
directly to participation in the war.

They cannot be considered in isolation from their purpose — that is,
victory in Nato’s proxy war against Russia in Ukraine. But
consideration must also be given to the Russian response.

In the end, after all, Western tanks would practically invoke the use
of nuclear weapons — against Germany first. This appears to be the
deeper reason why voices in Washington are so reticent on the subject
of tank deliveries but are forcing their ally, like a vassal, to
sacrifice itself.

WE SHOULD PUT A SPANNER IN THE WORKS FOR THE WARMONGERS

This imposition on the part of the US demonstrates a new strategic
momentum in its behaviour towards Russia and China. In the context of
a new policy of confrontation with the Eurasian bloc, Germany and
Japan are to become front-line states with limited sovereignty for the
US. And in this situation, the Hofreiters, Baerbocks and
Strack-Zimmermanns are acting as if they want primarily to serve the
interests of US corporations and the United States as a whole.

If it is true what Marx wrote — that true human nature is “the
ensemble of social relations” — then those now promoting the path
to war with ever more, ever heavier weapons, sparing no thought for
the costs, are the expression of a veritably apocalyptic mood in our
society which no longer believes in real social progress and is being
swept along by a destructive oligarchisation in the economic and
political spheres while masses of people slip into poverty.

But anyone who is really interested in defending democracy in Germany
cannot leave the stage to the mouthpieces of a bored bourgeoisie just
because they are afraid to be derided as stooges of the enemy. That is
what happened in the first world war, and it must not happen again. We
must do all we can to put a spanner in the works for Germany’s
warmongers.

A FRESH START IS NEEDED IN GERMANY’S FOREIGN POLICY

But if the German tanks are delivered, the door will be open for more
weapons. Calls for combat aircraft have already been voiced by
Bundeswehr Professor Carlo Masala and Nato’s former supreme allied
commander Europe, James Stavridis.

The next thing will be missiles, followed, when that does not work
either, by our own soldiers.

But a gambler’s mentality, which responds to losses by raising the
stakes and eventually plays vabanque, betting everything on one play,
is a bad guide for any society. A fresh start is needed in Germany’s
foreign policy.

In pole position, we need a refusal to escalate further; second, we
need a self-confident democratic sovereignty with which Germany ceases
to be a US stooge; and third, we finally need a diplomatic initiative
of our own seeking an immediate ceasefire and an immediate end to the
senseless killing in Ukraine.

Anyone still refusing to freeze the conflict with the argument that
the full territorial integrity of Ukraine needs to be re-established
first cannot really be interested in a ceasefire.

On the contrary, this reveals the unscrupulous attitude of someone
betting on conducting a Nato proxy war against Russia with the lives
of Ukrainians. Just as it was part of an upside-down world to claim
that war loans would lead to peace in the first world war, so it is
today with regard to supplying German battle tanks.

THIS IS CHIEFLY ABOUT UNSCRUPULOUS POWER POLITICS

Listening to the arguments for supplying tanks, the sad fact is
revealed that there are world-class double standards at play within
the German government. First off, Ukraine’s right to defend itself
is extended, in an argument untenable under international law, to
infer an international legal obligation to supply weapons.

Counterfactually, Ukraine is being treated as though it were already a
Nato member — as if we had an obligation to stand in mutual military
defence, which manifests itself only in massive arms exports.

At the same time, weapons deliveries to illegally assaulted countries
are measured by two different yardsticks: the German government
sidesteps judging the wars of aggression waged by the United States in
Iraq or by Turkey in terms of international law. It thereby dodges the
question as to why German weapons are not supplied to all states that
are attacked, such as Iraq or Syria. But that fact robs it of any
credibility under international law in supplying weapons in the
Ukraine war.

To a large majority of the states on this planet, which are neither
supplying weapons nor taking part in the economic war against Russia,
this demonstrates that, over and above all the moral considerations
cited to legitimise foreign policy action, what really matters is
clearly unscrupulous power politics alone.

Deliveries of tanks and Germany’s looming entry into the war will
thus ultimately erode the credibility of Germany’s foreign policy,
particularly in the global South.

Yet another reason for a change of course.

_This article is a translation of one which appeared this week in
Berliner Zeitung
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_Sevim Dagdelen has been a member of the German Bundestag since 2005.
She is the spokeswoman for the Left Party parliamentary group on the
Bundestag’s committee on foreign affairs, a deputy member of the
defence committee and spokeswoman for international policy and
disarmament. From 2017 to 2020, she served on the executive committee
of the Left Party parliamentary group as vice-chair. Dagdelen is a
member of the Nato Parliamentary Assembly and a deputy member of the
Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe. She has also been
campaigning for years for the release of journalist and Wikileaks
founder Julian Assange, who is being held in Belmarsh high security
prison in the UK and is to be extradited to the United States, where
he faces 175 years in jail for publicising US war crimes. _

* Ukraine
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* Germany
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* military industrial complex
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* arms
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