Daily News Brief
January 10, 2020
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Top of the Agenda
Iran Accused of Downing Passenger Plane With Missile
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and U.S. officials said there is evidence that an Iranian missile shot down (NYT) a Ukrainian airliner that crashed outside of Tehran on Wednesday, likely by accident. Tehran has denied the accusations. U.S., Canadian, and French representatives are set to travel to Tehran for meetings about the crash investigation (Reuters), and Tehran invited Boeing, the plane’s manufacturer, to examine the plane’s black box.
 
The plane crashed immediately after Iran launched missile attacks on Iraqi bases used by U.S. troops, a time when Iranian air defense systems (Foreign Policy) would have been on high alert. American satellites detected the firing of an Iranian short-range missile, the New York Times reported, and a video verified by the Times appeared to show a missile exploding near the plane.
Analysis
“Hard to see how the Iranians admit to this, even if an accident. Expect that they'll deny the allegations as Western lies and/or accuse the US or others of shooting down the plane instead,” tweets CFR’s Robert M. Danin.
 
“[President Donald J. Trump’s] reluctance to assign blame may be an attempt to avoid inflaming tensions at a time when both governments were taking steps to de-escalate the military confrontation of recent days. The revelations about the intelligence prompted accusations that the American military’s killing of General Suleimani set off a chain of events that led to Iran accidentally downing the jet,” Julian E. Barnes, Eric Schmitt, Anton Troianovski, and Natalie Kitroeff write for the New York Times.

Pacific Rim
Taiwan to Hold General Elections 
Taiwan’s voters will elect (SCMP) the president and legislators tomorrow. Incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen leads in polls against opposition candidate Han Kuo-yu, and her party will look to defend its legislative majority of sixty-eight seats to the thirty-five seats held by the opposition, which is friendlier to mainland China.
 
CFR’s Joshua Kurlantzick lays out what to know about Taiwan’s election.
 
China: The country’s top trade negotiator is set to visit (WSJ) Washington early next week in order to sign a phase-one trade agreement, China’s commerce ministry said.
 
CFR previews the phase-one trade deal in the latest episode of The World Next Week podcast.

South and Central Asia
India’s Supreme Court Rules Against Kashmir Restrictions
The court ordered India’s government to immediately review (Hindu) orders that restrict freedom of movement and basic rights in Kashmir, including the suspension of internet services.
 
Afghanistan: More than 130 Pakistani women and children related to former members of the self-proclaimed Islamic State were released (VOA) from detention and will soon return to Pakistan, Afghan officials said.

Middle East and North Africa
Libya’s Haftar Rejects Call for Cease-Fire
Military commander Khalifa Haftar, who leads forces battling Libya’s internationally recognized government, said he will continue his offensive (Al Jazeera) despite Russia and Turkey’s call for a cease-fire.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Sudanese Prime Minister Visits Rebel Area
Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok called for peace while conducting the first visit (Reuters) in eight years by a senior Khartoum official to the stronghold of the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement-North rebel group.
 
Niger: Attackers on motorbikes killed twenty-six Nigerien soldiers in a suspected Islamist militant ambush (WaPo) near the country’s border with Mali.

Europe
Brexit Bill Passes UK Parliament’s Lower House
The House of Commons approved (Guardian) Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s bill to leave the European Union. The opposition failed to add an amendment that would continue to unite refugee children with families in the United Kingdom after Brexit.

Americas
UN Security Council Urges End to Haiti Impasse
The council called for Haiti (UN) to form a government to address the political instability and poverty that have prompted widespread protests in recent months.
 
This CFR In Brief looks at what’s driving Haiti’s political unrest.
 
Brazil: The country’s top court ruled against (NYT) a lower court’s order for Netflix to remove a short film depicting Jesus as gay. The lower court had determined that the film caused “irreparable damage” to Christians.

United States
House Votes to Limit Executive Action Against Iran
The U.S. House of Representatives approved a resolution (WaPo) in a 224 to 194 vote that instructs the president to terminate military hostilities against Iran unless Congress declares war or if an armed attack on the United States is imminent.

Global
Rules for Olympic Political Protest Announced
Athletes at the upcoming Tokyo Olympics will not be permitted (NYT) to kneel, make politically motivated hand gestures, or show political messages on signs or arm bands, but they may tweet about their opinions and express them in interviews, the International Olympic Committee announced.
Friday Editor’s Pick
With Brexit on the horizon, the New York Times Magazine looks at whether the referendum could reignite Northern Ireland’s sectarian conflict.
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