Nov. 28, 2022
Permission to republish original opeds and cartoons granted.
The House GOP majority will either be 222 seats or 221 seats when all of the counting is done, guaranteeing gridlock
By Robert Romano
There are just a few more results coming in from the 2022 Congressional midterms, and with just one more race to call — Republican John Duarte is narrowly leading Democrat Adam Gray by just 593 votes in California’s 13th Congressional District — House Republicans will take the gavel in the U.S. House of Representatives in January with either a 222 to 213 seat majority (nine seats) or a 221 to 214 seat majority (seven seats).
With only another nine or ten seats — the GOP started the election with 212 seats — this is an historically low haul for the GOP. Of the 30 midterm elections that have taken place since 1906, only seven have had worse showings for the opposition party: 1926 (only gained eight seats), 1934 (lost nine seats), 1962 (only gained four seats), 1986 (only gained five seats), 1990 (only gained eight seats), 1998 (lost four seats) and 2002 (lost eight seats).
They also pale in comparison to 1994 , when the GOP netted 54 seats, and 2010 , when they picked up 61 seats. Although, interestingly, 2014 actually gave the GOP its largest majority in modern history, 247 seats to 188 seats, even though Republicans only picked up 13 seats that year. In 1994, the GOP won 230 seats and in 2010 won 242 seats.
2022 though is about as good as 2000 for the GOP, where despite barely winning the White House, Republicans lost two seats in the House and only wound up with a 221 to 214 seat majority.
Otherwise, because it was a midterm election, the GOP had about a 90 percent chance of picking up seats, which they did. But usually, gains by the opposition party either came above or below the average of about 31 seats prior to 2022. Now with just nine or ten seats, it will once again be a below-average midterm, as the average take falls to a 30-seat gain per midterm election.
A lot can have to do with the party’s starting point. Many of the seats the GOP might have otherwise picked up in 2022 were already recovered in 2020 as former President Donald Trump’s strong enough reelection bid netted the GOP 14 seats, nearly recapturing the House. That had followed the 2018 Blue Wave that saw Democrats pick up 41 seats.
The fact is, campaigns matter a lot to the outcome. With high inflation and an imminent recession looming, Republicans were able to secure the popular vote in the House of Representatives elections, 54.2 million to 51 million.
But with Roe v. Wade overturned by the Supreme Court , younger voters increased turnout, with 27 percent of 18-29-year-olds voting in 2022, similar to 2018’s 31 percent of that demographic who voted, according to research by Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement at Tufts University .
Overall turnout in 2022 at 48 percent looked a lot more like 2018’s 50.3 percent than 2010 or 2014, the latter of which had 40.9 percent and 36.7 percent, according to an AP/Election Project analysis by the Washington Post . 2010 and 2014 tended to have lower percentage turnout than 2018.
Since the 1990s, turnout for 18-29-year-olds was around 20 percent. In 2022, with boosted turnout, Democrats led 18-29-year-olds by 27 points, 63 percent to 35 percent. That saved Democrats from what would have almost certainly been an historic wipeout this year.
It's a cycle, of course, and one that occasionally disappoints. But periodic elections every two years in the House was the best solution the Framers, and in particular James Madison, could come up with to the excesses brought about by political factions. Being the closest to the people, it is up to the House of Representatives to listen to their constituents.
In the case of 2022, with Republicans narrowly capturing a House majority and Democrats barely retaining control of the U.S. Senate, the verdict was that the American people prefer mixed government, with neither President Joe Biden nor incoming House Republican Speaker Kevin McCarthy being able to claim any explicit, partisan mandate to govern. That usually means gridlock. Stay tuned.
Robert Romano is the Vice President of Public Policy at Americans for Limited Government Foundation.
Miranda Devine: The left throws a tantrum as Elon Musk reverses censorship on Twitter
By Miranda Devine
News that Elon Musk brought his 2-year-old son — one of 10 children — into key meetings at Twitter headquarters, after taking over the social media company in the fall, might make it less of a mystery to lefties why his “Priority #1” has been to banish child sexual exploitation material.
Not that you need to be a parent to abhor child pornography, but for some reason, the vile content effectively was given a free pass at Twitter before Musk arrived, so clearly not everyone in the company respected society’s last taboo.
But instead of applauding Twitter’s dedication to child safety and attack on degeneracy, leftist media have been decrying Musk’s attempts to restore free speech protections as if they are a threat to civilization.
They are hopping mad that Musk is demolishing the left-wing censorship regime that saw a sitting president de-platformed, satirical site the Babylon Bee banned and the oldest newspaper in the country locked out of its account for two weeks before the 2020 election.
Censorship hypocrisy
Lamenting the explosion of free speech under Musk, Yoel Roth, the former head of “Trust and Safety” who was responsible for censoring The Post, delivered an implied threat to his former employer in an op-ed piece in the New York Times.
Keep the censorship regime in place or Twitter will be thrown off Google and Apple’s app marketplace, he wrote, “making it more difficult for potential billions of users to obtain Twitter services. This gives Apple and Google enormous power to shape the decisions Twitter makes.”
Roth claims he just wants to prevent “hate speech,” but why was it that everyone banned by Twitter was conservative?
“Correct,” Musk replied to a tweet observing: “We don’t hear much about Democrats and leftists being let back on Twitter [because] they were never kicked off in the first place … Censorship has been deployed as a one-way operation against conservatives.”
Musk already has reinstated former President Donald Trump, the Babylon Bee, Project Veritas, psychologist Jordan Peterson, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) and the Libs of TikTok account that merely reposts absurd leftist clips from the video-sharing app TikTok.
In response, you would think Musk had launched the apocalypse.
Dozens of top Twitter advertisers boycotted the platform in protest, reportedly including Merck, Pfizer, Kellogg, Verizon, General Mills, Musk’s Tesla competitor Volkswagen, General Motors and, ironically, Balenciaga.
No sooner had the multinational fashion brand signaled its virtue than Balenciaga had to delete its Twitter account after being bombarded with irate messages over its depraved advertising campaign featuring small children holding teddy bears in bondage gear .
Other not-so-subtle pedophilia messages were embedded in the images, such as a sheaf of papers on a table which, on closer inspection, were court documents about child pornography.
How do you explain that? You launch a $25 million lawsuit against the production company and pretend no Balenciaga executive signed off on the images.
No wonder Balenciaga protested against a child-porn-free Twitter.
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Which raises the question a lot of people on Twitter have been asking of Roth, the former head of “Trust and Safety,” after he too quit the company in protest:
Why was child porn permitted on Roth’s watch for years and all but eliminated by Musk in a few days? It’s an important question, but the rest of the media are more interested in amplifying his threats against Twitter.
The Associated Press tweeted a story claiming “online safety experts predict [Musk reinstating conservatives] will spur a rise in harassment, hate speech and misinformation,” yet did not quote a single expert and did not carry a byline.
You would think AP might have been more careful about spreading unfounded nonsense after nearly starting World War III the previous week with a false report that Russian missiles had hit Poland.
The Washington Post’s infamous “technology” reporter Taylor Lorenz penned a piece last week claiming that Musk was “opening the gates of hell … to the alarm of activists and online trust and safety experts.”
At least she quoted some humans, even though they were far-left hysterics and trans activist Alejandra Caraballo, who tweets obsessively as @esqueer to get conservatives kicked off Twitter and demand that the Supreme Court justices who overturned Roe v. Wade should “never know peace again.”
Right on cue, Antifa accounts that previously were free to dox conservatives and organize violent riots, called for arson attacks on Tesla locations in response to being banned from Twitter.
All the anti-Twitter “experts” agreed that the ultimate control of Musk will be for Apple and Google to remove Twitter’s app.
Musk’s response was to declare he will just “make an alternative phone.”
He is no right-winger. A libertarian who says he voted for Joe Biden in the last election, he responded to criticism by tweeting: “As a reminder, I was a significant supporter of the Obama-Biden presidency and (reluctantly) voted for Biden over Trump.
“But freedom of speech is the bedrock of a strong democracy and must take precedence.
“My preference for the 2024 presidency is someone sensible and centrist. I had hoped that would the case for the Biden administration but have been disappointed so far.”
His goal is “a trusted digital town square, where a wide range of views are tolerated, provided people don’t break the law or spam. For example, any incitement to violence will result in account suspension …
“Twitter will be a forum for the peaceful exchange of views.”
In fact, since Musk took over and fired half the workforce, including most of the censorship — er, “moderation” — team, he has published stats indicating there are more users and less hate speech.
‘Mistake’ to delete Don
Musk also said banning Trump was a “grave mistake” since there had been “no violation of the law or terms of service. Deplatforming a sitting President undermined public trust in Twitter for half of America.”
He gets it, but is now bracing for the mother of all attacks, because he is removing the censorship that has been a source of the left’s newfound power in recent years.
“They won’t give up controlling the narrative easily,” he tweeted over the weekend.
Remember Biden’s triumphal first press conference after the midterms? He issued a pointed warning to Musk that his administration would be investigating him.
“I think that Elon Musk’s cooperation and/or technical relationships with other countries is worthy of being looked at whether or not he is doing anything inappropriate,” Biden said when asked by a useful reporter if the new Twitter owner is a national security threat.
Putting aside the fact that the comment rather lacked self-awareness from someone about to be investigated by Congress over the inappropriateness of millions of dollars given to his son and brother by China and “other countries” that “paid to play” when he was vice president, it was an odd priority for the president’s first pronouncement after losing the House.
Musk in return has promised he will make public all the details around The Post’s censorship by Twitter over the Hunter Biden laptop story.
“This is necessary to restore public trust,” he tweeted last week .
Amen and Godspeed.
To view online: https://nypost.com/2022/11/27/the-left-throws-a-tantrum-as-elon-musk-reverses-censorship-on-twitter/