Daily News Brief
January 06, 2020
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Top of the Agenda
Iran Announces End to Compliance With Nuclear Deal
Iran plans to stop abiding (NYT) by limits on its nuclear fuel production set in a 2015 deal, Tehran announced. Blowback to the United States’ killing of top Iranian general Qasem Soleimani in Baghdad also included a decision by Iraq’s parliament to work toward ending all foreign troop presence (CNN) in the country.
 
Iran said it will continue to allow inspectors (Axios) access to nuclear facilities, and France, Germany, and the United Kingdom called for Iran to return to full compliance with the deal. NATO advisors are set to hold an emergency meeting today after Iraq’s vote on troop expulsion, and the U.S. Department of Defense announced it was pausing its operations in Iraq against the self-proclaimed Islamic State. At a funeral procession for Soleimani in Tehran that was attended by hundreds of thousands of mourners, his successor vowed to rid the region (Reuters) of the United States. U.S. President Donald J. Trump threatened dramatic retaliation for any Iranian attacks, and said U.S. attacks could target Iranian cultural sites.   
Analysis
“If the Trump administration does not move to reduce tensions, it will soon find itself facing the very dilemma the nuclear deal was designed to avoid: the choice between a nuclear Iran or the need to start a war to prevent one,” CFR’s Philip H. Gordon and Columbia University’s Ariane Tabatabai write for the New York Times.
 
“The Trump administration is learning a lesson that came at hard cost to each of its predecessors over the past 40 years: There are no quick fixes or cheap victories in dealing with the challenges posed by Iran,” writes the Brookings Institution’s Suzanne Maloney.

Pacific Rim
Beijing Replaces Top Official in Hong Kong
The Chinese government replaced (SCMP) its top representative in Hong Kong in the first major leadership change since widespread protests began in the region more than six months ago.
 
Australia: A new national recovery agency and a recovery fund worth at least $2 billion will be established (SMH) to respond to the country’s bushfire crisis over the next two years, while three thousand federal reserve forces (SMH) are currently being mobilized, Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced.

South and Central Asia
Mob Storms Leading Delhi University
A masked mob attacked (Hindustan Times) students and teachers at Delhi’s Jawaharlal Nehru University on Sunday, injuring at least twenty-three people. Students denounced the police (Hindustan Times) for inaction as the violence unfolded and said the attackers were part of a Hindu nationalist group, which denied responsibility.
 
India: More than one hundred thousand people peacefully protested (Reuters) against a controversial citizenship law in the southern city of Hyderabad.

Middle East and North Africa
UN Security Council to Meet on Libya
The Security Council will hold a closed-door meeting (Al Jazeera) on Libya today at Russia’s request. Turkish troops have begun deploying to Libya, and a new agreement granting Turkey rights to an area in the Mediterranean Sea containing recently discovered gas reserves has prompted criticism from neighboring countries.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Al-Shabab Attack on Kenyan Airstrip Kills Americans
The attack on a Kenyan military base used by the United States killed one U.S. service member and two Department of Defense contractors, according to U.S. Africa Command.
 
This CFR Backgrounder looks at the Somalia-based militant group al-Shabab.
 
Ghana: The country is launching an investment program (Bloomberg) for its diaspora that aims to raise $3 billion to build infrastructure and develop Ghana’s agriculture and tourism sectors, the finance minister announced.

Europe
Left-Wing Candidate Wins Croatian Presidency
Left-wing former Prime Minister Zoran Milanovic won (FT) Croatia’s presidential runoff with 53 percent of votes, while center-right incumbent Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic received just 47 percent, according to official results.
 
France: Anti-terrorism investigators took over (AFP) the probe of a knife attack that killed one person in a Paris suburb, saying evidence showed the attacker had been radicalized.

Americas
Venezuelan Forces Bar Opposition From Key Vote
Venezuelan security forces barred (Reuters) opposition leader Juan Guaido and his supporters from entering the legislature during a vote to elect its new head of congress. Those present elected a supporter of President Nicolas Maduro, while the opposition denounced the vote as illegitimate.
 
Venezuela’s increasing instability is one of CFR’s conflicts to watch in 2020.
 
Bolivia: Elections for a new president, vice president, and legislature have been set (Al Jazeera) for May 3, according to an election official.

United States
Homeland Security to Share Citizenship Records for Census
The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has agreed to share records (NPR) from as early as 1973 to help the U.S. Census Bureau ascertain the citizenship status of U.S. residents, DHS announced. However, DHS officials also wrote that the move was “not compatible with the original purpose” of the information’s collection.
 
This CFR Backgrounder looks at the controversy surrounding the use of citizenship data in the upcoming census.
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