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Each month, I file a “ [ [link removed] ]Dispatch from DC [ [link removed] ]” with the UK-based [ [link removed] ]Mallard [ [link removed] ] – a magazine run by actual conservatives.
For the past several months, I have been reflecting on the Republican Party’s chances in these mid term elections. I thought, since most of you are not Mallard subscribers (yet [ [link removed] ]), that I would share some of the critical predictions I made this summer.
Let’s take a look at the August and September editions, of which I have included scans of the magazines below, lest you think I were editing my copy to fit the results.
August 2022:
The critical parts, in case you cannot read the image, state:
“In amongst the confusion of these mixed feelings of anxiety, despair, hopefulness, and celebration, there is also a bizarre amount of complacence on the right.
“But let me be clear: I do not like what I see. On average, the gap the Republican Party leads by on the generic ballot i.e. ‘Will you vote Republican or Democrat in November’s mid terms?’ is shrinking, fast.”
“As I write, it is still August, and the numbers are shrinking further for Republicans as corporate media outlets parrot pro-Biden lines about his Inflation Reduction Act…”
If you’re not yet subscribed (it’s free) then I hope my prescience will convince you:
And now, to September.
September 2022.
The critical part here?
"Meanwhile, I remain bearish about the Republican Party’s fortunes in the months to come. The House? Sure, they can take it. The Senate? I’m not so sure.”
– Raheem Kassam, The Mallard, September 2022
In other words, a small and rather new magazine in England had probably some of the most accurate predictions about the fortunes of the Republicans in the mid terms. How did I do it? Well, I didn’t listen to the pundits, the talking heads, the podcasts, and so forth. I did my own damn research. And used my own damn gut. Which has been quite reliable, by the way, over the years.
So, where next?
I explain more in this new podcast (out today) with Jeremy Ryan Slate. I’m working my ass off over here, for you. For free. So I hope this helps. And I hope you’ll share all of this.
Anyway, as you Americans say: nailed it!
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