From Ezra Levin, Indivisible <[email protected]>
Subject MAGA Rejected + Early Debrief Call
Date November 9, 2022 6:20 PM
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Indivisibles,

Last night we witnessed a history-defying rejection of MAGA Republicans.
On a little sleep, I wrote up some initial context and reflection, and I
hope you’ll [ [link removed] ]join me, Leah, and the Indivisible team for a deeper
debrief call tomorrow Thursday, November 10 at 8pm ET/5pm PT.

Before I get to my top three takeaways, I first have to say one thing
clearly:

This is a stunning, historic over-performance by Democrats. All the smart
money headed into Tuesday was on major Republican gains. Those
expectations were turned on their head last night. The much-touted "Red
Wave" never appeared. Democrats are on track to win most of the toss-up
House races, to gain governorships and state legislatures, to welcome
Senator John Fetterman, and more. 

We didn’t win everything, and there’s a lot still up in the air, but let’s
be clear: This outcome defies political gravity. There are few more
ironclad rules in politics than that the party in power loses the midterms
-- usually badly. That didn’t happen last night. And that is a huge, huge
deal.

Every election cycle includes some painful losses -- it’s inevitable. But
we should feel like we made history, because we did. With that as preface,
here are my three top takeaways:

My three top takeaways: 

 1. Voters roundly rejected MAGAs
 2. Delivering for voters works
 3. The grassroots drives wins

This was a rejection of MAGA extremism.

For the last two years, the Indivisible movement has fought to call out
and marginalize MAGA extremism, to put the threat to our right to abortion
and to our democracy in the spotlight. The results last night demonstrate
the power of this movement and this strategy.

Let me tell you a little insider story. After Sinema and Manchin joined
McConnell to kill democracy reform, there were intense debates in
Democratic circles about what the strongest message would be headed into
the midterms. Many in leadership argued Dems should ignore MAGA and focus
on other things. As recently as this past summer -- after the Roe
decision! -- senior Dem officials were still arguing that abortion was a
loser issue to avoid.

But we at Indivisible disagreed. Loudly. We said our only chance was to
run against MAGA extremism. Run against abortion bans. Run against
seditionists. Run against book burners. We knew what we were hearing from
Indivisible leaders around the country -- that this was where the energy
was, and this was our best shot at winning. Take the fight to these MAGA
extremists, and rally people to protect our freedoms. That, we argued, was
our only shot at a good midterm result. We pushed, criticized, cajoled. 

And, ultimately, President Biden and Democratic party leadership agreed.
Heading into yesterday, the Democrats’ message was unified -- more unified
than I’ve seen in any national election before. The president’s closing
message was a defiant defense of democracy from MAGA extremists. It was
messaging we could have written ourselves.

And today we see the results. We defied the historical trends. The red
wave evaporated. The voters rejected MAGA in unprecedented numbers. 

I’m saying this not because it makes Indivisible look good, and prescient,
and smart (although Indivisible is all those things 🙂). This is important
because it clarifies our strategy moving forward. President Biden and the
grassroots were right, and we should continue to embrace this strategy
headed into next year and 2024. Take the fight to the MAGAs and we will
win.

Democrats went big and voters rewarded them.

The Indivisible movement has pushed for two years for Democrats to use
their trifecta and their administrative powers to deliver for people in
real, tangible ways. From prescription drugs to climate action, from gun
violence prevention to infrastructure, the Democratic majority passed as
much as it could get by Kyrsten Sinema in the Senate. And President Biden
used the power of his pen to forgive student debt, to decriminalize
marijuana at the federal level, and more.

All of this helped to dispel the classic midterm dropoff. Young voters saw
their top issues addressed by Democrats -- and they turned out for
Democrats in return. This is huge. 

Nor was this a foregone conclusion. Democrats like Kyrsten Sinema, Josh
Gottheimer, and Henry Cuellar argued against this strategy. They killed or
delayed our bills. They watered down Biden’s economic proposals. They
advised Biden to stop moving forward on big administrative actions. Most
infuriatingly, some of them sided with Mitch McConnell to kill John Lewis’
democracy bill that would have ended gerrymandering, reinstated the Voting
Rights Act, and protected our democracy from election subversion.

We couldn’t overcome all of their opposition, but we overcame enough to
deliver big, meaningful things for voters. And the voters rewarded us by
showing up. And it’s clear that if the Sinemas and Gottheimers of the
world hadn’t diluted and delayed our agenda, a great night would have been
even better. We take this lesson to heart as we head into the next
congress.

The grassroots is driving our wins for democracy 

[ [link removed] ]In June, I wrote to you about the Indivisible movement’s one-two punch
strategy for the midterms.

 1. Focus public attention on MAGA extremism locally. 
 2. Do massive voter contact to get out the vote (GOTV)

Indivisibles delivered. 

* In Pennsylvania, Indivisible Mayday mercilessly birdogged Oz in giant
broccoli costumes and and forced questions on abortion.
* In Arizona, Indivisible’s in Arizona 6th confronted the MAGA candidate
on abortion and he literally ran away. 
* In New Mexico, I had the pleasure of joining a statewide convening of
a couple hundred Indivisible leaders and focusing on the extremism of
their seditionist MAGA representative who is now going down in
defeat. 

All over the country, Indivisibles wrote letters to the editor, held
public events, dropped banners, sang songs, marched, bird dogged,
orchestrated earned media operations, and found ways to focus attention on
MAGA extremism to define what this election was about. And that put us
within the margin where GOTV could make the difference.

A good GOTV program can close the gap by around 1%. That might not sound
like much, but dozens of the races we won yesterday were decided by less
than that. We postcarded, we texted, we phonebanked, we canvassed. Day
after day, week after week, month after month, we reached out to millions
of voters all over the country and we produced the margins we needed to
clinch victory in places the pundits had counted us out. It took a lot of
blood, sweat, and tears, but we sure as hell won that 1%.

You did this. WE did this. Together we chose the ground to fight on, and
then we fought like hell on that ground. 

Please join us tomorrow

This was somewhat hastily written, so I hope you’ll join me for some
deeper discussion of what just happened and what comes next on our
[ [link removed] ]debrief and strategy call tomorrow night Thursday, November 10 at 8pm
ET/5pm PT. I’ll close with just a final bit of reflection:

2018: We built the largest midterm margins in history.
2020: We made Trump the first one-term president in a generation.
2021: We won two "impossible" Georgia senate runoffs.
2022: We orchestrated a history-defying midterm for an incumbent
president.

We’ve won. We’re winning. We will win. And I am so incredibly proud to be
in this movement for democracy with you. 

In solidarity,
Ezra

Ezra Levin

[4]Indivisble Co-Executive Director

Pronouns: He/him

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