They spent $3.7 million against me. But I'm still winning!
Dear John,
You know, I finally figured it out.
I kept wondering why Nancy Pelosi would be spending the most against me, little old me, spreading her lies and personal smears.
Then I figured it out. They are DOWN.
At a time when Pelosi might lose 60 seats, has incumbents in trouble all over the place, her #1 expenditure is against me because... I'm winning. And she can't knock me off my perch.
This is Sandy Smith, and I may be Nancy Pelosi's #1 target but I've got the inside track to beating her "yes-man" anyway, and become the next Congresswoman from NC's First District!
Incredibly, the Carolina Journal had this right!
North Carolina Democrats are facing a brutal election that could see their worst results in more than a decade, according to the latest and last Civitas-John Locke Foundation poll of the 2022 election.
The poll, released two weeks before Election Day, shows Republican Ted Budd pulling away with a four-point lead.
The Trafalgar Group, also showed a 4-point advantage, and ECU showed a 6-point Budd advantage. Including the Locke poll, the Real Clear Politics polling average is now about 4 points. They may not sound like it, but those are huge margins for recent North Carolina’s U.S. State elections. Sen. Thom Tillis was first elected to the upper chamber in 2014 with a winning margin of 1.5% and re-elected in 2020 with a winning margin of 1.75%
President Biden’s job approval has fallen to 38.4% in N.C., his lowest in the Locke poll since this spring. Biden was never going to stay at his Locke 2022 polling low of 33.3% in May, because some angry Democrats were always going to come home.
At this time in the election cycle, don’t listen to what they “say” about a race.
Watch what they do.
Biden is not just dragging Democrat candidates down, he is a ball and chain around their electoral prospects.
As every John Locke poll has shown this year, Republicans gain strength down the ballot.
Republicans are now showing massive 6-point leads in both the legislative and congressional generic numbers. There is no way to sugarcoat it. These are beat-down numbers that will lead to GOP supermajorities in the General Assembly and to winning every congressional seat that was not heavily gerrymandered for Democratic victory by the Democrat-controlled state Supreme Court.
The Democrat N.C. Supreme Court imposed a map that they intended to guarantee a minimum of 6 Democrats and 7 Republicans with one swing seat in NC-13, where Republican Bo Hines and Democrat Wiley Nickel are currently battling. Democrats hoped they could work to an even 7-7 split. With these numbers, Republicans will win NC-13 and now have a realistic chance to win NC-1 too, which is currently held by retiring G.K. Butterfield and has been held by a Democrat for more than 100 years. The non-partisan Cook Political Report rates the seat as just +2 Democrat.
Even after a massive disparity in outside spending, my race is tied.
Pelosi bought and paid for my opponent. I, on the other hand, am bought by no one. I am going to DC to do a job for the American people and the good people of my district in Eastern North Carolina.
I am going to Congress to stop Biden and Pelosi from destroying us.
