Daily News Brief
December 30, 2020
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Top of the Agenda
U.S. Targets Iran-Backed Militia in Iraq, Syria
U.S. forces carried out air strikes (WSJ) against the Kata’ib Hezbollah Shiite militant group in Iraq and Syria in response to a Friday attack that killed a U.S. civilian contractor and wounded four U.S. troops. The Iran-backed militia said the strikes killed at least twenty-five fighters, and one of its former commanders promised a “very tough” response (Reuters) against U.S. forces in Iraq.
 
Iraq’s Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi called the strikes a dangerous escalation, while Iran’s foreign ministry condemned them (Guardian) as terrorist acts. Abdul-Mahdi has remained in office in a caretaker capacity despite resigning as prime minister last month amid an ongoing protest movement that calls for new political leadership not backed by Iran. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said this month that there would be a decisive response to any attacks by Tehran or its proxies that harm U.S. forces or their allies.
Analysis
“Trump Admin establishes redline in Iraq and Syria for Iran and its proxies: no U.S. casualties. By implication anything short of that (e.g. attacks on Saudi oil fields) did not and will not provoke a U.S. kinetic response,” CFR’s Martin S. Indyk writes on Twitter.
 
“Sunday’s operation marked the first time the U.S. has undertaken a major military action against a Shiite militia group in Iraq and Syria since U.S. forces returned to the region in 2014 to fight Islamic State,” Michael R. Gordon, Nancy A. Youssef, and Isabel Coles write for the Wall Street Journal.
The 2020 Candidates on Foreign Policy
CFR’s candidate tracker provides a regularly updated guide to the presidential candidates and their positions on global issues.

Pacific Rim
Taiwanese Presidential Debate Focuses on China
In the final televised debate before January’s election, President Tsai Ing-wen said Taiwan’s greatest challenge (Bloomberg) is China’s expansionary ambitions. Tsai leads her opponent Han Kuo-yu by thirty percentage points in polls.
 
CFR’s Joshua Kurlantzick discusses why Taiwan’s upcoming election is one of the most consequential in the island’s history.
 
China: Nearly half a million children from the Uighur, Kazakh, and other ethnic minorities have been separated from their families and put in cultural reeducation boarding schools with limited access by visitors, the New York Times reports. Beijing reportedly aims to operate at least one such school in each of Xinjiang Province’s eight hundred–plus townships by the end of 2020.

South and Central Asia
Taliban Agrees to Temporary Cease-Fire in Afghanistan
The militant group’s ruling council has agreed (AP) to a temporary cease-fire, during which a peace deal with Washington could be signed, Taliban officials said. They did not specify when the cease-fire would occur.
 
Pakistan: Islamabad will host (Dawn) a ministerial meeting of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation in April 2020 that will focus on the situation in Kashmir and India’s new citizenship law, according to state-backed media.

Middle East and North Africa
Yemen Attack Targets Group Fighting Houthi Rebels
At least five people were killed (Al Jazeera) in the southern Ad-Dhalea Province when a rocket attack struck a parade hosted by a separatist group that opposes Yemen’s Houthi rebels.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Al-Shabab Blamed for Car Bomb in Somalia’s Capital
The bomb detonated at a busy Mogadishu intersection and killed (AP) at least seventy-eight people. Somalia’s president condemned the attack as a “heinous act of terror” and blamed the militant group al-Shabab. U.S. military officials said they killed four al-Shabab militants in retaliatory air strikes.
 
This CFR Backgrounder discusses how al-Shabab threatens Somalia’s security.

Europe
Russia-Backed Separatists, Ukraine Swap Prisoners
The two forces conducted an “all-for-all” prisoner swap (RFE/RL) in which seventy-six people detained by the separatists were freed in exchange for 127 of those detained by Ukranian security forces, Ukranian officials said.
 
In Foreign Affairs, Brian Milakovsky discusses the separatist conflict within Ukraine.
 
Turkey: Widespread operations to arrest (Anadolu) people with suspected links to the self-proclaimed Islamic State are underway across the country. The operation has led to the detainment of least one hundred people so far, security officials said.

Americas
Uruguay Makes Record Cocaine Seizure
Authorities arrested four people (AP) in connection to the recent seizure of $1 billion worth of cocaine. The 5.9-ton seizure marked the largest drug bust in Uruguay’s history.
 
Venezuela: U.S. President Donald J. Trump’s personal attorney Rudy Giuliani participated in a phone call with Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in September 2018, and tried to negotiate Maduro’s exit from power and open Venezuela to foreign business, the Washington Post reports. Giuliani’s efforts contradicted the United States’ official hard-line approach toward Venezuela at the time.

United States
Attackers Target Places of Worship
A man entered the home of a rabbi in an Orthodox Jewish community north of New York City and stabbed five people (Politico) as they were celebrating Hanukkah. New York Governor Andrew Cuomo called the attack an act of domestic terrorism. Separately, a shooter killed two people (WSJ) during a Texas church service before congregation members shot and killed him.

Global
UN 2020 Budget Includes Inquiries on Myanmar, Syria
For the first time in 2020, UN investigations into Myanmar’s 2017 crackdown on Rohingya Muslims and war crimes committed during Syria’s civil war will be funded (AFP) by the General Assembly budget rather than by member countries’ voluntary contributions.
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