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Following some of our latest swing-state polls in Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia, DFP Executive Director Sean McElwee took to the Data for Progress Blog to analyze Democrats’ current path to retaining the Senate majority in November, and why Democrats should reject long-term Senate doom.
While it’s a great analysis, it’s Friday, and after the Try Guys drama this week we know you’re having a bit of a Buzzfeed renaissance. So here’s the TL;DR of Sean’s three reasons why Dems shouldn’t totally freak out, but in a “I’m sipping my NA beer post-work explain this like it’s friend-drama” way:
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Mobilized Democratic Voters: You are fed up with Republican extremism and minority rule in Congress. Your energy and efforts in your community will be vital for Democrats to retain control of the Senate in 2022 and beyond.
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Republican Flop Era Candidates: This cycle, Republicans have nominated some truly awful (in every sense of the word) candidates to be standard-bearers for their party. From Dr. Mehmet “Crudite” Oz to right-wing venture capitalist Blake Masters, the 2022 class of GOP candidates are experts at alienating voters, spewing extremist ideology, and putting otherwise winnable races into play.
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Just the Worst, Most Extreme Policy You’ve Ever Heard: At this point, Republicans across the country are basically advocating to take away all of our rights — which is just a stretch too far for many American voters. The Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe, combined with other extreme positions on a number of issues, has energized Democratic voters and hurt the mobilization advantage that the party out of power typically enjoys.
Anyway, it’s a good piece that we can’t do full justice to here, so read the full blog from Sean McElwee here.
Here are some other highlights from DFP this week:
Money on the Mind (of voters)
Because not all of us can build lucrative careers around being a wifeguy (disappointing, we know), inflation and the economy are top priorities among voters as we head into November.
A new DFP poll asked voters to choose from a list of issues and state which ones were most important for a candidate for Congress to prioritize. A plurality of voters (37 percent) list inflation as one of their top three priorities in the coming election — including 27 percent of Democrats, 38 percent of Independents, and 45 percent of Republicans.
While gas prices have started to come down, and voters have taken note (only 31 percent say that gas prices have risen in the last month), voters still feel that the cost of basic necessities is continuing to rise.
Our polling finds that a plurality of voters (49 percent) blame Democrats for the cost of food, gas, and other basic necessities, while only 21 percent blame the Republican Party.
Read the full poll here.
This Tax Cut Can Function Briefly as a Social Program
The claim that Republican tax cuts help Americans is just as unbelievable as the claim that Elon’s Cybertruck can “serve briefly as a boat.” Republicans are taking a leaf out of Ol’ Elon’s book and trying to gaslight Americans into believing that tax cuts for the wealthy are good for everyone.
A new survey from Data for Progress and Priorities USA reveals that they aren’t having it!
Democratic messages on Social Security, healthcare, and taxes are seen as the most convincing reasons to vote for Democrats over Republicans in the midterm elections. Among all likely swing state voters, the most convincing message details the Republican plan to cut Social Security and Medicare in order to give tax breaks to the wealthy, just like they did in 2017.
Read the full blog here.
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