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In this mailing:
* Giulio Meotti: How Civilizations Will Be Decided
* Amir Taheri: The Golden Road to Samarkand


** How Civilizations Will Be Decided ([link removed])
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by Giulio Meotti • September 25, 2022 at 5:00 am
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* Fewer babies will be born in all of Europe than in Nigeria alone.
* More than half the increase of the global population projected by 2050 will be concentrated in just eight countries, mostly in Africa, according to The Economist: Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines and Tanzania. Nigeria will have more inhabitants than Europe and the United States.
* This crisis is not a projection, it is happening right now. By 2050, 60% of Italians will have no brothers, sisters, cousins, uncles or aunts. The Italian family, with the father who pours the wine and the mother who serves the pasta to a table of grandparents, grandchildren and great-grandchildren, will be gone, as extinct as dinosaurs.
* Yemen, on the other hand, a failed country in the middle of a terrible civil war, will show a population increase that is double Italy's.
* "In 1887 there was only one Muslim registered in Melilla, he was originally from Casablanca and worked as a servant; today Muslims exceed 40 percent of the population and are approaching the majority", reported the newspaper El Pais.... Ceuta and Melilla are what most of Europe's cities will look like in 20-30 years. Melilla is now the first Spanish city that has surpassed a 50% Muslim population due to immigration, family reunification and a high birth rate.
* The Western world has provided more wealth and convenience to more citizens than any other civilization in history. We are practically inundated with resources, but we are running out of people, the only truly indispensable resource.
* "Islam to become Russia's predominant religion by 2050?" — Pravda, July 21, 2008.
* In addition, Islam will have overtaken Christianity as the largest religion in the world. The Islamic population of the European Union, depending on the migratory flows, could reach 75 million within a generation -- like an entire Muslim Germany or, if one prefers, like Denmark, Austria, Hungary, Greece, Belgium, Holland, Portugal and Sweden combined. Does that sound better?
* "They have not managed to change us. It is we who will change them. Look at the development of the population in Europe, where the number of Muslims increases like mosquitoes. Each Western woman in the E.U. produces, on average, 1.4 children. Each Muslim woman in these same countries produces 3.5 children. By 2050, 30% of the European population will be Muslim... Our way of thinking in Islam stands in opposition to the Western way of thinking. Today it is our way of thinking that comes in and shows itself stronger than theirs...." — "Mullah Krekar", Norwegian imam, Dagbladet, March 13, 2006.
* The population of Birmingham will soon be half Muslim.... [The Birmingham Mail reveals that] the number of Muslim children in the city has surpassed the number of Christian children. "In addition to Birmingham, Islam is now the dominant religion among children in Leicester, Bradford, Luton, Slough and the London boroughs of Newham, Redbridge and Tower Hamlets." — Quote from business-live.co.uk, September 21, 2014.
* Do we fantasize that immigration at this rate will be able to integrate happily into host societies and that the migrants will become like us? Do we hope that before long, Europeans will return to having more children? What if we are wrong and these projections become reality? Are we resigned to the disappearance of our civilization?
* "Great demographics, great power", Nicholas Eberstadt, the American political economist summed up in Foreign Affairs. Crumbling demographics, crumbling powers ...

More than half the increase of the global population projected by 2050 will be concentrated in just eight countries, mostly in Africa, according to The Economist: Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines and Tanzania. Nigeria will have more inhabitants than Europe and the United States. Pictured: Spanish soldiers and Guardia Civil members patrol the border fence of the Spanish exclave of Ceuta, on May 18, 2021, while hundreds of African migrants seeking to breech the border stand on the other side, in Morocco. (Photo by Antonio Sempere/AFP via Getty Images)

Fewer babies will be born in all of Europe than in Nigeria alone.

In Europe, "at the rate at which things are going, the population will have halved before 2070, with the continent at risk of losing 400 million inhabitants by 2100," noted James Pomeroy, an economist at China's HSBC bank.

The growth of the world population has already reached its lowest rate since 1950 and Europe's population will continue to contract until the end of the century, noted the Financial Times, citing the United Nations World Population Prospects report.

A collateral question is: where?

In the next four minutes 1,000 children will be born: 172 in India, 103 in China, 57 in Nigeria, 47 in Pakistan -- but in all of Europe, only 52.

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** The Golden Road to Samarkand ([link removed])
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by Amir Taheri • September 25, 2022 at 4:00 am
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* The Russian media, echoing President Vladimir Putin's speech at the summit, say the SCO is designed to end "the unipolar world "by creating a "multipolar system".
* The Chinese media offer a different version. The SCO is meant to offer a new political system for the whole world as an alternative to the Western democratic model.
* To the Islamic media in Tehran, celebrating the Islamic Republic's admission to the club after 11 years of supplication, the SCO is an extension of the "Resistance Front" created to contain and defeat the American "Great Satan."
* The SCO's identity as a club of queer fellows has been further emphasized by the admission of a host of new members all of whom have territorial disputes with each other.
* Some Western commentators have dubbed the SCO "a new power bloc". That may be jumping the gun a bit. SCO members are more dependent on trade with the European Union, the US, Canada, Japan, South Korea and Australia than with each other.
* The Samarkand club represents some 40 percent of the world's population and over 20 percent of the global GDP, not to mention four of the 9 nations with nuclear arsenals. Yet, it seems unlikely to become an anchor of stability in Eurasia; its members are more interested in petty schemes than grand ideas of peace and cooperation.

The Russian media, echoing President Vladimir Putin's speech at the summit, say the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) is designed to end "the unipolar world "by creating a "multipolar system". Pictured: Putin attends the SCO summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan on September 16, 2022. (Photo by Sergei Bobylyov/Sputnik/AFP via Getty Images)

But what is it for? This is the question that the media in Russia, China, Iran and half a dozen countries were posing all last week in the wake of a summit in Samarkand that brought their leaders together as members or aspiring members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO).

The Russian media, echoing President Vladimir Putin's speech at the summit, say the SCO is designed to end "the unipolar world "by creating a "multipolar system".

The Chinese media offer a different version. The SCO is meant to offer a new political system for the whole world as an alternative to the Western democratic model.

To the Islamic media in Tehran, celebrating the Islamic Republic's admission to the club after 11 years of supplication, the SCO is an extension of the "Resistance Front" created to contain and defeat the American "Great Satan."

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