States with fewer immigrants will have 26 fewer House seats
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** Immigration Redistributes Political Power States with fewer immigrants (legal & illegal) will have 26 fewer House seats & electoral votes ([link removed])
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Washington, D.C. (December 19, 2019) - A new Center for Immigration Studies report examines the impact of legal and illegal immigration on the apportionment of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and votes in the Electoral College. House seats and electoral votes are based on total state populations, not citizenship. By adding significantly to the population of some states compared to others, legal and illegal immigration reduces the political power of low-immigration states, which are comprised mostly of U.S. citizens, and redistributes it to high-immigration states.
"States that receive relatively few immigrants may think immigration has little effect on them. But in fact, immigration significantly reduces their representation in Washington," said Steven Camarota, the Center's Director of Research and co-author of the report. "When making immigration policy, the impact of increased numbers on the redistribution of power should at least be considered. The presence of large numbers of foreign-born residents – whether naturalized citizens, green card holders, guestworkers, foreign students, or illegal aliens – impacts many aspects of American life, including apportionment."
View the report at:: [link removed].
Among the findings:
• The presence of all foreign-born persons (naturalized citizens, legal residents, guestworkers, foreign students, and illegal aliens) and their U.S.-born minor children will redistribute 26 seats in the House in 2020.
• To put this number in perspective, changing the party of 21 members of the current Congress would flip the majority in the U.S. House.
• The presence of all immigrants and their U.S.-born minor children will cause OH to have three fewer seats in 2020 than it otherwise would have had but for the presence of immigrants and their minor children in other states. MI and PA will have two fewer; and AL, AR, GA, ID, IN, IA, KY, LA, MN, MS, MO, NC, OK, RI, SC, TN, UT, WV, and WI will each have one fewer seat. CA will have 11 more seats in 2020 than it otherwise would have; NY and TX will have four more seats each; FL will have three more seats; NJ will have two more seats; and IL and MA will each have one additional seat.
• Of the 26 seats that will be lost, 24 are from states that voted for Donald Trump in 2016. Of states that will gain political power from immigration, 19 seats will go to the solidly Democratic states of CA, NY, NJ, MA, and IL. TX is the only solidly Republican state that gains, while FL is a swing state.
• Looking at immigrants (naturalized citizens, legal permanent residents, guestworkers, foreign students and illegal aliens), but not their U.S.-born minor children, will redistribute 18 seats in the House in 2020. OH will have two fewer seats than it otherwise would have had but for the presence of immigrants in other states. AL, GA, ID, IA, IN, KY, LA, MI, MN, MO, NC, OK, PA, TN, UT, and WV will each have one fewer seat. CA will have seven more seats in 2020 than it otherwise would. NY and FL will have three more each; TX and NJ will have two more seats; and IL will have one more seat.
• Looking at non-citizens and their U.S.-born minor children redistributes 10 seats, with OH, MI, AL, ID, MN, MO, WV, TN, PA, and RI each having one fewer seat. CA will have four more seats than it otherwise would have; TX will have three more seats; and NY, FL, and NJ will have one additional seat each.
• Looking at only non-citizens (legal residents and illegal immigrants) redistributes eight seats, with OH, MI, MO, MN, AL, ID, WV, and RI each having one fewer seat in 2020 due to the presence of non-citizens in other states. CA will have three additional seats; TX will have two more seats; and FL, NJ, and NY will each have one more seat.
• Illegal immigrants and their U.S.-born minor children will redistribute five seats in 2020, with OH, MI, AL, MN, and WV each losing one seat in 2020 that they otherwise would have had. CA and TX will each have two additional seats, and NY will have one additional seat.
• Illegal immigrants alone in the 2020 will redistribute three seats, with OH, AL, and MN each having one fewer seat than they otherwise would have had, while CA, NY, and TX will have one additional seat.
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