| From | Amée LaTour, Ballotpedia <[email protected]> |
| Subject | Heart of the Primaries 2022, Democrats-Issue 37 (September 1, 2022) |
| Date | September 1, 2022 7:06 PM |
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Major endorsement splits in Massachusetts AG primary
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** Welcome to Heart of the Primaries, Democratic Edition
------------------------------------------------------------
** September 01, 2022
------------------------------------------------------------
In this issue: Major endorsement splits in Massachusetts AG primary and a look at turnout in Ohio's split primaries.
Read On Ballotpedia ([link removed]
BALLOTPEDIA ([link removed]
SHARE THIS NEWSLETTER
[link removed] [link removed] [link removed] [link removed]
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** Progressive endorsers split, candidate drops out of Massachusetts AG primary
------------------------------------------------------------
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Boston Mayor Michelle Wu, and Boston's former Acting Mayor Kim Janey endorsed labor attorney Shannon Liss-Riordan for Massachusetts attorney general. Politico Massachusetts Playbook's Lisa Kashinsky said ([link removed] the endorsements show the primary is "pitting the state’s most prominent progressives against each other."
Incumbent Attorney General Maura Healey (D), Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.), and Rep. Ayanna Pressley (D-Mass.) endorsed former Boston City Council member Andrea Campbell.
Campbell, Wu, and Janey served on the city council together and ran in last year's Boston mayoral primary.
On Tuesday, former state Assistant Attorney General Quentin Palfrey announced ([link removed] his withdrawal from the race and endorsed Campbell. Palfrey won ([link removed] the state Democratic Party's backing in June.
Kashinsky said ([link removed] Palfey had "been outpaced in fundraising by Campbell and trounced by Liss-Riordan, who’s now poured at least $4.8 million of her own money into her campaign. And he's trailed in polling while Liss-Riordan is closing the gap with Campbell after blanketing the airwaves since early July."
Also on Tuesday, The Boston Globe editorial board endorsed ([link removed] Campbell.
During debates, candidates have focused ([link removed] on criticizing each other's fundraising and super PAC involvement in the race. On policy, Kashinsky wrote ([link removed] that Liss-Riordan is more supportive of rent control and that Campbell has said she wouldn't interfere with local efforts to implement it. Kashinsky also wrote the candidates had different approaches to combating racism, with Campbell focused on Department of Corrections and prison reforms and Liss-Riordan emphasizing the Attorney General office's civil rights division.
See Boston.com's candidate Q&A here ([link removed] for more.
The primary ([link removed] is Sept. 6.
** Peltola wins special U.S. House election (and other Alaska updates)
------------------------------------------------------------
On Aug. 16, Alaska held top-four primaries and a special U.S. House election, the latter of which used ranked-choice voting. Certification ([link removed] is expected by tomorrow, and most battleground races have been called.
U.S House special general ([link removed] : Mary Peltola (D) won the election. On the final round of unofficial ranked-choice voting tabulation, Peltola had 51.5% of the vote to Sarah Palin's (R) 48.5%. This election fills the term ending Jan. 3, 2023.
Before tabulation began, Peltola had 40% of first-choice votes, followed by Palin with 31% and Nick Begich III (R) with 28%. Write-in candidates received a combined 1.6% of the vote.
Write-in candidates were eliminated ([link removed] first as a batch. Then Begich was eliminated. The votes of those who chose eliminated candidates as first choices were redistributed to the voters' second-choice candidates if they chose such. Watch a livestream of the tabulation from the Alaska Division of Elections here ([link removed] .
Peltola will be Alaska's first Democratic U.S. representative since Nick Begich Sr.—Nick Begich III's grandfather. Begich Sr.'s plane went missing ([link removed] while he was in office in 1972. Don Young (R) won a special election ([link removed] to succeed Begich. Young served until his death in March of this year.
Peltola, Palin, and Begich will meet again in the regularly scheduled general election for U.S. House in November. General elections for all offices below will be held Nov. 8 and will use ranked-choice voting as well.
U.S. House regular primary ([link removed] : As of Wednesday, The New York Times had called ([link removed] three of the four general election spots for Peltola, Palin, and Begich III. Peltola led with 37% of the vote, followed by Palin with 30%, Begich with 26%, and Tara Sweeney (R) with 4%.
Sweeney said she'll withdraw ([link removed] from the race, meaning the fourth spot would go to the fifth-place finisher. As of Wednesday, that was Libertarian Chris Bye, who had 0.6% of the vote. Sept. 2 is the target election certification ([link removed] date, and Sept. 6 is the ballot certification date.
Alaska governor ([link removed] : Incumbent Mike Dunleavy (R), Bill Walker (Independent), Les Gara (D), and Charlie Pierce (R) advanced to the general election. Dunleavy had 41% of the vote, followed by Walker and Gara with 23% each and Pierce with 7%.
Dunleavy was elected governor in 2018. He succeeded Walker, who initially ran for re-election that year and withdrew weeks ahead of the general election. Gara served in the state House of Representatives from 2003 to 2019. Pierce worked as a manager at ENSTAR Natural Gas Company.
U.S. Senate ([link removed] : Incumbent Lisa Murkowski (R), Kelly Tshibaka (R), Patricia Chesbro (D), and Buzz Kelley (R) advanced to the general election. Murkowski had 45% of the vote, followed by Tshibaka with 39%, Chesbro with 7%, and Kelley with 2%.
Murkowski first took office in 2002. Tshibaka is a former commissioner at the Alaska Department of Administration. Chesbro is a retired teacher. Kelley is a retired mechanic.
Murkowski is the only Republican senator ([link removed] seeking re-election this year who voted guilty during former President Donald Trump's 2021 impeachment trial. Murkowski's endorsers include U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and Sens. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska), Joe Manchin (D-W.V.), and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.). Trump and the Alaska Republican Party endorsed Tshibaka.
[link removed]
** FL-04 recount shows Holloway still in lead
------------------------------------------------------------
On Aug. 27, Clay, Duval, and Nassau counties' canvassing boards conducted ([link removed] a machine recount of Florida's 4th Congressional District Democratic primary ([link removed] votes. LaShonda Holloway remained in the lead, ending the recount with 207 more votes than Anthony Hill.
According to state law, a recount must be conducted ([link removed] when the margin of victory is less than or equal to 0.5% of the total votes cast. The 201 votes separating ([link removed] the candidates as of last week equaled around 0.34% of the total cast in the primary.
The winner faces Aaron Bean (R) in November. Election forecasters view ([link removed] this as a Safe Republican district.
This was one of several congressional primary recounts that have taken place this year. In addition to high-profile recounts ([link removed] in Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate Republican primary and Texas' 28th District Democratic primary runoff, others included Florida's 22nd District GOP primary ([link removed] , Texas' 15th District Democratic primary runoff ([link removed] , Wisconsin's 2nd District GOP primary ([link removed] , and Georgia's 10th District Democratic primary ([link removed] .
** Ohio's state legislative primary voter turnout decreased amid split election
------------------------------------------------------------
Due to redistricting-related court challenges, Ohio held ([link removed] two primaries this year. The first, its regularly scheduled primary, took place on May 3 for all except state legislative offices. State legislative primaries occurred on Aug. 2. Turnout in the May 2022 primary was comparable to 2018 and 2020 primary turnout, while state legislative primary turnout specifically was lower this year than in 2018 and 2020.
The chart below compares unofficial voter turnout numbers ([link removed] in the Aug. 2 primary with official turnout numbers ([link removed] in the May primary, along with the official turnout numbers in the state’s previous primary elections through 2012.
Ohio’s Aug. 2 primary had the lowest voter turnout in a statewide primary election in at least a decade, with 661,101 votes cast. A look at votes cast in General Assembly elections in previous years shows that fewer people voted in these primaries in 2022. Votes cast in state Senate elections were 38% of the 2020 figure and 46% of the 2018 figure. In state House elections, 2022 primary votes were 41% of the 2020 figure and 45% of the 2018 figure. The chart below shows the total votes cast in state House and state Senate elections in 2022 ([link removed] , 2020 ([link removed] , and 2018 ([link removed] .
Note: Ohio holds elections for all state House districts and half its state Senate districts in even-numbered years.
The Ohio Redistricting Commission's state legislative maps underwent a lengthy legal challenge process ([link removed] involving several map submissions to the Ohio Supreme Court. A federal court order went into effect on May 28, selecting one of the submitted maps for use in the 2022 elections. The legal challenge to the legislative maps is ongoing before the state supreme court.
Ohio is one of two states that split its primaries this year due to redistricting legal challenges. Statewide turnout data is not yet available in New York, which held primaries on June 28 and Aug. 23.
[link removed]
** Competitiveness data: Massachusetts
------------------------------------------------------------
We’ve crunched some numbers to see how competitive Massachusetts’ Sept. 6 primaries are compared to recent cycles.
Notes on how these figures were calculated:
* Candidates per district: divides the total number of candidates by the number of districts holding elections.
* Open districts: divides the number of districts without an incumbent running by the number of districts holding elections.
* Contested primaries: divides the number of major party primaries by the number of possible primaries.
* Incumbents in contested primaries: divides the number of incumbents in primaries by the number seeking re-election in the given election cycle.
PLEASE DONATE TO BALLOTPEDIA TODAY ([link removed]
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SUPPORT BALLOTPEDIA ([link removed]
Ballotpedia is a 501c3 organization, established in 2007, to deliver accurate and unbiased information about American politics and policy. All gifts to Ballotpedia are tax-deductible to the extent of the law.
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Adjust your email preferences ([link removed]) | Unsubscribe from all Ballotpedia emails ([link removed])
COPYRIGHT © 2022. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
View in Browser ([link removed])
[link removed]
** Welcome to Heart of the Primaries, Democratic Edition
------------------------------------------------------------
** September 01, 2022
------------------------------------------------------------
In this issue: Major endorsement splits in Massachusetts AG primary and a look at turnout in Ohio's split primaries.
Read On Ballotpedia ([link removed]
BALLOTPEDIA ([link removed]
SHARE THIS NEWSLETTER
[link removed] [link removed] [link removed] [link removed]
[link removed]
** Progressive endorsers split, candidate drops out of Massachusetts AG primary
------------------------------------------------------------
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Boston Mayor Michelle Wu, and Boston's former Acting Mayor Kim Janey endorsed labor attorney Shannon Liss-Riordan for Massachusetts attorney general. Politico Massachusetts Playbook's Lisa Kashinsky said ([link removed] the endorsements show the primary is "pitting the state’s most prominent progressives against each other."
Incumbent Attorney General Maura Healey (D), Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.), and Rep. Ayanna Pressley (D-Mass.) endorsed former Boston City Council member Andrea Campbell.
Campbell, Wu, and Janey served on the city council together and ran in last year's Boston mayoral primary.
On Tuesday, former state Assistant Attorney General Quentin Palfrey announced ([link removed] his withdrawal from the race and endorsed Campbell. Palfrey won ([link removed] the state Democratic Party's backing in June.
Kashinsky said ([link removed] Palfey had "been outpaced in fundraising by Campbell and trounced by Liss-Riordan, who’s now poured at least $4.8 million of her own money into her campaign. And he's trailed in polling while Liss-Riordan is closing the gap with Campbell after blanketing the airwaves since early July."
Also on Tuesday, The Boston Globe editorial board endorsed ([link removed] Campbell.
During debates, candidates have focused ([link removed] on criticizing each other's fundraising and super PAC involvement in the race. On policy, Kashinsky wrote ([link removed] that Liss-Riordan is more supportive of rent control and that Campbell has said she wouldn't interfere with local efforts to implement it. Kashinsky also wrote the candidates had different approaches to combating racism, with Campbell focused on Department of Corrections and prison reforms and Liss-Riordan emphasizing the Attorney General office's civil rights division.
See Boston.com's candidate Q&A here ([link removed] for more.
The primary ([link removed] is Sept. 6.
** Peltola wins special U.S. House election (and other Alaska updates)
------------------------------------------------------------
On Aug. 16, Alaska held top-four primaries and a special U.S. House election, the latter of which used ranked-choice voting. Certification ([link removed] is expected by tomorrow, and most battleground races have been called.
U.S House special general ([link removed] : Mary Peltola (D) won the election. On the final round of unofficial ranked-choice voting tabulation, Peltola had 51.5% of the vote to Sarah Palin's (R) 48.5%. This election fills the term ending Jan. 3, 2023.
Before tabulation began, Peltola had 40% of first-choice votes, followed by Palin with 31% and Nick Begich III (R) with 28%. Write-in candidates received a combined 1.6% of the vote.
Write-in candidates were eliminated ([link removed] first as a batch. Then Begich was eliminated. The votes of those who chose eliminated candidates as first choices were redistributed to the voters' second-choice candidates if they chose such. Watch a livestream of the tabulation from the Alaska Division of Elections here ([link removed] .
Peltola will be Alaska's first Democratic U.S. representative since Nick Begich Sr.—Nick Begich III's grandfather. Begich Sr.'s plane went missing ([link removed] while he was in office in 1972. Don Young (R) won a special election ([link removed] to succeed Begich. Young served until his death in March of this year.
Peltola, Palin, and Begich will meet again in the regularly scheduled general election for U.S. House in November. General elections for all offices below will be held Nov. 8 and will use ranked-choice voting as well.
U.S. House regular primary ([link removed] : As of Wednesday, The New York Times had called ([link removed] three of the four general election spots for Peltola, Palin, and Begich III. Peltola led with 37% of the vote, followed by Palin with 30%, Begich with 26%, and Tara Sweeney (R) with 4%.
Sweeney said she'll withdraw ([link removed] from the race, meaning the fourth spot would go to the fifth-place finisher. As of Wednesday, that was Libertarian Chris Bye, who had 0.6% of the vote. Sept. 2 is the target election certification ([link removed] date, and Sept. 6 is the ballot certification date.
Alaska governor ([link removed] : Incumbent Mike Dunleavy (R), Bill Walker (Independent), Les Gara (D), and Charlie Pierce (R) advanced to the general election. Dunleavy had 41% of the vote, followed by Walker and Gara with 23% each and Pierce with 7%.
Dunleavy was elected governor in 2018. He succeeded Walker, who initially ran for re-election that year and withdrew weeks ahead of the general election. Gara served in the state House of Representatives from 2003 to 2019. Pierce worked as a manager at ENSTAR Natural Gas Company.
U.S. Senate ([link removed] : Incumbent Lisa Murkowski (R), Kelly Tshibaka (R), Patricia Chesbro (D), and Buzz Kelley (R) advanced to the general election. Murkowski had 45% of the vote, followed by Tshibaka with 39%, Chesbro with 7%, and Kelley with 2%.
Murkowski first took office in 2002. Tshibaka is a former commissioner at the Alaska Department of Administration. Chesbro is a retired teacher. Kelley is a retired mechanic.
Murkowski is the only Republican senator ([link removed] seeking re-election this year who voted guilty during former President Donald Trump's 2021 impeachment trial. Murkowski's endorsers include U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and Sens. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska), Joe Manchin (D-W.V.), and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.). Trump and the Alaska Republican Party endorsed Tshibaka.
[link removed]
** FL-04 recount shows Holloway still in lead
------------------------------------------------------------
On Aug. 27, Clay, Duval, and Nassau counties' canvassing boards conducted ([link removed] a machine recount of Florida's 4th Congressional District Democratic primary ([link removed] votes. LaShonda Holloway remained in the lead, ending the recount with 207 more votes than Anthony Hill.
According to state law, a recount must be conducted ([link removed] when the margin of victory is less than or equal to 0.5% of the total votes cast. The 201 votes separating ([link removed] the candidates as of last week equaled around 0.34% of the total cast in the primary.
The winner faces Aaron Bean (R) in November. Election forecasters view ([link removed] this as a Safe Republican district.
This was one of several congressional primary recounts that have taken place this year. In addition to high-profile recounts ([link removed] in Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate Republican primary and Texas' 28th District Democratic primary runoff, others included Florida's 22nd District GOP primary ([link removed] , Texas' 15th District Democratic primary runoff ([link removed] , Wisconsin's 2nd District GOP primary ([link removed] , and Georgia's 10th District Democratic primary ([link removed] .
** Ohio's state legislative primary voter turnout decreased amid split election
------------------------------------------------------------
Due to redistricting-related court challenges, Ohio held ([link removed] two primaries this year. The first, its regularly scheduled primary, took place on May 3 for all except state legislative offices. State legislative primaries occurred on Aug. 2. Turnout in the May 2022 primary was comparable to 2018 and 2020 primary turnout, while state legislative primary turnout specifically was lower this year than in 2018 and 2020.
The chart below compares unofficial voter turnout numbers ([link removed] in the Aug. 2 primary with official turnout numbers ([link removed] in the May primary, along with the official turnout numbers in the state’s previous primary elections through 2012.
Ohio’s Aug. 2 primary had the lowest voter turnout in a statewide primary election in at least a decade, with 661,101 votes cast. A look at votes cast in General Assembly elections in previous years shows that fewer people voted in these primaries in 2022. Votes cast in state Senate elections were 38% of the 2020 figure and 46% of the 2018 figure. In state House elections, 2022 primary votes were 41% of the 2020 figure and 45% of the 2018 figure. The chart below shows the total votes cast in state House and state Senate elections in 2022 ([link removed] , 2020 ([link removed] , and 2018 ([link removed] .
Note: Ohio holds elections for all state House districts and half its state Senate districts in even-numbered years.
The Ohio Redistricting Commission's state legislative maps underwent a lengthy legal challenge process ([link removed] involving several map submissions to the Ohio Supreme Court. A federal court order went into effect on May 28, selecting one of the submitted maps for use in the 2022 elections. The legal challenge to the legislative maps is ongoing before the state supreme court.
Ohio is one of two states that split its primaries this year due to redistricting legal challenges. Statewide turnout data is not yet available in New York, which held primaries on June 28 and Aug. 23.
[link removed]
** Competitiveness data: Massachusetts
------------------------------------------------------------
We’ve crunched some numbers to see how competitive Massachusetts’ Sept. 6 primaries are compared to recent cycles.
Notes on how these figures were calculated:
* Candidates per district: divides the total number of candidates by the number of districts holding elections.
* Open districts: divides the number of districts without an incumbent running by the number of districts holding elections.
* Contested primaries: divides the number of major party primaries by the number of possible primaries.
* Incumbents in contested primaries: divides the number of incumbents in primaries by the number seeking re-election in the given election cycle.
PLEASE DONATE TO BALLOTPEDIA TODAY ([link removed]
STAY CONNECTED
[link removed] [link removed] [link removed] [link removed] [link removed]
GET OUR APP
[link removed]
SUPPORT BALLOTPEDIA ([link removed]
Ballotpedia is a 501c3 organization, established in 2007, to deliver accurate and unbiased information about American politics and policy. All gifts to Ballotpedia are tax-deductible to the extent of the law.
BALLOTPEDIA
| |
Adjust your email preferences ([link removed]) | Unsubscribe from all Ballotpedia emails ([link removed])
COPYRIGHT © 2022. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
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