What We Know, and What We Don’t Know | The Many Existential Challenges Facing the State of Israel Today

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Volume 14, Issue 70

"The countries of the West draw a red line, the Iranians ignore it, and the red line moves.”
—Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid, August 24, 2022
Jump to: Antisemitism (#Antisemitism) | Israel (#Israel) | Iran (#Iran) | Iran Nuclear Negotiations (#Iran Nuclear Negotiations) | Middle East (#Middle East) | United States (#United States)
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What We Know and What We Don't Know ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID)
By Sarah Stern | August 26, 2022
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Many of us are following the news of the latest talks in Vienna with Iran, on pins and needles. We are watching every leak, every rumor, every news story, out of the US Press, The Arab Press, the Israeli Press, even out of the Iranian Press, as an indicator of whether the United States and the Iranians will finally come to an agreement.

As the late Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld had once wisely said, “We know what we know. We don’t know what we don’t know.” By the time you read this article, a deal might well have been reached—or perhaps not. As I write these words, it is important to reiterate what we do know.

We do know that on January 26, 2021, when US Secretary of State Antony Blinken stood before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee for his confirmation hearings last January, he promised a “longer, stronger deal.” We also know that over the last 16 months there have been 9 rounds of negotiations in Vienna and one in Doha and that there has been a seemingly endless loop of negotiations, over the past 6 months, that were each dubbed to have been “the final offer”. We have heard over this period that US officials “are running out of patience”, only to participate in yet, another round of talks.

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Upcoming Events
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About the speaker: Efraim Inbar was the founding director of the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, a position he held for 23 years (1993-2016), and a professor of political studies at Bar-Ilan University. He has been a visiting professor at Georgetown, Johns Hopkins, and Boston universities; a visiting scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars; a Manfred Warner NATO Fellow; and a visiting fellow at the (London-based) International Institute for Strategic Studies. He was president of the Israel Association of International Studies; a member of the Political Strategic Committee of the National Planning Council; chairman of the National Security Curriculum committee in the Ministry of Education; and a member of the Academic Committee of the IDF History Department. He has authored five books: Outcast Countries in the World Community (1985), and War and Peace in Israeli Politics. Labor Party Positions on National Security (1991), Rabin and Israel’s National Security
(1999), The Israeli-Turkish Entente (2001), and Israel’s National Security: Issues and Challenges since the Yom Kippur War (2008), and edited fourteen collections of scholarly articles. He is an expert on Israeli strategic doctrine, public opinion on national security issues, US Middle East policy, Israeli-Palestinian diplomacy, and Israel-Turkey relations.

Inbar holds an M.A and a Ph.D. from the University of Chicago, after finishing undergraduate studies in Political Science and English Literature at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem.
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Please consider sponsoring an EMET webinar featuring top experts offering critical insights impacting Israel and U.S. national security. Policymakers and the general public need to hear these voices. Your support is essential for these webinars to continue. Sponsor a webinar here ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) .
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** ‘Operation Breaking Dawn’: How Israel knew Islamic Jihad was planning to attack ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - JNS
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** Iran Prepares to Take Out Israel – Right after Iran Deal Is Signed ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Gatestone Institute
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** Israel says Iran refuses final nuclear deal offer: 'Time to walk away' ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Fox News
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** Biden’s Sanction Relief Will Fund Iranian Terror Plots, Former US Official Says ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Free Beacon
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** Iran gloats, America plots, but even a nuclear deal will not tame Tehran ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - The Guardian
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** US official: Iran no longer demanding IAEA stop probing undeclared nuclear materials ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Times of Israel
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** Most countries part of nuclear talks with Iran agree with EU proposal - Borrell ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Reuters
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** Biden Drops More Crucial Demands to Get Iran Deal ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Gatestone Institute
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** Exclusive: Iran has dropped some demands for nuclear deal, U.S. official says ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Reuters
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** Iran’s ‘state’ terrorism and an American policy of deterrence ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - The Hill
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** Russia to use Iran to bypass sanctions and sell oil if nuclear deal clinched ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID)
- Times of Israel
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Forget Free Speech: Rushdie's Fatwa Is Winning ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Gatestone Institute

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Status of Global War against Terrorism ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Gatestone Institute

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Turkey Accuses Sweden, Finland of 'Supporting Terrorism', Meanwhile Releases Turkish Hizbullah Terrorists from Prison ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Gatestone Institute

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‘CNN’ gets it partially right about anti-Semitism ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - JNS

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University of Southern California Vows to Implement Recommendations for Fighting Antisemitism ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - The Algemeiner

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Photo of Iraq father carrying girl misleadingly shared in 'Pray for Palestine' posts ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Yahoo News

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Florida judge who approved FBI search of Mar-a-Lago faces barrage of antisemitic online attacks ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Politico

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Ben & Jerry’s loses bid to halt sales in West Bank ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID)
- CNBC

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Noor Dahri: Pakistani-born Muslim, counter-terrorism expert … and Zionist ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID)
- JNS

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Israel's premier urges West to reject Iran nuclear deal ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID)
- ABC News

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UNSC members condemn IDF raids on Palestinian NGO offices ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Jerusalem Post

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** Cooperation with Key Gulf States Still Halting ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID)
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- The Soufan Center

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** Iran Revolutionary Guard general reportedly killed in Syria ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Times of Israel
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** Biden orders airstrikes in Syria on groups backed by Iran ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - The Hill
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** U.S. Military Strikes Bunkers in Northeast Syria Used by Groups Affiliated With Iran ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Wall Street Journal
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** Mandela Barnes Talks Up Support for Israel on the Campaign Trail. He Doesn’t Mention His Membership in a Vocal Anti-Israel Group. ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Free Beacon
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** Iran Builds Its Own Online ISIS in America ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Gatestone Institute
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** Pariah No Longer: Biden Admin Taps Saudi Energy Company Board Member for Top Energy Department Post ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Free Beacon
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** 17 States Demand Answers From Ratings Giant Morningstar Over Anti-Israel Bias ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=ca52c7655d&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Free Beacon
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