Parents are abandoning schools in large numbers, but teachers are not.

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** Education Exodus
Parents are abandoning schools in large numbers, but teachers are not.
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** By Larry Sand
Originally published at Frontpagemag.com ([link removed])

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School reopening time is almost upon us, and large numbers of parents have opted out of government-run schools. Over the past two school years, k-12 enrollment has declined by nearly 3%, or about 1.3 million students nationwide ([link removed]) , according to a recent study by the American Enterprise Institute. Children who had gone to schools that were shuttered during the Covid panic have been much less likely to return to a traditional public school (TPS).

Big city school districts have seen massive exoduses. In New York City, there were over one million enrolled students ([link removed]) in the 2019-20 school year, but the city anticipates just 760,439 children will be attending by the end of 2022-23.

Chicago’s students are also leaving the plantation. There were about 400,000 attendees in 2010. That number dwindled to about 330,000 as of March 2021, with much bigger losses expected when updated enrollment numbers are released. Also, of Chicago’s 478 TPS, almost one third are less than half full ([link removed]) . Additionally, the 20 most abandoned schools in the Windy City are only 5% to 25% full.

Los Angeles is also bleeding children. Enrollment at district schools peaked in 2002‐03 at 747,000. But 19 years later that number has plunged to 430,000 students ([link removed]) . The 2020-2021 school year was particularly jarring as attendance dropped by more than 27,000 students ([link removed]) , a decline of close to 6%, a steeper slide than in any recent year. Even more shocking is that, as reported by the Los Angeles Times, nearly half of Los Angeles Unified students – more than 200,000 children ([link removed]) – have been chronically absent this school year, meaning they have missed at least 9% of the academic year.

While the TPS’ hysterical response to Covid is probably the most prominent cause for the sinking numbers in big cities, other reasons include a lower birthrate, families leaving for more tax-friendly states, too much sex, gender and Critical Race Theory instruction, etc.

While children are abandoning the TPS, are teachers bidding adieu also? According to recent reports, they are – or are about to – in droves. In February 2022, the National Education Association released the results of a poll which found that “55 percent of educators ([link removed]) are thinking about leaving the profession earlier than they had planned.” More recently, the Rand Corp. reported that about one-third of teachers and principals ([link removed]) said they were likely to leave their current job.

The mainstream media by-and-large has bought into the impending shortfall. Earlier this month, a Washington Post headline read, “Never seen it this bad: America faces catastrophic teacher shortage ([link removed]) .” While claiming that we’re on the verge of an apocalypse, the writer is at least honest enough to admit that “no national database precisely tracks the issue.”

The shortage scenario is highly unlikely, however. As I wrote recently, teacher shortage hysteria ([link removed]) has been with us since 1920. Additionally, “multiple studies of teacher turnover have not found evidence of unusually large attrition,” according to a new report by the Rand Corp ([link removed]) . Yes, polling teachers about what they plan to do as opposed to what they actually do nets very different results. The Rand report also explains, “In short, we believe it is districts’ increase in number of staff that they seek to employ rather than an exodus from teaching that is straining the teacher labor market. More than three-quarters of surveyed district leaders indicated that they have expanded their substitute and/or regular teaching staff above prepandemic levels as of spring 2022.”

In fact, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the teacher quit rate is about half that of private sector workers. Mike Antonucci ([link removed]) also issues an important clarification. Included in the “Quits” column are those who left their present job to accept a different job. “So if a teacher leaves District A for a higher-paying job in District B, she quits and is counted in the statistics. If we examine quits without examining hires, we get only half the picture.”

So, while the predicted teacher shortage is unlikely to happen, disappearing students are a reality. As school boards across the country desperately try to figure out how to stanch the bleeding, the Los Angeles Unified School District has a plan. It has concocted a three-pronged strategy ([link removed]) to deal with its chronic absenteeism. The district will tell their teachers to “pay special attention to student mental health” while “administrators will focus on forging solid relationships with parents.” It is unclear as to how much good these actions will do, but they are not unreasonable. The third component is, however, counterproductive…to put it mildly. The district asserts, “Schools will shift from punitive to restorative practices.”

Of all the well-meaning, but harmful fads that have become part of the scenario in our public schools, “restorative justice ([link removed]) ” and other similar non-consequences for willful defiance and worse, are probably the most destructive. Restorative justice makes life miserable for behaving students and teachers alike. It turns teachers into therapists and emphasizes “making the victim and offender whole ([link removed]) ” and involves “an open discussion of feelings.” Not surprisingly, the teachers unions – with their radical agenda ([link removed]) front and center – are in favor of it, nonsensically claiming, “Building real relationships
with students has to be top priority.”

Like so many progressive ideas, restorative justice is not evidence-based. As Max Eden ([link removed]) reported in 2019, the tally of studies on the academic effects of restorative justice and similar forms of discipline reform on school districts are three negative (Pittsburgh ([link removed]) , Los Angeles ([link removed]) , Philadelphia ([link removed]) ) and one null ([link removed]) /positive ([link removed]) (Chicago). Eden adds, “In terms of student surveys, my tally has four negative (NYC ([link removed]) , Los Angeles
([link removed]) , Washoe County ([link removed]) , Seattle ([link removed]) ) and one negative ([link removed]) /positive ([link removed]) (Chicago). When it comes to local teacher surveys, I’ve seen eleven negative ([link removed]) (Oklahoma City, Baton Rouge, Portland, Jackson, Denver, Syracuse, Santa Ana, Hillsborough, Madison, Charleston, Buffalo) and one positive (Pittsburgh ([link removed]) ).” (In the latter, teachers reported improved school safety and classroom management ability, but the students had
another take ([link removed]) . They thought their “teachers’ classroom management deteriorated, and that students in class were less respectful and supportive of each other; at a lower confidence interval, they reported bullying and more instructional time lost to disruption. And although restorative justice is billed as a way to fight the ‘school-to-prison pipeline,’ it had no impact on student arrests.”)

So as a result of the teacher union-led education establishment forcing schools to needlessly shut down during Covid, increasing dissatisfaction with highly inappropriate curricula, and a growing restorative justice ([link removed]) movement as a way to stem a scary increase in student violence, children are fleeing the system.

Well worth noting is that unburdened by TPS mismanagement, charter schools, private schools, and homeschooling are thriving. Is anyone surprised?

Larry Sand, a former classroom teacher, is the president of the non-profit California Teachers Empowerment Network ([link removed]) – a non-partisan, non-political group dedicated to providing teachers and the general public with reliable and balanced information about professional affiliations and positions on educational issues. The views presented here are strictly his own.

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To learn more about the Freedom Center's campaign to halt indoctrination in K-12 schools, please visit our website, www.stopk12indoctrination.org ([link removed]) . To read the K-12 Code of Ethics CLICK ([link removed]) HERE ([link removed]) . To order the Freedom Center pamphlet, “Leftist Indoctrination in Our K-12 Public Schools,” CLICK HERE ([link removed]) . To donate to our campaign to stop K-12 Indoctrination CLICK HERE ([link removed]) .

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