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Dear Friends,
To talk about the many encouraging developments for Democrats in the 2022 election we’ve put together two briefings this week. The briefings, conducted over Zoom, are:
Thursday, August 25th Noon ET – RSVP Here
Friday, August 26th 3pm ET – RSVP Here
A recording of the Friday briefing will be our website on Saturday for those who cannot make either event. These briefings are free and open to all so feel free to invite friends and colleagues.
To learn more about our take on the 2022 elections check out our big analysis, “Dems Are Closing Strong, Republicans Are…..Not.” You can also find our work and insights cited in the press and podcasts below.
To a new, bluer election - Simon
Further Reading, Media Citations
In November of 2021, we published a memo, Memo: 3 Reasons Why 2022 Won’t Be 2010, that posited the GOP's embrace of MAGA would make it likely that 2022 would not be a traditional midterm and Democrats could end up overperforming expectations. In May we predicted that the combination of a return of mass shootings, the ending of Roe, and the fallout from the Jan 6th Committee would reawaken the anti-MAGA majority and make this election much closer than many thought possible. In mid-June, we released an election analysis which argued we were already looking at a competitive not a wave election - that there were signs of what we call the MAGA hangover (GOP underperformance) even before Roe ended. Then Roe ended, and NDN has been at the national forefront of charting what is now clearly a new, bluer election.
In recent weeks our election analysis has been cited in articles by John Harwood on the CNN site, Greg Sargent in the Washington Post, Peter Nicholas on the NBC News site, Susan Milligan in US News, Nicholas Riccardi in the AP, Eleanor Clift in The Daily Beast, John Skolnick in Salon, AB Stoddard in The xxxxxx, Peter Weber in The Week, Dick Polman in his nationally syndicated column and Jim Puzzanghera in the Boston Globe. I've also hit the pod and radio circuit, discussing of our electoral thesis with Matt Lewis on his podcast, Ian Masters for his radio show/podcast, a new episode of That Trippi Show our good friend Joe Trippi, David Catanese's Too Close to Call, HotMics with Maria Cardona and Alice Stewart and the Start Me Up pod with Kimberley Johnson. On Thursday, August 4th I joined Mehdi Hasan's show on Peacock for a spirited discussion of the 2022 elections.
A front page Washington Post story on the 2022 election by Michael Scherer, Coby Itkowitz and Josh Dawsey features this quote from Simon: “The question is, are there forces in the election more powerful than the disappointment in Biden?” asked Simon Rosenberg, a Democratic strategist. “The answer is yes, and that is opposition and fear for MAGA, which is the thing that has driven the last two elections.” Ron Brownstein also gives our big argument serious consideration in a new and comprehensive CNN analysis. Greg Sargent devotes a whole column to our analysis, "Meet the Lonely Democrat Who Thinks His Party Can Win." This one is a particularly good read. Kristian Ramos has a new take in Salon that includes our work, and comes down where we come down - time for Dems to go on offense now. I did a long sit down with Jonathan Alter for his Old Goats substack - was a deep and rich conversation about this election and the state of our politics today. Check it out. Nicole Narea does a great treatment of our concept of "The MAGA hangover" in a new Vox piece and the FT's Courtney Weaver cites us on the struggles of GOP candidates across the country. Politico's Max Tani and Alex Thompson do a deep dive on our analysis in a fun new piece, "Meet The Most Optimistic Dem Online." Susan Glasser gives our 2022 election take serious consideration in a new New Yorker essay, "Is There A Serious Case for A Non-Awful Election for Democrats This Fall?"
And we appreciate this shoutout from DNC Chair Jaime Harrison!
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