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AUGUST 18, 2022
Meyerson on TAP
Cheney's Future, Reconsidered
Why she'll run in the 2024 Republican presidential primaries, but not
in the general election as an independent candidate
In yesterday's On TAP, my colleague Bob Kuttner voiced his concerns
that if Liz Cheney ran an independent general-election campaign for
president against Donald Trump in 2024, she could split the anti-Trump
vote with the Democratic nominee and thereby hand the White House to the
Donaldissimo.
I share Bob's fears that this would be a very dangerous course of
action should Cheney take it, but I don't think she will.
Anyone who understands politics as well as Cheney clearly does also
understands politics' arithmetic, which means she gets the
implications of splitting the vote of the anti-Trumpists. It's far
more likely she'll fall in line with such other neocons as Never
Trumper Bill Kristol and end up supporting the Democrat. Not before,
however, she runs for president in the Republican primaries.
Cheney, after all, has two distinct goals: preserving electoral
democracy, which is under attack from the Trumpists; and
re-establishing, to the degree that it's possible, the Republican
Party's support for electoral democracy. In the context of a general,
rather than primary, election, however, only the former of those two
goals pertains.
Consider, then, what she said in her Tuesday night speech:
We have candidates for Secretary of State who may refuse to report the
actual results of the popular vote in future elections ...
****
**No American** should support election deniers for
**any**
****position of genuine responsibility, where their refusal to follow
the rule of law will corrupt our future.
She's calling, that is, for voters-in particular, Republican
voters-to support the Democratic opponents of the election-denying
Republican nominees for secretary of state, attorney general, and
governor who'll appear on a number of states' ballots in the
midterms. That's the strategic course of the Republicans behind the
Lincoln Project, and that's the strategic course that will almost
certainly dictate Cheney's course of action in 2024.
Or, as Bob would say, let's hope.
~ HAROLD MEYERSON
Follow Harold Meyerson on Twitter
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