According to Nate Silver’s 538, Democrats are ahead in the generic congressional ballot
 

Folks,

We have good news! According to FiveThirtyEight, Democrats are ahead on the 2022 generic congressional ballot!

For the first time since November 2021, Democrats have overtaken the GOP in the generic congressional ballot poll, a measure of general political sentiment heading into this year’s midterm elections.

Now, the outcome of this November’s election is far from certain – the margins are slim and Democrats still have a long way to go to actually hold the House and Senate. But what this DOES show is that recent Democratic momentum MATTERS.

We need to keep this momentum going as early voting nears – that’s why we’re reaching out to you. Can we count on you to make a contribution to Virginia Democrats to help us protect our majority in Congress?

VADEMS

 
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