From Leah Greenberg, Indivisible <[email protected]>
Subject The case for hope
Date August 9, 2022 8:18 PM
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Indivisibles,

It’s easy to feel discouraged by the last few months. We witnessed the
greatest rollback on our rights by the Supreme Court in our lifetimes, we
face economic instability and looming threats to our democracy, and we’ve
suffered endless coverage and hot takes about Democrats’ gloomy prospects
this November. I’ve heard from too many in Washington and around the
country who feel like we’ve already lost the election.

Well, we here at Indivisible don’t think it’s that simple. We believe
there is reason for hope (and not just because of [ [link removed] ]yesterday’s
incredible news from Mar-a-Lago). So I want to share with you why I’m
optimistic about November, and you should be too.

1. The vibe is shifting.

This spring, the headlines were all about Democratic fecklessness. This
summer, the headlines are about Republican MAGA extremism. Why the change?
It’s about the Dobbs decision and its horrific human consequences. It’s
about the January 6th hearings and the horror of a violent, criminal
conspiracy to sabotage our elections. It’s about Uvalde and the lockstep
Republican support for AR-15s. It’s about the criminalization of
gender-affirming care and the persecution of trans youth and their
families. It’s about the threat to contraception, marriage equality, and
more.

An emboldened Republican party is overreaching. The consequences are
terrifying for all of us. But at the same time, overreach invites a
reaction. Don’t believe me? Just look at Kansas, where pro-reproductive
freedom forces beat a forced birth ballot initiative by a STUNNING,
presidential-turnout-level margin. If we can make this election about MAGA
extremism and our freedoms under threat, we will win.

That brings me to my second reason for hope…

2. The Republican party is not sending its best.

For several months, voters have been comparing Democrats to some
hypothetical “other.” Now, as the primaries wrap up, voters will be
comparing Democrats to real, live, Republican candidates. And those
candidates range from ridiculous to terrifying.

From Herschel Walker in Georgia to JD Vance in Ohio to Dr. Oz in
Pennsylvania, Donald Trump’s endorsed Senate candidates are uniformly,
hilariously bad at running for office. They say awful, ridiculous stuff.
They go on month-long vacations instead of campaigning. They’re struggling
to raise money. In at least one case, they don’t even live in the damn
state they’re running to represent (hi, Dr. Oz!).

And that’s just the Senate. The Republicans who are winning key
gubernatorial primaries are flat-out frightening. From insurrectionist
Doug Mastriano of Pennsylvania to Tudor Dixon of Michigan (who proudly
supports forced pregnancy for 14-year-olds) to Trumpist Kari Lake of
Arizona, Republicans are nominating MAGA extremists who are bad fits for
purple states -- and polls suggest that voters are noticing.

Party ID and macro political factors matter a lot in midterms, but that
doesn’t mean you can run literally anyone. Republican primary voters
appear to have forgotten this lesson. But we’ve got three months to make
sure voters are very, very clear on how terrible these people really are.

And with every step the Republicans take towards this wretched vision of
the future, they leave more people behind. We’re going to find those
people and invite them into our coalition. And we’re going to reach out to
the low-propensity voters -- the ones who agree with us but don’t usually
vote in midterms or don’t have a ton of faith in the system -- and make
sure they know what’s at stake. You put those folks together, and you have
a winning anti-MAGA coalition.

3. The Democrats are getting their mojo back.

The mood in Washington is shifting. The Senate has passed the Inflation
Reduction Action, which will raise taxes on the rich while making the
single largest investment in fighting the climate crisis in American
history (make sure to [ [link removed] ]call your representative now to get it over the
finish line!). Voters are looking back at the last year -- infrastructure,
gun violence prevention, record employment and noticing that a Democratic
trifecta is actually solving problems -- while Republicans are merrily
creating new ones.

On the campaign side, we’re also in the driver's seat. From Raphael
Warnock to Mark Kelly to John Fetterman to Mandela Barnes, we’ve got great
candidates. Democratic House and Senate candidates are swamping their
Republican opponents in grassroots fundraising. We’re hearing from
Indivisible groups who've seen major influxes for new volunteers angry
about Dobbs and ready to fight back. When you’re actually looking at the
facts on the ground, the evidence of an “enthusiasm gap” all but vanishes.

In short, Democrats are getting in formation, while Republicans are
showing their whole ass to the American people. 

OK, so what do we do?

Let’s be clear: these changes didn’t happen on their own. Democrats are
picking up the fight BECAUSE movements like ours are demanding it. Across
the country, from [ [link removed] ]Arizona to [ [link removed] ]Pennsylvania, [ [link removed] ]Iowa to [ [link removed] ]California,
[ [link removed] ]Minnesota to [ [link removed] ]Oregon, Indivisibles are spreading the message that the
MAGA GOP cannot be trusted with power, and it will take all of us to
defeat them at the ballot box. Even top pollsters are [ [link removed] ]starting to see
the shift.

We can’t slow down now. We’ve got big plans for the next 90-odd days:

* We’re running a group-centered digital voter contact plan to reach
millions of voters. We’re working directly with Indivisible groups
nationwide to shape the environment and the messaging, and ensure that
the top concern in voters’ minds is the threat of MAGA extremism.

* We’re getting press coverage -- national, local and everything in
between! We’ll work with Indivisible groups to birddog candidates and
place stories about them. We’ll flood districts with “wanted” signs
for criminal insurrectionists and other creative tactics. We’ll spread
the word on social, digital, and relational channels.

* We’re mobilizing to knock on thousands of doors. We kicked off our
first national Weekend of Action last week, with more than 100 events
in communities across the country. And we’re planning to go even
bigger next month to kickstart our general election work with events,
canvassing, postcarding and more.

* We’re launching pilot programs to go on offense in key battleground
states. We’re working directly with local Indivisible groups in
Pennsylvania and Arizona to place ads, put up billboards and signs,
and flood districts with earned media about the threat of MAGA
extremism.

* We’re sending up to $1,500 grants to statewide networks of
Indivisibles to use to recruit volunteers, knock doors, and support
candidates.

It’s all happening under Indivisible’s [ [link removed] ]Give No Ground program, our
national electoral plan this cycle to meet the moment and defeat the GOP.
Our $3.3 million plan is comprehensive, ambitious, and allows our network
to do what we do best: grassroots organizing. But right now, we’re facing
a budget crunch. 

We want to provide resources to as many races and groups as we can, but
with our current fundraising projections, it may not be possible. Don’t
misunderstand me: we will still run our programming, but we may need to
make some tough decisions and cut back in some areas. That’s not a risk I
want to take, not when the tide is just starting to turn. 

[ [link removed] ]Can you help us close the gap now and fund our Give No Ground work?
Click here to chip in $10 to help fund all of our crucial election work
this year.

If you've saved your information with ActBlue Express Lane, your donation
to Indivisible Action will go through immediately:

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In solidarity,
Leah Greenberg
Co-Executive Director, Indivisible

PS -- If you aren’t able to make a donation at this time, please still
sign up to volunteer with us and make all of this work happen! [ [link removed] ]Click
here to sign up as a Give No Ground volunteer, and we’ll send you
everything you need to take action on critical races this November.

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