From CEP's Eye on Extremism <[email protected]>
Subject The Downside: US Strike Shows Afghanistan Still Terror Base
Date August 3, 2022 1:30 PM
  Links have been removed from this email. Learn more in the FAQ.
  Links have been removed from this email. Learn more in the FAQ.
“The Biden administration is holding out the CIA operation that killed al-Qaida
leader Ayman al-Zawahri as a monumental strike against the global terr











<[link removed]>
<[link removed]>



Eye on Extremism


August 3, 2022



Associated Press: The Downside: US Strike Shows Afghanistan Still Terror Base
<[link removed]>



“The Biden administration is holding out the CIA operation that killed
al-Qaida leader Ayman al-Zawahri as a monumental strike against the global
terror network responsible for the Sept. 11 attacks of 2001. But there’s a
downside, too. The drone strike also is putting into stark relief the mounting
evidence that after 20 years of America’s military presence — and then sudden
departure — Afghanistan has once again become an active staging ground for
Islamic terror groups looking to attack the West. The operation, carried out
over the weekend after at least six months spent monitoring movements by
al-Zawahri and his family, came just weeks before the one-year anniversary of
the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from the country. The Biden administration is
making the case that the operation shows Americans at home and allies abroad
that the United States hasn’t lost focus — or the ability to strike terrorists
in the region — and validates its decision to end two decades of fighting in
Afghanistan with its withdrawal. Announcing the strike from the White House,
President Joe Biden said Monday night that “justice” had been exacted on a
leader who in recent weeks had recorded videos calling for his followers to
attack the United States and allies.”



Reuters: Somalia Appoints Al Shabaab Co-Founder As Religion Minister
<[link removed]>



“Somali Prime Minister Hamza Abdi Barre on Tuesday named a co-founder and
spokesman of the Islamist al Shabaab as minister for religious affairs, a move
that could either help strengthen the fight against the insurgents or provoke
further clan clashes. Mukhtar Robow had a $5 million U.S. bounty on his head
after he co-founded al Qaeda-linked al Shabaab and served as the group's
spokesman. Al Shabaab insurgents have killed tens of thousands of people in
bombings in their fight to overthrow Somalia's Western-backed central
government and implement its interpretation of Islamic law. Robow split from
the group in 2013 and publicly denounced al Shabaab when he came to the
government side in 2017. But the relationship soured after he grew too
politically powerful. Somalia's previous government arrested Robow in December
2018 as he campaigned for the regional presidency of southwest state. Security
forces shot dead at least 11 people in the protests that followed, sparking
criticism from the United Nations.”



United States



Axios: U.S. Issues Terrorism Threats Alert After Al-Zawahiri Killing
<[link removed]>



“The State Department warned Tuesday that there is a “higher potential for
anti-American violence” following the U.S. killing of al-Qaeda leader Ayman
al-Zawahiri. Why it matters: The U.S. drone strike against al-Zawahiri in Kabul
delivered the most significant blow to the terrorist group since the death of
Osama bin Laden, but it has also triggered concern about renewed threats
against U.S. citizens as al-Qaeda and its allies consider their next move. What
they're saying: “The Department of State remains concerned about the continued
threat of terrorist attacks, demonstrations, and other violent actions against
U.S. citizens and interests overseas,” the agency said in its Worldwide Caution
advisory on Tuesday. “The Department of State believes there is a higher
potential for anti-American violence given the death of Ayman al-Zawahiri on
July 31, 2022,” the State Department continued. “Current information suggests
that terrorist organizations continue to plan terrorist attacks against U.S.
interests in multiple regions across the globe,” the State Department noted.
“These attacks may employ a wide variety of tactics including suicide
operations, assassinations, kidnappings, hijackings, and bombings.”



Turkey



Daily Sabah: Turkey Deports 9,000 Foreign Terrorist Fighters Since 2011
<[link removed]>



“Turkey has deported 9,000 foreign terrorist fighters from 102 different
nationalities, of which 1,168 are from the United States or the European Union
member countries since 2011. In the statement made by the Directorate of
Migration Management of the Ministry of Interior, it was stated Tuesday that
the efforts to deport foreign terrorist fighters who came from their countries
to join terrorist organizations continue. In the statement, it was noted that
9,000 foreign terrorist fighters from 102 different nationalities have been
deported since the Syrian civil war started in 2011. When the nationality
distribution of the deported foreign terrorist fighters is considered, the
statement noted that EU countries ranked first and that 59 foreign terrorist
fighters from the United States and 1,109 foreign terrorist fighters from EU
member countries have been sent to their countries since 2011, according to the
scope of the studies carried out. The statement also underlined that 126
foreign terrorist fighters were deported from 12 EU countries in 2019, 95
foreign terrorist fighters from eight EU countries in 2020 and 69 foreign
terrorist fighters from eight EU countries in 2021. In the seven-month period
of this year, 20 foreign terrorist fighters from six EU countries were
deported.”



Afghanistan



The Wall Street Journal: Taliban Ties With Al Qaeda Endure, As Terrorist
Leader Killed By U.S. In Afghan Capital
<[link removed]>



“Al Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri had been living for months in the heart of
Kabul, a short walk from the now-closed British embassy and next door to a
house owned by a longtime ally: Sirajuddin Haqqani, the Taliban’s powerful
minister of interior, according to a person briefed by Taliban officials. In
the hours after the terrorist mastermind was killed by a U.S. drone strike as
he stood on the balcony of his home, Taliban security officials descended on
the building to wipe away signs of Zawahiri’s presence and to escort his wife,
daughter and grandchildren to a new location, a senior U.S. administration
official said. On Tuesday, Taliban police and intelligence agents swarmed the
area, warning people to keep away and threatening journalists with arrest. The
house is tucked away in a dead-end street in Sherpur, a Kabul neighborhood once
popular with the city’s Western residents. The leaders of al Qaeda and the
Taliban have lived in symbiosis for decades, ever since Osama bin Laden found
refuge in Afghanistan under the Taliban government in the 1990s. That alliance
has been remarkably resilient, surviving the toppling of the Taliban regime and
two decades of U.S.-led military presence. And, as the refuge chosen by
Zawahiri shows, the relationship is still strong today, despite pledges made by
Taliban leaders seeking international assistance that their government wouldn’t
allow terrorist organizations to plot attacks on the U.S. or other Western
nations from its territory.”



Foreign Policy: Taliban Killings Skyrocket In Forgotten Afghanistan
<[link removed]>



“The Taliban’s killings of former members of the Afghan military and rights
groups have spiked in recent months, according to a recent report compiled by
Afghan diplomats and civil service staff. The militant group is seeking to
crack down on perceived regime opponents while also clashing with resistance
groups. During bouts of fighting with the so-called National Resistance Front
across three Afghan provinces in May as well as after armed uprisings in some
of Afghanistan’s eastern and southern provinces, the report concludes the
Taliban arbitrarily detained, tortured, and killed dozens of civilians they
accused of being linked with the deaths of their fighters. “Shoot them in the
head: male or female, anyone who opposes the Taliban and Islamic Emirate. They
are brainwashed by Americans, and the only solution is to shoot them in the
head,” Mullah Babak, a known Taliban official from Wardak province, said in a
video shared on social media at the time. “I am ready to come and shoot those
captured by Taliban by my own gun, right in their head, and kill them like dogs
and donkeys.” In one instance documented in the report, a son of a former
Afghan intelligence official was tortured to death inside the Taliban’s
district police center in Badakhshan; other former Afghan National Army
officers have been forcibly disappeared without a trace.”



The Media Line: At Time Of Deadly Strike, Al-Qaida’s Zawahiri Was Hiding In
Afghan Minister’s Home
<[link removed]>



“…At the time of the drone strike, Zawahiri was sitting on the balcony of the
house where he was hiding with his family in the center of the Afghan capital
of Kabul. The home was owned by Sirajuddin Haqqani, “who is not only the leader
of the Haqqani, but he is also the interior minister of Afghanistan,” said Dr.
Hans-Jakob Schindler, senior director of the Counter Extremism Project and
former coordinator of the ISIL, al-Qaida and Taliban Monitoring Team of the UN
Security Council. The Haqqani Network is a semi-autonomous paramilitary arm of
the Taliban, which took over Afghanistan a year ago following the withdrawal of
US and other foreign troops. Afghan journalists have reported that Haqqani’s
son and son-in-law also were killed in the strike. A senior White House
official said Tuesday, however, that there is “no evidence of any other loss of
life or casualty in this strike that was a precise and calibrated strike
targeted on one individual and successfully executed.” “A house owned by the
interior minister of Afghanistan had the most-wanted terrorist on the globe.
This really confirms the fact that Taliban is harboring al-Qaida in
Afghanistan.” Schindler told The Media Line.”



Middle East



The New York Times: Al-Zawahri’s Death Puts The Focus Back On Al Qaeda
<[link removed]>



“No terrorist group, not even the Islamic State, has had the notoriety and
immediate name recognition of Al Qaeda. But the killing of the group’s leader,
Ayman al-Zawahri, in a C.I.A. drone strike early Sunday marks a pivotal
inflection point for the global organization. Eight of its top leaders have
been killed in the past three years, and it is unclear who will succeed
al-Zawahri. Yet Al Qaeda is in more countries and has more total fighters than
it did on Sept. 11, 2001, when it attacked the United States. Some of its
franchises that have sprung up since then, particularly in Somalia and the
Sahel region of West Africa, are ascendant, seizing swaths of territory from
weak governments and spending millions of dollars on new weapons, despite a
decade’s effort to weaken and contain them. None of these affiliates pose the
same kind of threat to the American homeland that Al Qaeda did on Sept. 11. But
they are deadly and resilient. The Qaeda affiliate in East Africa killed three
Americans at a U.S. base in Kenya in 2020. A Saudi officer training in Florida
killed three sailors and wounded eight other people in 2019. The officer acted
on his own but was in contact with the Qaeda branch in Yemen as he completed
his attack plans.”



AFP: Al-Qaeda Faces Succession Quandary After Zawahiri Killing
<[link removed]>



“…But after US special forces killed bin Laden in Pakistan in 2011, he played
a key role in encouraging a decentralisation of the group, which resulted in
Al-Qaeda franchises emerging all over the planet. These include the Al-Shabaab
who still control a large chunk of rural Somalia, the JNIM active in West
Africa -- in particular Mali, and the Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent
(AQIS) branch. “He accepted major new players in the Al-Qaeda network,” said
Hans-Jakob Schindler, director of the NGO Counter-Extremism Project and a
former UN advisor. “So it is a blow to Al-Qaeda,” he said. But “it's not going
to stop anything” planned by Al-Qaeda affiliates. The most likely successors
pointed to by analysts contacted by AFP include two other Egyptians. One
contender is Saif al-Adel, a former Egyptian special forces lieutenant-colonel
and figure in the old guard of Al-Qaeda, whose presence has been reported in
Iran. The Islamic republic's Shiite rulers officially oppose the Sunni Al-Qaeda
but opponents have repeatedly accused Iran of cooperating with network and
giving sanctuary to its leaders. Also in the running is Abu Abd al-Karim
al-Masri who is part of the leadership of Syrian jihadist group Hurras al-Din
and believed to be in Syria. “Zawahiri was not involved in the day-to-day
decision-making of the affiliates... but you need a figurehead with a certain
prominence and seniority because all the heads of all the affiliates need to
swear personal loyalty to him,” said Schindler.”



New York Post: Saif Al-Adel Likely To Become Al Qaeda’s Next Chief, Analysts
Say
<[link removed]>



“The likely successor to al Qaeda after a strike killed leader Ayman
al-Zawahiri is a veteran commando from Egypt who could serve as a “fixer” for
the terror group, analysts said. Saif al-Adel is likely to take over as the
terror group’s emir in the aftermath of Saturday’s drone strike that killed
al-Zawahiri and ended the 21-year manhunt for Osama bin Laden’s successor,
according to the Middle East Institute. The Egyptian-born commando has
extensive experience as a military operative and in operational planning,
according to the International Centre for Counter-Terrorism, which named him as
a possible successor to al-Zawahiri weeks prior to the latter’s killing.
Al-Adel — who uses aliases including Muhamad Ibrahim Makkawi, Seif Al Adel and
Ibrahim Al-Madani — could ultimately serve as a “fixer” for the terror group,
ICCT analysts believe. “However, al-Adel has historically preferred to keep a
low profile in his military and intelligence roles, pointing to a possible,
though less likely, future as a figurehead if he becomes emir,” terror experts
Tricia Bacon and Elizabeth Grimm wrote on July 15. But al-Adel is believed to
be in Iran, which complicates matters, according to Charles Lister, a senior
fellow and director of the group’s Syria and Countering Terrorism & Extremism
programs.”



Al Monitor: UAE Laws Clamp Down On Money Laundering, Terrorism Financing
<[link removed]>



“The Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates announced today new measures to
combat money laundering and financing of terrorism. The bank released a
statement on procedures that licensed financial institutions must follow with
regard to “politically exposed persons.” Such individuals are at higher risk of
conducting money laundering, terrorism and financing and other illicit
finances, per the Central Bank. Financial institutions must develop “risk-based
policies” to identify politically exposed persons and their associates,
including family members. The institutions need to further “maintain
transaction monitoring systems” for suspicious activity and report any
potential instances of money laundering or terrorism financing to the UAE’s
Financial Intelligence Unit. The financial institutions must demonstrate
compliance with these measures within one month, according to the Central
Bank’s statement. Why it matters: The UAE is working to strengthen regarding
oversight and regulations on money laundering, sanctions evasion and other
financial crimes. The country has been criticized by watchdogs, foreign
governments and others regarding dark money flows as well as alleged Iran and
Russia sanctions violations.”



Nigeria



Reuters: Nigerian Police Bolster Security In Capital Abuja With More Manpower
<[link removed]>



“Nigeria's police has deployed additional manpower around Abuja to bolster
security of “critical national assets and vulnerable facilities,” its
spokesperson said on Tuesday, days after local reports of an attack at a
checkpoint near the capital. Africa's most populous nation faces growing
insecurity from an Islamist insurgency in the northeast, kidnappings for ransom
in the northwest and armed criminal gangs roaming the country. Local newspapers
reported last Thursday that suspected Islamist militants attacked a military
checkpoint at an area bordering Abuja and Niger state, killing some soldiers.
Nigeria's army and police have not responded to requests for comment on the
reported attack. Olumuyiwa Adejobi, the Nigeria Police Force (NPF) national
spokesperson, said in a statement that Inspector General Usman Alkali Baba had
allayed residents' fears concerning “recent perceived security threats,” which
he did not detail. Adejobi said NPF was deploying “additional police operatives
and operational assets within the Federal Capital Territory and its environs to
solidify the security and protection of lives and property of its residents,
critical national assets and vulnerable facilities.”



Premium Times Nigeria: Fear Of Terrorists’ Attack Spreads Across Nigeria’s
South-West
<[link removed]>



“The police in Ekiti State are the latest security agency to announce they
have begun reinforcement on security in border towns in the state over reports
of an impending attack by terrorists. Morounkeji Adesina, the police
commissioner in the state, said the command is not treating the alarm with
levity, even though it is yet to be confirmed. He said he had ordered the
scaling up of security in all the border towns in collaboration with other
sister agencies and local security architectures. He said his operatives were
also keeping tabs on some suspected forests across the state so that they won’t
be caught unawares. “We received the alert just like every other Nigerian, but
we are not treating it with levity, despite viewing it as a mere rumour,” Mr
Adesina told journalists in Ado Ekiti on Tuesday. “My men and officers are
responding accordingly.” Fear of an attack by terrorists, who had already
struck several times in the federal capital, Abuja, has been gradually
spreading across south-west Nigeria. The fear came after rumours of
infiltration of the terrorists into forests in the region emerged on social
media last week. Gani Adams, the leader of the O’dua People’s Congress, last
week also raised the alarm that bandits had infiltrated some sprawling forests
in Oyo, Ondo and Osun States.”



Africa



Reuters: Burkina Faso Army Admits Killing Civilians In Counter-Terrorist Strike

<[link removed]>



“Burkina Faso's army said on Wednesday that it accidentally killed civilians
during a counter-terrorist operation in the country's southeast earlier this
week. The West African country has been battling an insurgency by Islamist
militant groups, some linked to al Qaeda and Islamic State, which control large
swathes of territory and wage frequent attacks. "During operations which made
it possible to neutralize several dozen terrorists, the strikes unfortunately
caused collateral victims within the civilian population," the army said in a
statement. It did not say how many civilians were killed. The victims were hit
by projectiles in the zone between Kompienga and Pognoa, near the border with
Togo, on Monday, it said. Togo, which has been contending with the spillover of
militancy from Burkina Faso, accidentally killed seven civilians in an air
strike last month near the same border."



United Kingdom



The Independent: Manchester Arena Attack: Judge Issues New Arrest Warrant For
Brother Of Bomber
<[link removed]>



“A new arrest warrant has been issued for Ismail Abedi, the brother of the
Manchester Arena bomber, for failing to appear at the inquiry into the terror
attack. Manchester Magistrates Court issued the warrant on Tuesday morning.
Abedi was convicted earlier this year of failing to appear at the inquiry after
he was ordered to attend. Abedi, 29, had refused to answer questions from the
inquiry in case he incriminated himself. The chairman, Sir John Saunders,
rejected his position at the time and demanded he appear. It has been reported
that Abedi fled the country last year and is now using the name Ben Romdhan.
His younger brother Hashem Abedi was jailed for murdering 22 people in the
terrorist attack. Hashem Abedi helped his older sibling Salman to plan the
atrocity on 22 May 2017. The court heard during his trial that he was “just as
guilty” as his older brother, who detonated the bomb during the attack. An
arrest warrant was issued for Ismail Abedi in November last year after he fled
the county rather than give evidence at the inquiry. Police believe that he had
a “very unhealthy interest” in the terrorist group Isis, after gathering
material from his phone and laptops. Ismail Abedi was stopped coming back from
his honeymoon in September 2013 and the contents of his phone were downloaded.”



The Counter Extremism Project depends on the generosity of its supporters. If
you value what we do, please consider making a donation.

DONATE NOW
<[link removed]>




Click here to unsubscribe.
<[link removed]>
Screenshot of the email generated on import

Message Analysis

  • Sender: Counter Extremism Project
  • Political Party: n/a
  • Country: n/a
  • State/Locality: n/a
  • Office: n/a
  • Email Providers:
    • Iterable