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Making a prayer circle for reconciliation:
The pre-existing conditions girlies and pandemic babies officially joined forces in alchemy to produce one 2022 reconciliation bill. Dear readers, the stars have aligned. Is it too much to say our representatives may answer to the will of the people? We can’t be sure. But for now, keep charging those crystals.
What we do know is that the medicare expansion and insulin caps provided by reconciliation are overwhelmingly popular among voters nationwide. So much so, it may be the key to winning the midterms (other than the witch stuff of course). Initially, when asked who they would vote for if the election for U.S. Congress was held today, only 45 percent say they would vote for the Democratic candidate. However, after voters are told that Democrats support a proposal to lower prescription drug prices while Republicans oppose it, support for the Democratic candidate jumps 7 points to 52 percent. A slim margin, but a majority, folks.
All the pandemic parents that (accidentally) made those methane-producing semiconductor-chip-addicted bundles of joy are now wondering, what will save their children from impending climate disaster? Well my friends, there just might be a climate deal in their future. Voters support lawmakers passing an investment to expand clean energy production in America, even if it isn’t a perfect bill, by a +29-point margin. If we pass this, we may have just bought ourselves another 50 years.
Read more about our Medicare negotiation polling here. Interested in how voters would respond to the climate portions of reconciliation? Check out our blog here. What about insulin price capping, which might get added to the bill? Check it out here.
Manifest it for us.
Here are some other highlights from DFP this week:
McConnell Got $50 Billion Worth of CHIPS on His Shoulder
This week, the House and Senate voted to pass the CHIPS and Science Act, bipartisan legislation to fund the domestic production of semiconductors to help lower prices, create jobs, and strengthen supply chains. New Data for Progress polling finds that 79% of voters support the CHIPS Act, including Democrats by a +69-point margin, Independents by a +68-point margin, and Republicans by a +72-point margin.
84% of voters say that investing into domestic supply of semiconductors rather than relying on other countries is “very” or “somewhat” important, including 82% of Democrats and Independents, 86% of Republicans, but 0% of turtle men.
Reluctant shout out to Manchin for the swooperini on McConnell. Read the full poll here.
Economy is 🔙🔛🔝
To understand the issues most important to Americans, as well as the shifts in the electorate after the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, Data for Progress conducted two surveys to determine which issues are at the top of voters’ minds ahead of the midterms.
In a pre-Dobbs June 15-22 poll, Data for Progress asked voters to choose which out of 11 issues is the most important to their decision to vote in the midterms. Prior to Roe being overturned, a plurality of voters (48 percent) said the economy was their singular top issue — including 59 percent of Republicans and 35 percent of Democrats.
In our pre-Dobbs v. Jackson polling, we found that 6 percent of likely voters viewed abortion rights as the most important factor in their vote. In a July survey conducted soon after the Supreme Court’s ruling on Roe, Data for Progress again asked voters to select the most important issue to them in the midterms. We find that 13 percent of likely voters now view abortion rights as the most important contributor to their vote — a 7-point increase in issue importance.
It’s not exactly groundbreaking — but it’s critically important ahead of the midterms as Democrats decide what issues to highlight. Read the full blog here.
Healthcare is a human right – and voters agree!
In recent months, there have been intense debates in several states around expansions of healthcare, with many Republican state legislatures blocking efforts to expand healthcare coverage, and Democratic candidates running on platforms to expand healthcare for all.
We asked voters if they would support or oppose a proposal to increase public funding for healthcare so that everyone would have coverage, and find that voters support this proposal by a +43-point margin of voters! 69 percent of swing-state voters support public healthcare funding, while just 26 percent oppose — with overwhelming support by Democrats and split support among Republicans.
We also find that voters agree with the following frames when discussing publicly funded healthcare coverage:
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Funding should be increased, with people contributing to public programs when they’re able and leaning on their communities when they need care.
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Funding should increase to maintain a healthy community.
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Healthcare coverage is a human right.
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Healthcare is a human right being thwarted by the interests of big insurance and pharmaceutical corporations.
In contrast, voters don’t respond to common opposition messaging on the issue, including arguments that hardworking taxpayers should not cover the healthcare bills of others, such as undocumented immigrants, and that the government should not be involved in private citizens’ lives.
Let’s make it happen. Read the full blog here.
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