June 23, 2022
Permission to republish original opeds and cartoons granted.
Why can’t Biden solve the supply crisis?
By Rick Manning
Earlier this week I was flying from San Francisco to Orange County, California. Near the end of the short flight, I looked out the window and was able to count a minimum of twenty-five cargo ships anchored off of the Port of Long Beach. These ships were almost all anchored with a couple moving into the clog.
Having not read about gridlock at the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach lately, I was somewhat shocked at what I was witnessing, particularly since I have been following the on-going labor negotiations between west coast dockworkers and the Port Authorities due to the devastating impact a strike would have on the already struggling Pacific Ocean ports. The good news is that workers are expected to remain on the job even if the July 1 contract deadline were to pass.
Even with this good news, incredibly a backlog still remains at our two busiest west coast ports in spite of Chinese government Covid-inspired shutdowns of many of their exporters, trucking inside China is significantly slowed and some factories are either shuttered or producing at less than full capacity, a backlog that could begin to worsen as factory restrictions begin to ease.
While not necessarily related to the ports, mothers are continuing to struggle finding baby formula in America with many resorting to crossing the southern border to purchase readily available formula in Mexico. Apparently supply chain shortages for baby formula doesn't exist south of the border, likely making the Biden administration the first in our history to force hungry Americans over the border in order to feed their children.
While flying out to California, the country's air travel system was being racked by pilot and crew shortages. This leaves pilots stranded in towns with planes that they are not certified to fly to name one problem. Who could have anticipated that when airlines were compelled to fire vaccine non-compliers that it would lead to disruptions in service almost a year later when the demand for air travel became robust? Oh, just about everyone, that's who.
And then we have President Biden's attempt to blame oil companies for the high price of gasoline and diesel. Rather than pointing fingers, the President might have looked at why refineries have been closing, even during the Trump years.
A July 2021 report by the Institute for Energy Research details a number of refinery closures across the United States due to a combination of cratered oil prices in 2019 and 2020, along with costly federal government mandates on renewable fuels. The report outlines the loss of more than 700,000 barrels per day in refining capacity over the past couple of years. Many of these plants remain viable for reopening, but industry leaders are skeptical of opening new refineries.
As Chevron CEO MIke Wirth recently predicted in an interview with Bloomberg Markets, “Building a refinery is a multi-billion-dollar investment. It may take a decade. We haven’t had a refinery built in the United States since the 1970s. My personal view is that there will never be another refinery built in the United States.”
Now, President Biden wants Congress to pass band-aid legislation to end the federal gas tax for three months, lowering the price at the pump by eighteen cents a gallon, while depriving the Highway Trust Fund of dollars to rebuild our nation's highway and bridge infrastructure of one quarter of its annual gasoline tax revenue.
Each of the problems outlined above are in the solvable category, if the President wasn't wed to the destructive green energy agenda: 1) Ending California's truck restrictions which makes picking up containers from the ports much more expensive; 2) encouraging the re-opening of refineries and lifting all job-related firings related to not taking the Covid shot; and 3) turning the Defense Protection Act resources toward reopening currently closed refineries to increase domestic supplies of both diesel and regular gasoline.
Unfortunately, Biden is more interested in fuel posturing rather than actually increasing capacity, because his green transformation is dependent upon record high energy costs and broken supply chains. And that will be the Biden administration's epitaph in history: A man dedicated to ending his nation's economic health and prosperity.
Rick Manning is the President of Americans for Limited Government.
To view online: https://dailytorch.com/2022/06/why-cant-biden-solve-the-supply-crisis/
Rich Lowry: Biden's claims on the economy are pure malarkey
By Rich Lowry
When President Joe Biden says something isn’t inevitable, it is time to count on it as a dead-lock guarantee.
The president’s handling of events has been poor and the same with his policies. But nothing has been quite so bad as his snakebit, maladroit, poorly informed, dishonest attempts to spin away the miserable results of his governance, especially on the economy.
If he says the border is not a crisis, there must be people crossing the Rio Grande en masse and getting admitted into the United States and bussed to locales around the country in shocking numbers.
If he says the Afghanistan withdrawal was an “extraordinary success,” it must have been a shambolic embarrassment that left Americans behind, despite Biden’s assurance that would never happen.
If he says the pandemic is effectively over, as he did last July, it must mean a new wave of the virus is about to send case counts soaring.
Even if none of these things had happened and Biden never said a word about them, he would have torched his credibility on the economy alone. He’s produced a steady, ongoing farrago of false assurances and blame-shifting that has amounted to a master class in not convincing anyone of anything, except to tune out whatever he says.
According to Biden, things are never as bad as they seem, and by the way, even if they are, they are definitely not his fault.
The mantra from the president and his team now is that a recession is not inevitable, which, on its own terms, is not the most reassuring message. Something may not be inevitable and still be possible or even much more likely than not.
The rule-of-thumb definition of a recession is two quarters of negative GDP growth. In the first quarter, GDP contracted 1.4%, and an Atlanta Federal Reserve forecast pegs second-quarter growth at around 0, or on the knife’s edge of a second negative quarter in a row.
In other words, what Biden insists is “the fastest economy in the world” may be hardly growing at all.
If the United States does dip into a recession, we can be sure that Biden will be among the last to acknowledge it, just as he and his team pooh-poohed rising inflation as long as they could. It may be that “not inevitable” ends up being the new “transitory,” a wishful claim that says more about the people making it than underlying conditions.
Biden is serving up large helpings of what he famously called “malarkey” in his 2012 vice-presidential debate.
He likes to maintain that he cut the deficit by hundreds of billions of dollars when, in reality, the deficit had already been forecast to come down after the surge of pandemic spending — and his COVID relief bill added substantially more deficit spending than there would have been otherwise.
He’s called the idea that his COVID bill fueled inflation “bizarre” (while conceding that you could perhaps argue that it had a “marginal, minor” impact). Yet former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers famously predicted that the massive bill could stoke inflation, and Biden himself name-checks Summers as an economic authority.
Walking on a Delaware beach while on vacation, Biden upbraided a reporter for saying, truthfully, that economists are saying that a recession is more likely than ever. The president joked that she sounded like a Republican before lapsing into his rote line that a downturn isn’t inevitable.
Biden likes to insist that Americans can “handle the truth.” Yes, they can, and the truth is that poor Biden policy choices have worsened economic conditions, as shortages disrupt the workings of the economy and inflation eats away at paychecks. Americans can acknowledge all this — indeed, feel it every day — while not liking it or being willing to tolerate it.
All indications are that Biden himself is the one who can’t handle the truth.
To view online: https://nypost.com/2022/06/21/bidens-claims-on-the-economy-are-pure-malarkey/