A potentially fatal missed opportunity | Status Update: Biden & the Iran Deal

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Volume 14, Issue 60
“As an Arab, I am absolutely fed up ...As an Arab-Israeli we have many problems to address in our society…but instead of finding productive solutions to meet challenges, bodies like the UN [that] have no idea of what is actually going on in Israel, are lecturing us, Arab Israelis, about how our life is as minorities in our own country. Even worse, they are presenting as Arab Israelis are not Israelis with equal rights under the law….. Let me clarify for the Commission of Inquiry that I am an Arab-Israeli with equal rights under the law in the state of Israel. We do not need the UN or the EU or any other body to come to tell us how to run our country, and such reports only inflame tensions in the region and embolden extremists that damage the unity between Arabs and Jews within Israel.”

—Israeli-Arab Human Rights Activist Yoseph Haddad at a June 13th UN Watch event
Jump to: Antisemitism (#Antisemitism) | Europe (#Europe) | Heard on the Hill (#Heard on the Hill) | Israel (#Israel) | Iran (#Iran) | Middle East (#Middle East) | Palestinian Affairs (#Palestinian Affairs) | United States (#United States)
A Potentially Fatal Missed Opportunity on Iran


** By Sarah Stern | June 17, 2022
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History is replete with missed opportunities.

If Gavrilo Princip had failed in his assassination attempt of Austrian Archduke Franz Ferdinand, perhaps World War I might never have erupted, and more than 17 million lives might have been spared. If Neville Chamberlain had a healthy degree of suspicion against Adolf Hitler’s machinations, World War II might have been averted, sparing the devastating loss of approximately 45 million lives.

Today, the opportunity lies before us to be able, once again, to save millions of lives and cripple one of the world’s most tyrannical, brutal regimes.

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This week, International Atomic Energy Administration (IAEA) confirmed that Iran removed 27 cameras from its nuclear facilities. The 27 cameras were installed as part of the 2015 JCPOA, referred to as the nuclear deal. As IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated, “The less my inspectors and my analysists see what is happening in Iran, the less ability we have to know how much material they are enriching, how many centrifuges they are putting together…. No-one can go into an agreement without knowing what your base line is… Normally, history tells us and recent history tells us, it is never a good thing when you tell international inspectors to go home.”

He also warned that if Iran does not reinstall those cameras within the next few weeks, it will be impossible to return to the deal.

This comes as news breaks that Iran has been constructing yet another nuclear facility close to the Natanz nuclear facility, so deep within the mountains that it will evade the massive power of bunker busting bombs.

According to David Albright and Sarah Burkhard from the Institute for Science and International Security, as well as Andrea Stricker from the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, breakout time for a nuclear bomb, has been reduced to zero. Within 1.5 months, they can have three nuclear bombs.

It is obvious, what sort of game Iran has been playing with the international community.

This week, the Biden administration decided to impose sanctions on Chinese and Emirati companies, as well as a network of Iranian petrochemical producers, accusing them of helping to “evade sanctions” by supporting the sale of Iran’s petrochemical products abroad.

Does this actually signal that the United States administration, under President Biden, has given up on employing merely the diplomatic tract with Iran? Is the imposition of sanctions sufficient? Are they actually considering a “Plan B”? Or will they just allow the nuclear talks to whither on the vine, without acknowledging that we have exhausted the diplomatic route? Will they still try to pull a deal with Iran out of their back pockets, as evidence of a “foreign policy victory” before the midterm elections in November?

Here to answer these questions and more is Behnam Ben Taleblu.

About the speaker: Behnam Ben Taleblu is a senior fellow at FDD where he focuses on Iranian security and political issues. Behnam previously served as a research fellow and senior Iran analyst at FDD. Prior to his time at FDD, Behnam worked on non-proliferation issues at an arms control think-tank in Washington. Leveraging his subject-matter expertise and native Farsi skills, Behnam has closely tracked a wide range of Iran-related topics including: nuclear non-proliferation, ballistic missiles, sanctions, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the foreign and security policy of the Islamic Republic, and internal Iranian politics. Frequently called upon to brief journalists, congressional staff, and other Washington-audiences, Behnam has also testified before the U.S. Congress and Canadian Parliament.

His analysis has been quoted in The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Fox News, The Associated Press, and Agence France-Presse, among others. Additionally, he has contributed to or co-authored articles for Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Fox News, The Hill, War on the Rocks, The National Interest, and U.S. News & World Report. Behnam has appeared on a variety of broadcast programs, including BBC News, Fox News, CBS Interactive, C-SPAN, and Defense News. Behnam earned his MA in International Relations from The University of Chicago, and his BA in International Affairs and Middle East Studies from The George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs.
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** Iran says rocket launch coming after photos show preparation ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - AP
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** Under U.S. sanctions, Iran and Venezuela sign 20-year cooperation plan ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Reuters
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** Iran Further Inhibits IAEA Monitoring in Possible ‘Fatal Blow’ to the Nuclear Deal ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - FDD
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** Two Iranian aerospace staff ‘martyred’: State media ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Al-Jazeera
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** Iran sanctions could tighten if nuclear talks fade, Biden admin officials tell senators ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Politico
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UN Commission report is a declaration of war on the Jews ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - JNS

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Recent UI graduate charged with hate crime against Jewish students ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - The Daily Illini

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Child soldiers aged 10 ‘are true men,’ say Houthis ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Arab News

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U.S. Secretly Reviews Israel’s Plans for Strikes Against Iranian Targets in Syria ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID)
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Israel and Egypt sign gas export deal as Europe seeks Russia alternative ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID)
- Washington Post

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Russia tried to talk Turkey out of Syria operation -TASS ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Reuters

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21 countries defend Israel against UN Commission of Inquiry, scathing first report ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID)
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‘BDS? What’s That?’ Asks Australian Rapper Iggy Azalea as She Plays First Concert in Israel ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID)
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** The UN vs. Israel, yet again ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID)
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- Daily News

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Israel announces new permits for Gaza workers ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Al-Monitor

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Israel Convicts Palestinian Aid Worker on Charges of Funding Hamas ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - New York Times

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NGO Monitor Statement on the Conviction of World Vision Employee Mohammad El-Halabi ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - NGO Monitor

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** He Tried to Reform the Way a Top D.C. Think Tank Gets Money. Now the FBI Is Looking into Him. ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Politico
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NYC Dems tap anti-Israel activist Emily Mayer to head progressive caucus ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - New York Post

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Governor, Israeli group agree to exchange investment ideas, tech company info ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID)
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Morningstar drops anti-Israel tool, but is it enough? ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Jerusalem Post

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Abraham Accords Caucus urges integrated Middle East air-defense program ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - Jewish Insider

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Bad News for Biden: Congress Cooling on Idea of an Iran Deal ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - The Dispatch

Europe (#Europe)
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Exeter College Passes Unprecedented Motion Condemning Israel, Supporting Palestine ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - The Oxford Student

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Germany to receive law-enforcement training on anti-Semitism from Yad Vashem ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID) - JNS

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Norwegian Foreign Minister Defends Decision to Place Warning Labels on Israeli Products ([link removed](Y_COPY_01)&mc_cid=3bda46108a&mc_eid=UNIQID)
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