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Daily News Brief

June 15, 2022

Top of the Agenda

U.S., European Central Banks Weigh Responses to Economic Shocks

The European Central Bank (ECB) called an emergency meeting (WSJ) today to discuss economic stability in the eurozone. Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to announce a hike in interest rates. The central banks are weighing responses to inflation and signs of a coming economic slowdown (NYT) amid supply-chain shocks, the pandemic, and Russia’s war in Ukraine.

 

The Fed is considering a rate hike (AP) of 0.75 percentage points to address inflation. It would be the highest single hike since 1994. The ECB also announced it will raise its rates, triggering a bond sell-off in southern Europe that prompted today’s emergency meeting. 

Analysis

“During previous [global economic] crises, the world’s leading governments were able to set aside enough of their differences to come up with robust responses. This time around, that is nowhere in sight. This breakdown of cooperation may be the most lasting and worrisome effect of the current series of overlapping crises,” CFR’s Edward Alden writes for Foreign Policy.

 

“Interest rates are blunt tool, making it difficult for the Fed to slow the economy with precision,” the New York Times’ Jeanna Smialek writes. “The war in Ukraine and China’s newly reimposed lockdowns meant to contain the coronavirus could keep prices elevated.”

 

Pacific Rim

Thai Prime Minister to Face No-Confidence Vote

Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha has survived three such votes (Bangkok Post, Reuters) since a 2019 election that kept him in power. 

 

Indonesia: President Joko Widodo replaced the country’s trade minister (Reuters) amid a surge in cooking oil prices.

 

South and Central Asia

Blackouts Threaten Pakistan’s Economy

The Pakistani government has struggled to pay (Nikkei) Chinese power suppliers amid economic strains. It has shortened the work week from six days to five in an attempt to conserve energy.

 

India: The police chief of India-administered Kashmir said Indian forces have killed 104 militants (Reuters) in the region this year, double the number killed in the same period last year.

 

Middle East and North Africa

White House Confirms Dates for Biden’s Saudi Arabia Visit

U.S. President Joe Biden will visit (France 24, AP) Israel, the West Bank, and Saudi Arabia on a trip to the Middle East between July 13 and 16.

 

CFR President Richard Haass argues that it’s time to reset U.S.-Saudi relations. 

 

Qatar/Venezuela: Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is in Qatar (AP) to discuss bilateral cooperation. His trip to the region also included visits to Algeria, Iran, Kuwait, and Turkey.

 

Sub-Saharan Africa

European Court Blocks UK From Flying Asylum Seekers to Rwanda

The European Court of Human Rights blocked the deportations (BBC) from the United Kingdom (UK) that were scheduled for yesterday, the latest in a series of legal challenges to the controversial deportation program. London says it will appeal the decision.

 

South Sudan: The United Nations announced it is suspending food aid (AP) to 1.7 million people in South Sudan due to lack of funding.

 

CFR provides a suite of resources on global food security.

 

Europe

Western Officials Weigh Additional Military Aid to Ukraine

The meeting of officials from around fifty countries in Brussels is occurring at the same time (WaPo) as a meeting of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) ministers.

 

At this meeting, CFR’s Haass, Stephen J. Hadley, and Charles A. Kupchan join Alina Polyakova and Stephen M. Twitty to discuss how the war in Ukraine could end.

 

UK: The European Commission said it is taking legal action (FT) against the UK for failing to uphold Brexit agreement provisions related to Northern Ireland border checks.

 

Americas

Canada, Denmark End Decades-Long Feud Over Arctic Island

The countries reached a deal (CBC) on how to divide the uninhabited Hans Island.

 

Ecuador: Prominent Indigenous leader Leonidas Iza was arrested and then released (Al Jazeera) amid anti-government protests.

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