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Welcome back to the Data for Progress newsletter, your update on our research, blog posts, and memes.

The Green New Deal for American Public Housing Communities is Popular
In conjunction with the release of Bernie Sanders’ and AOC’s Green New Deal for Public Housing Act, we released a massive project ([link removed]) : a comprehensive breakdown of their plan, including:
* Jobs and Economic Growth Estimates ✅
* Carbon and Public Health Impact Study ✅
* Public Opinion Data ✅


It’s DFP in its fullest form yet.

Our research shows that a ten-year mobilization of up to $172 billion would retrofit over 1 million public housing units, improve living conditions for nearly 2 million residents, create over 240,000 jobs per year, and cut 5.6 million tons of annual carbon emissions (the equivalent of taking 1.2 million cars off the road).

We also broke down the intersections between climate change, poverty, and social justice. Our public housing maps ([link removed]) show all public housing locations in the U.S., laid over colorful layers showing poverty, unemployment, percent nonwhite, and population density.

Here’s our map for Atlanta:

We also created NYCHA maps ([link removed]) , showing on a district-by-district level which low-income areas and housing complexes are most susceptible to sea level rise.

And we’ve got the polling to prove it can stand up to scrutiny. In our memo ([link removed]) on the plan, we show that 46 percent of voters support retrofitting public housing, compared with 35 percent opposition.

Ayanna Pressley’s Justice Guarantee is Popular
In a recent memo, we analyzed ([link removed]) Ayanna Pressley’s People’s Justice Guarantee. We found that a majority of Americans support many key provisions of Pressley’s bill, including:

* Providing addiction and mental health treatment to all who need it (76 percent support, 15 percent oppose)
* Ending mandatory minimum sentencing (60 percent support, 27 percent oppose)
* Ending solitary confinement (52 percent support, 35 percent oppose)


Democratic Voters Prefer Progressive Policies, Not Centrist Policies
On Friday, Upshot / Siena polling ([link removed]) suggested that Democratic voters want a candidate who would “promise to find common ground with Republicans” and “be more moderate than most Dems.” Are Democrats really just craving a moderate, centrist nominee?

We released polling last week ([link removed]) that completely refutes that narrative.

* Wages: 72 percent of Democrats would prefer to raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour as a way to increase wages, compared to 16 percent who would prefer tax breaks as a work incentive for low-income workers.
* Climate: Half of Democrats — 50 percent — prioritize creating clean jobs over a carbon tax, while 28 percent prefer the carbon tax.
* Healthcare: A plurality of 42 percent of Democrats favor single-payer over the public option. 37 percent prefer the public option, and only 9 percent want to simply regulate the private market.
* Taxes: An overwhelming majority of 83 percent of Democrats would rather increase taxes on the rich than raise the retirement age to 69 in order to fund Social Security.

Voters Would Not Accept a New Healthcare Proposal that Left Americans Behind
There’s been a lot of reporting recently about Americans’ skepticism of certain aspects of Medicare for All, such as its elimination of private insurance. This has led some people to assume that what voters really want is moderate healthcare reform.

But what this misses is that Americans have serious concerns with moderate plans as well. Specifically, we found that voters would be extremely dismayed with a healthcare proposal that left Americans uninsured.

In our survey, 68 percent of voters, including 86 percent of Democrats, said it would be “unacceptable” ([link removed]) if a new healthcare plan “still left millions without health insurance.”

Moreover, 58 percent of voters, including 66 percent of Democrats, said they’d find it unacceptable if a plan “failed to eliminate insurance deductibles or to cap them at a low level.”

Memo: Childcare for All
In a new memo ([link removed]) , we analyzed the childcare policies of each of last week’s 10 debaters. We found that Cory Booker, Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren satisfied all our criteria for a holistic, progressive childcare plan. Meanwhile, Joe Biden, Tulsi Gabbard, Tom Steyer and Andrew Yang were all lacking in the majority of areas:

Politically, it makes sense that so many Democrats are embracing progressive childcare plans, because these plans are extremely popular. We found that 73 percent of Democrats support a childcare plan that would, like Warren’s, award grants to create a network of affordable childcare options, paid for by a 2 percent tax on wealth over $50 million.

Voters Want a Bold Climate Leader
In a new memo ([link removed]) , we released polling showing that an aggressive climate plan — $10 trillion by 2030 — is more popular than a less aggressive proposal of $1.7 trillion by 2050.

38 percent of Democrats prefer the former, while 33 percent prefer the latter.

We also found that plans to create green jobs poll better in red states than the carbon tax.

Americans Want to Take on Pharmaceutical Giants with Executive Orders
In new polling, we found that ([link removed]) not only do voters support progressive pharmaceutical pricing legislation, but they also support using the president’s executive authority to implement them.

53 percent of voters support an executive order allowing the government to buy patents for common life-saving drugs like insulin and epinephrine, while just 23 opposed.

In a recent memo ([link removed]) , we also showed that H.R. 3, a proposal to allow the government to negotiate drug prices, can help Democrats win in November.

We Have an Awesome New Website Design
Check it out ([link removed]) .

Data Bytes
* A Plurality of Americans Want to Impeach Trump: In a recent memo on impeachment ([link removed]) , we found that a plurality of Americans — 49 percent — support impeaching and removing President Trump, while 44 percent oppose. Perhaps surprisingly, these are exactly the same numbers we received when we asked voters about an impeachment inquiry into Trump, suggesting there is no longer any significant difference between supporting the inquiry and supporting full-on impeachment.


* Biden’s Anti-Weed Stance is Out-of-Touch: After Joe Biden said he wasn’t ready to legalize marijuana nationally earlier this month, New York Magazine used some of our polling ([link removed]) to show just how out-of-touch he is on marijuana legalization. Our modeling shows that in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, legalizing weed has nearly 70 percent support.

* Americans Support BDS: As of September 2019, the majority of U.S. states (26) have enacted legislation or an executive order to target boycotts of Israel. Fortunately, American voters oppose these efforts to constrain the right to boycott.
In a recent survey ([link removed]) , we asked voters whether they agreed with the anti-BDS laws advanced by state and federal governments. We found that overall, voters oppose these restrictive laws by a 36-28 percent margin.
We also found that Americans agree that BDS is a legitimate form of protest by 36 to 31 percent margin, although one-third of respondents were unsure.

* The Green New Deal Has Made Democrats’ Climate Plans More Radical: According to a new DFP memo ([link removed]) , Democratic presidential contenders’ climate plans have increased their average proposed spending on the Green New Deal by 59 percent since June. This is huge, and it’s because of the amazing work of climate activists across the county.

* Gov. Andy Beshear’s Progressive Mandate: In a razor-thin victory, Democrat Andy Beshear toppled Matt Bevin to win the Kentucky governor’s seat on November 5. According to DFP polling ([link removed]) , if Beshear wants to serve his constituents, he should support a progressive agenda on drug pricing, the minimum wage, and renewable energy.
We found that 69 percent of Kentucky voters support allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices, while just 14 percent oppose.
We also found that a 56 percent majority of Kentuckians support raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour and a 55 percent majority support 100 percent renewable energy.

* Support for Abortion Rights is Increasing Among Young People: Although young adults are typically viewed as especially progressive, in 2008, young adults were not more progressive than older generations on abortion rights, according to the Cooperative Congressional Election Study survey.
But things have changed. We analyzed ([link removed]) new CCES data from 2018 and found that a gap between how young Americans (ages 18-29) and older Americans (30 and older) has emerged. Now, there is an eight percentage point gap between younger and older Americans’ abortion views, with 62 percent of Americans aged 18-29 supporting full abortion rights.

From The Blog
Democratic Voters Prefer Progressive Policies, Not Centrist Policies ([link removed])
Data For Progress Poll Narrowly Favors John Bel Edwards For Reelection ([link removed])
The Politics of Medicaid Policy and Racial Justice ([link removed])
Voters Would Not Accept a New Healthcare Proposal That Left Americans Behind ([link removed])
New Pharmaceutical Pricing Executive Orders Are Popular ([link removed])
Support for Abortion Rights is Increasing Among Young People ([link removed])
Elizabeth Warren’s Housing Plan 3.0 Bolsters Public Housing and Protections For Renters ([link removed])
Governor Beshear’s Progressive Mandate ([link removed])

Media Hits
Joe Biden’s Far-out Views on Marijuana Could Get Trump Reelected ([link removed]) @New York Magazine
So Has the Green New Deal Won Yet? ([link removed]) @The Atlantic
Universal Health Care Is a Pro-Democracy Policy ([link removed]) @New York Magazine
When Asked How They’ll Pay for Their Plans, Democrats Should Answer Just as Trump Does: Mexico ([link removed]) @The Intercept
Voters Want Presidential Action on Climate—With or Without Congressional Support ([link removed]) @Mother Jones
Bernie Sanders and AOC Want to Commit $180 Billion to Turn Public Housing Green ([link removed]) @Mother Jones
Ocasio-Cortez, Sanders pitch Green New Deal bill for public housing ([link removed]) @Washington Post
Congress can either vote with the people or with the pharmaceutical corporations ([link removed]) @The Hill
Voters want presidential action on climate — with or without congressional support ([link removed]) @Grist

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