From Critical State <[email protected]>
Subject Good Strategy, Cruel World
Date May 25, 2022 5:56 PM
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Read about the democratic potential of Chile’s constitutional process. Received this from a friend? SUBSCRIBE [[link removed]] CRITICAL STATE Your weekly foreign policy fix. If you read just one thing …

… read about what the world took from Haiti.

On Saturday, the New York Times published a four-bylined six-article package [[link removed]] on Haiti, specifically how the French demand for reparations to slavers (later enforced by everything from Citibank to US Marines) kept the country in economic ruin. The story is massive, designed to make its revelations public knowledge in a way academic research rarely achieves, and offers a precise, well-sourced accounting for the economic ruin inflicted on Haiti. It was also, as can be the nature of pieces like this, the centerpiece of academic pushback over the exaggerated novelty of its claims. Writing at The Racket, Jonathan Katz offers a reader’s guide to what is and isn’t new [[link removed]] in the piece. Katz, a journalist and author of most recently a Smedley Butler biography, highlights the precision of the Times’ reporting in pinning down a figure, complete with published sourcing. This accounting, writes Katz, “gives some functional precision to the mechanics of the claim: not only do we know that there was an enormous wealth transfer from the Caribbean nation to France, but here are the numbers and dates of each payment, etc. The other is that if France will be forced to give any of that money back, then presenting a detailed bill is key.”

Statue Limitations

Monumental architecture is inherently unsubtle, but we can see stories states see fit to tell. Che Onejoon’s “International Friendship: The Gifts from Africa” looks at the work and relationship of the Mansudae Overseas Project, North Korea’s work-for-hire exportation of monuments seen across Africa. It’s a kind of friendship with price tags and foreign currency supply directly attached.

“Sensitive to the delicate realpolitikal formations and nostalgias that suffuse our present (and often taken for granted) material landscape, as well as to recusant imaginaries displaced by or subsumed into nationalist projects,” writes reviewer Zoé Samudzi [[link removed]], “International Friendship carefully troubles state rhetorics of solidarity without discarding the world-making potential of shared struggle.”

Woven throughout Samudzi’s review is the way that broader histories of events get wound into monuments, even as the commissioners and designers aim for a kind of international universalism contra local styles.

FORWARD TO A FRIEND [[link removed]] electoral tolls

On May 29, Colombia will elect its next president. Earlier this month, Gustavo Petro’s campaign reported that his security team uncovered an assassination plot against him. Petro is currently leading in the polls, but the outgoing incumbent has failed to take the threat to Petro’s life seriously and assign a security detail.

This threat is part of a long history of political violence in the country, where politics has been constrained by the murders of high-profile politicians and many people less prominent.

This violence constrains politics in specific ways, as can be seen from the threat posed by the possibility of Petro’s victory. Tamara Ospina Posse [[link removed]] writes that Petro’s victory would mean “undoing the power of the existing oligarchy defended by Uribe, the paramilitaries, and the small group of powerful families that have enriched themselves by laundering drug money and embezzling from the national treasury.”

FORWARD TO A FRIEND [[link removed]] DEEP DIVE Civil warcraft: Part I

Burned as it is into the mind of US history students, the American Civil War is an outlier in the field, with its most meaningful divisions being geographic and ideological. Civil wars before, and especially after, have instead occurred among heterogeneous populations, with fault lines inscribed in blood much closer to the combatant’s homes. Closer, more intimate violence, carried out by small bands of fighters with infantry rifles, is distinct from imagined movements of mass formations and is much closer to the reality of civil wars and experienced by most people.

To better understand this kind of violence and the strategic logic/social impact behind it, the University of Oxford’s Samuel Ritholtz examines cruelty [[link removed]] as a category for analyzing violence in conflicts. Defined as “the intentional infliction of pain and/or suffering,” cruelty sits as related to but distinct from other categories of violence, like atrocity and brutality, because what is essential for cruelty is that the intent is there, but the violence is optional.

Cruelty can have an outsized role in warping the political outcomes during or after a conflict. This is partly because it can, if done in public, leave witnesses, who must now continue with their lives, somehow aware of the capacity for cruelty inherent in the armed group they just witnessed. Moreover, writes Ritholtz, “There is a psychosocial harm to witnessing cruelty that has an impact on social relations and environments.”

Studying cruelty as both harm and future threat of harm can help understand why some people and governments accept otherwise unreasonable terms, all in the name of making cruelty stop. Ritholtz turns to the Colombian civil war to ground this theory in observation. “Within Colombia, brutal and cruel acts of violence are considered their own repertoire of violence known as sevicia (sometimes written in English as “saevitia” after its Latin origin), which is defined by courts as excessive cruelty and the multiplicity of trauma,” Ritholtz writes.

Since so much of the Colombian Civil War played out as insurgency and counterinsurgency fighting, it’s possible to look at acts of violence done and see if they fit a standard pattern, like raiding a village known to house guerillas, or an unusual one, like torturing villagers because it’s assumed the village houses rebels. Still, no evidence can be found to support that. That act of cruelty followed by brutality serves a political purpose for the soldiers by convincing them partly that the violence inflicted was justified.

“Cruelty is an act that harms physically, psychologically, and socially. When applied to violence, it violates a person's integrity at the corporeal and ontological levels,” writes Ritholtz.

All armed conflict is violence, but understanding the role of cruelty in shaping, escalating, and warping specific kinds of violence makes it a useful framework, especially for civil wars. In other words, in establishing a new political order, cruelty constrains the possibility of politics through violence means.

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Anmol Irfan examined [[link removed]] the challenge climate change presents to fast fashion in Southeast Asia. Making, sustaining, and preserving durable clothing, especially with traditional designs and practices, is a way to conserve resources for the future and reduce the climate impact of cloth manufacture are monumental tasks. Unfortunately, much of the existing messaging on hand is written about western clothes and sensibilities. Irfan notes that existing messaging aimed at creating a “sustainable society faces multiple barriers because of the way climate discourse often comes to South Asian countries from the Global North.” But new messaging in the language and values of people where they live could help.

Rebecca Kanthor reported [[link removed]] on the lives of the elderly in lockdown in Shanghai. As the country strains to manage its zero-COVID-19 strategy, a decision to prioritize vaccination of younger people has left seniors, already skeptical of vaccination, disproportionately vulnerable. “I’m listening to government directives, staying home, and testing regularly," Wang Yili, 84, told Kanthor. "I thoroughly disinfect all the packages that come into our home. After the lockdown is over, we will just have to be extra careful.” It’s advice that feels right out of March 2020, and whatever risk it mitigates, it would be much more effective if Wang and her husband, along with millions of others, got vaccinated.

Halima Gikandi revisited [[link removed]] the return of US troops to Somalia. The announcement, which came the day after Somalia’s election of Hassan Sheikh Mohamud to be president, allows the US to base troops in the country under the Biden administration. Under Trump, the forces had been withdrawn but would travel in from nearby bases outside Somalia to support training. It’s part of a long-running program of security assistance, though one that seems unlikely to resolve the political challenges creating space for insurgent forces. “Maybe you can kind of put a little bit of pressure and have some tactical success against the group. But where is the strategic endgame there?” Omar Mahmood, a senior analyst with the International Crisis Group, told Gikandi.

FORWARD TO A FRIEND [[link removed]] WELL PLAYED

When you stare into the void floof, the void floof stares back [[link removed]].

To keep the pilsners down, the dark lagers out, and the Hazy IPAs in [[link removed]].

No matter how much Nada Websurfing [[link removed]] he does, he’ll still never be truly popular.

Everything is novel and good until you remember history is full of examples [[link removed]] of how and why it is bad.

When basing strategy on wargames, pick ones that account for thermonuclear warheads, not dice rolls [[link removed]].

If there’s anyone whose strategic calculus never failed, it’s McNamara [[link removed]].

Hey, congrats, you finished this email! Go ahead and check it off your to-do list [[link removed]].

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Critical State is written by Kelsey D. Atherton with Inkstick Media.

The World is a weekday public radio show and podcast on global issues, news and insights from PRX and GBH.

With an online magazine and podcast featuring a diversity of expert voices, Inkstick Media is “foreign policy for the rest of us.”

Critical State is made possible in part by the Carnegie Corporation of New York.

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