DFP’s newsletter of our latest polls, memos, and memes.

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Voters Strongly Believe the Supreme Court Should Uphold Roe v. Wade

Earlier this week a leaked ([link removed]) Supreme Court draft majority opinion, written by Justice Samuel Alito, appeared to show that the court had voted to strike down Roe v. Wade. New Data for Progress polling ([link removed]) finds that voters do not want the Supreme Court to overturn Roe v. Wade. In a national survey of 1,236 likely voters, conducted from May 3-4, 2022, after the Supreme Court draft opinion leaked, Data for Progress gauged voters’ opinions on Roe v. Wade, reproductive rights, and the midterm elections. By a +28-point margin, voters believe that the Supreme Court should uphold Roe v. Wade. This includes Democrats by a +67-point margin and Independents by a +35-point margin.

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The Threat to Abortion Access Will Likely Impact the Midterms

We then asked voters if they would be more or less likely to vote for candidates who support protecting reproductive freedom in the upcoming midterm elections in the event that the Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade. Forty-nine percent of voters say that this would make them “much more likely” or “somewhat more likely” to vote for such candidates, compared to 20 percent who said that this would make them “somewhat less likely” or “much less likely” to do so.

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If the Supreme Court goes forward with this decision in its final opinion, it will clearly be going against both precedent and the opinions of a majority of Americans. The court relies heavily on maintaining public confidence and being seen as an apolitical body — but overturning Roe v. Wade would be an unprecedented and overwhelmingly unpopular partisan move. Read the full polling analysis here ([link removed]) .

Here are some other highlights from DFP this week:

Breaking News: Voters Still Need Climate Action

In an April 2022 national survey ([link removed]) , Data for Progress and Climate Power assessed likely voters’ views toward expanding clean energy production in America. We find that lawmakers have a mandate from voters to invest in domestic clean energy production and voters agree these investments will increase America’s energy security.

Voters recognize that climate change is not something that will happen in the distant future, but rather is happening now and even in their own backyards. Overall, a majority of voters acknowledge that either America, their community or state, or they personally have experienced the impacts of climate change.

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As lawmakers in Congress have negotiated a large spending bill over the past year, the size and scope of investments to address climate change and expand clean energy production in America have changed. However, over half of voters (58 percent), including 78 percent of Democrats and 63 percent of Independents, support Congress passing a pared-down version of the Build Back Better plan that was proposed last year.
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With voters widely supportive of expanding domestic clean energy production, lawmakers should feel confident reaching a deal and passing this investment. By passing this critical investment ahead of the midterms, President Biden and Democrats in Congress can both deliver on their campaign promises to tackle climate change and set America on a path toward a secure, clean energy future. Read the full polling analysis here ([link removed]) .

Write the Check, Congress.

Innew polling ([link removed]) conducted with Invest in America from April 20-24, 2022, we tested support for President Biden’s investment package.

First, we asked voters whether they support an investment package to lower insurance premiums for people who buy healthcare on their own, invest in clean energy, and bring down the costs of prescription drugs. We find that voters support this package by a +58-point margin, including a +77-point margin of Democrats, +53-point margin of Independents, and a +40-point margin of Republicans.

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Overall, these results demonstrate that Biden’s investment package, including its key provisions and pay-fors, is overwhelmingly popular with voters, including Independents and Republicans. Moving forward, legislators should feel confident that pushing for Biden’s bill will improve — not harm — their standing with voters. Read the full polling analysis here ([link removed]) .


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** DFP In The News
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The Washington Post:The political case for forgiving student loan debt ([link removed])

NPR:Anti-LGBTQ laws inspire many LGBTQ people to seek public office ([link removed])

Forbes:What’s Next For Disability Policy? ([link removed])

Boston Globe:Elizabeth Warren’s advice for Democrats: More, not less, talk of inflation ([link removed])

The Hill:GOP steps up attacks on canceling student debt ([link removed])

Axios:Dems look to abortion fallout to salvage midterms ([link removed])

New York Daily News:Majority of New Yorkers support package of bills to end wrongful convictions ([link removed])

The Press of Atlantic City:Democrats can win the midterms by canceling student loan debt, by Jean Guerrero ([link removed])

The Intercept:Democratic Inaction is Seriously Eroding The Party’s Activist Base ([link removed])

The Independent:Roe v Wade news – live: Biden vows action to protect abortion rights as John Roberts confirms leaked opinion ([link removed])

The Boston Globe:Your vote won't help restore abortion rights ([link removed])

Reuters:Column: It's time for U.S. Congress to debate Social Security reform in the light of day ([link removed])

Newsweek:Voters Who Haven't Gone to College Also Want Student Loans Forgiven: Poll ([link removed])

Up North News:EXCLUSIVE POLL: A Plan That Would Raise Taxes and Could End Social Security and Medicare—is Massively Unpopular ([link removed])

The xxxxxx:The Politics of Overturning Roe Are Bad for Republicans ([link removed])

The Post Millennial:Sen. Schumer says Senate will vote next week on codifying 'abortion rights' into law ([link removed])

On Social
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Dems Deliver

The year is 2030. Justice Amy Coney Barrett has just been unceremoniously but ironically ousted from the Supreme Court after women lost the right to read. In order to avoid being sold to a Kentucky State Senator for fourteen cows and some land, you decide to escape to Mexico. How are you going to do this? Well, since in 2022 and 2023 the Feds allocated $4.4 billion for infrastructure law water projects, sneaking out of the country via river is a fast, effective, and convenient option.

The US Army Corps of Engineers also allocated another $2.7 billion in Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act funds to 300 specific maritime port and waterways projects. The funding will help improve the flow of freight, provide resilience against climate change effects and help disadvantaged communities. It will include $1.7 billion under the law from the US Interior Dept.’s Bureau of Reclamation for rural water projects.

Among the projects, $72 million will be used to widen and deepen Norfolk Harbor in Virginia, $350 million will go to Adams and Denver Counties in Colorado for ecosystem restoration along 6.5 miles of the South Platte River, and $92.6 million will be used for lock upgrades for the McClellan-Kerr Arkansas River Navigation System. A full list of waterway and port projects can be found here ([link removed]) and here ([link removed]) .

So as you enter the Port of Galveston in Texas, you’re thankful that the Democrats spent $11 million to deepen it so you can easily ship off towards the Mexican border.

Blessed be the fruit.

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